NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Pistons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4550fe6204985d686a34db29c5562d2ead6d3c240c97e3640f21739f99980316
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pistonsof Hawks, Pistons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,303,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,319,793
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,303,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,293 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Hawks | 11c | 82,677$8,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,915.67 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Pistons | 78c | 40,601$31,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,932.23 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Pistons | 70c | 37,500$26,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,125 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons | 78c | 32,000$24,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.99 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hawks | 23c | 31,643$7,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,276.21 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks | 22c | 30,399$6,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,827.95 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4297…ea39backed Hawks | 22c | 30,000$6,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,600 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x390a…1328backed Pistons | 77c | 30,000$23,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Pistons | 73c | 30,000$21,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,099.98 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…bc51backed Hawks | 46c | 21,453$9,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,960 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f05…8937backed Hawks | 24c | 21,187$5,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,173.21 | 470 | 28.1%132 W · 338 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Pistons | 77c | 18,924$14,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.49 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Pistons | 78c | 18,680$14,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,127.13 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeaf…dbaabacked Hawks | 20c | 16,593$3,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,288.68 | 379 | 30.6%116 W · 263 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Hawks | 24c | 15,827$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.92 | 342 | 27.2%93 W · 249 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hawks | 16c | 15,440$2,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,432.36 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Hawks | 16c | 15,347$2,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,393.4 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Hawks | 28c | 14,163$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.9 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hawks | 41c | 13,951$5,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,781.16 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Hawks | 22c | 12,818$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Pistons | 77c | 12,790$9,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,992.66 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Hawks | 23c | 12,251$2,818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,817.75 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Pistons | 55c | 11,598$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,223.63 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa3…64e9backed Hawks | 38c | 11,430$4,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,353.33 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Hawks | 45c | 11,034$4,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,931.32 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8166…6770backed Pistons | 79c | 11,000$8,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Hawks | 22c | 10,698$2,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,353.58 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eeb…c387backed Hawks | 22c | 10,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x439b…2c9abacked Pistons | 77c | 9,840$7,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304.8 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hawks | 17c | 9,167$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,529.63 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks | 22c | 8,100$1,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,782 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Hawks | 22c | 8,012$1,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.34 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Pistons | 78c | 8,000$6,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Pistons | 72c | 6,746$4,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.61 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3a…67cabacked Hawks | 6c | 6,500$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395 | 508 | 38.2%194 W · 314 L | +22.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Hawks | 24c | 6,400$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.97 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Hawks | 23c | 6,171$1,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.08 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Hawks | 17c | 5,768$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.7 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62fb…4d60backed Pistons | 74c | 5,708$4,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.08 | 355 | 47.3%168 W · 187 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f02…d349backed Pistons | 79c | 5,500$4,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hawks | 23c | 5,341$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.57 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Pistons | 71c | 5,313$3,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,531.11 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xe756…e006backed Hawks | 22c | 5,282$1,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162 | 328 | 27.4%90 W · 238 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41c…3e93backed Pistons | 72c | 5,190$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab3a…44eebacked Hawks | 28c | 5,184$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +51%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cde…8833backed Hawks | 22c | 4,789$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Pistons | 78c | 4,600$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.09 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pistons | 63c | 4,481$2,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,656.49 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Hawks | 24c | 4,372$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.99 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hawks | 1c | 4,120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 344 | 25.6%88 W · 256 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Pistons | 78c | 4,115$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.36 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…0a7abacked Hawks | 23c | 4,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hawks | 22c | 4,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pistons | 64c | 3,982$2,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,444.56 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Hawks | 47c | 3,890$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.43 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…a540backed Hawks | 29c | 3,795$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.31 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7316…7e56backed Pistons | 78c | 3,753$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Hawks | 5c | 3,730$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.3 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Pistons | 77c | 3,675$2,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.65 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hawks | 28c | 3,547$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.58 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda88…2886backed Hawks | 23c | 3,398$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Pistons | 77c | 3,350$2,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.55 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35fe…95f7backed Hawks | 23c | 3,321$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Hawks | 21c | 3,207$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.39 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pistons | 65c | 3,178$2,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,099.28 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hawks | 26c | 3,135$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.43 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f16…0246backed Pistons | 64c | 3,084$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.62 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Hawks | 22c | 3,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…7d78backed Hawks | 13c | 2,618$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.09 | 121 | 56.2%68 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Pistons | 78c | 2,615$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.32 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Pistons | 74c | 2,548$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.87 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…48d7backed Pistons | 77c | 2,500$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaca8…c951backed Hawks | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Pistons | 74c | 2,343$1,745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.62 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…053fbacked Hawks | 22c | 2,273$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Pistons | 77c | 2,250$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.5 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pistons | 78c | 2,249$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.78 | 949 | 51.3%487 W · 462 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Hawks | 23c | 2,245$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.38 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…c9eebacked Pistons | 75c | 2,216$1,664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.44 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Pistons | 55c | 2,213$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$995.25 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Pistons | 75c | 2,073$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.46 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…3a30backed Hawks | 23c | 2,048$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +71.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks | 29c | 2,010$585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Hawks | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 401 | 33.4%134 W · 267 L | +27.0wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Pistons | 77c | 2,000$1,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 204 | 53.9%110 W · 94 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ee…5436backed Hawks | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8980…d4f4backed Pistons | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 219 | 51.1%112 W · 107 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Pistons | 78c | 2,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf1…1a87backed Pistons | 78c | 2,000$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba41…5f4fbacked Hawks | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.99 | 314 | 45.2%142 W · 172 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Pistons | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…8c1bbacked Hawks | 23c | 1,980$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Pistons | 79c | 1,880$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.75 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | -9.8wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Hawks | 26c | 1,750$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.91 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84b8…1193backed Pistons | 78c | 1,713$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.83 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Pistons | 77c | 1,691$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.93 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks | 28c | 1,618$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.92 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pistons | 41c | 1,600$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944 | 222 | 43.7%97 W · 125 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d5…3df2backed Hawks | 21c | 1,600$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +42%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Pistonsthis page
- 1H Spread: Pistons (-5.5)Hawks won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: 1H MoneylinePistons won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 231.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 233.5Under won
- Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Pistons (-10.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Pistons (-7.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Pistons (-8.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Pistons (-9.5)Hawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.