TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Pistons: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$92,994
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$93,004

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $92,994 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Over52c22,673$11,759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,758.7620055%110 W · 90 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea27…19c6backed Under49c13,100$6,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,744.484057.5%23 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c10,823$5,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,656.922,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Under50c7,642$3,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,833.740350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Under50c7,125$3,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,564.7433447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over51c7,000$3,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5701,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over50c6,355$3,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,204.162,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c3,826$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.749,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660d…2e08backed Under51c3,800$1,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,861.994850%24 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Under50c3,121$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,573.836351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Over50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over51c1,912$981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$981.285,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x535b…25a9backed Over54c1,856$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012555.2%69 W · 56 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Under48c1,427$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.0695049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Under48c1,134$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.2820542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Under47c1,055$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.958951.3%302 W · 287 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over2c980.17$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.731,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Over4c963.89$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8428842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under50c920.2$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.116254.3%88 W · 74 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Over52c770.58$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.71741.2%7 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Over2c732.58$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Over53c690.77$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36510147.5%48 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Under46c661.11$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35728850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over54c651.85$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35246258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under48c605.59$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.463,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2c3…0e32backed Over51c591.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005147.1%24 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac4a…4a47backed Under49c571.43$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.431353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over6c548.28$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25572647.7%346 W · 380 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Over51c490.2$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under47c453$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.091,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfdd…fa79backed Under46c452$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.08425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-45.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ca…fa25backed Over53c443$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.7920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Under46c426$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.0454747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Over52c371.91$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.852,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb6…fa2cbacked Over54c370.37$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021852.8%115 W · 103 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over50c367$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.52,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4684…82f3backed Under49c356$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.56650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Over52c344$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.4410349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x405d…5278backed Under49c342$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d27…4df7backed Over54c308$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.78520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick54cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8aea…ec91backed Under49c300$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1535349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…405cbacked Over49c277.55$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13643453.2%231 W · 203 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x218a…e227backed Under49c272$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+40.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ed7…52e6backed Under48c236$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-31.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…8ed4backed Over53c234$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.02540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8427…1067backed Over55c230$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8380…b151backed Over53c227.89$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12015056%84 W · 66 L+0.7wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb9fc…140fbacked Over53c224$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.72633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bc5…6ff7backed Over55c222$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.1520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Over51c215.2$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.552,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6755…a477backed Under48c207$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1006…d954backed Over53c204$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.12560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+21.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Over48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9626150.2%131 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Under48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1041,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x419b…6ea1backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea63…f54fbacked Over53c196.23$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1042157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+53.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Over51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e88…7c99backed Over54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Over49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.29647.9%46 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0974…003dbacked Under48c105.45$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8318053.3%96 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a82…b6bdbacked Under49c104.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.088251.2%42 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,19747.5%569 W · 628 L-32.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5024946.6%116 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517248.6%35 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe50b…c2a8backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4965855.6%366 W · 292 L+27.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4319…522dbacked Over53c90$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x075a…8d34backed Over56c89.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012858.6%75 W · 53 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under50c84.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.231,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over25c81$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.251,69544.7%758 W · 937 L-30.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x825a…75eebacked Over50c76$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Over50c75.43$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7660834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked Under49c75.22$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.780148.3%387 W · 414 L-3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed Under47c74.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2976247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b0e…5b17backed Over51c62.75$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325451.9%28 W · 26 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Under50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2569852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2538845.6%177 W · 211 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over53c48.88$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.962,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over48c41.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2029046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac1…a0f2backed Under48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6711051.8%57 W · 53 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa46d…59c4backed Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.412149.6%60 W · 61 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4085…583fbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.7wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-49.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207452.7%39 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under48c38.46$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ba…089fbacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.466063.3%38 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb545…6e0abacked Under52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4617527.4%48 W · 127 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce49…4740backed Over52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2023642.4%100 W · 136 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x499e…c968backed Over51c33.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Under49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4824552.7%129 W · 116 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Under49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4810751.4%55 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Under49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4826648.5%129 W · 137 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Under49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4810646.2%49 W · 57 L-5.5wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Under49c32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.4825150.2%126 W · 125 L-1.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…fb9dbacked Over42c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.612650.8%64 W · 62 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under58c30$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.61,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Over53c25.43$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5430244%133 W · 169 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.