TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Pistons (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Pistons, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,372,978
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,375,009

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,372,978 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 142 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x82a1…e03abacked Hawks53c1,183,570$625,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558,570.355952.5%31 W · 28 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Pistons47c500,000$235,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235,00026253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Pistons48c227,309$108,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108,254.6987144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Pistons47c164,197$77,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,172.8226753.2%142 W · 125 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9165…5b98backed Hawks51c104,396$52,935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51,461.1225248.4%122 W · 130 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Pistons48c70,000$33,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,3007946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Pistons48c64,647$30,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30,929.022,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Pistons49c61,100$29,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,93159347%279 W · 314 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Pistons48c55,312$26,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,549.7417354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Pistons47c30,000$14,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,10014856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pistons48c29,786$14,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,272.179,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked Pistons47c20,493$9,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,631.754452.3%23 W · 21 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Pistons49c20,000$9,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,80059653.4%318 W · 278 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Pistons46c14,445$6,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,585.795,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Pistons48c11,360$5,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,488.51,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pistons49c10,287$5,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,037.592,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Hawks49c9,599$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,895.341,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pistons51c8,000$4,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0801,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Hawks51c5,594$2,853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.0414549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks52c4,359$2,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Hawks51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9601,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Pistons49c3,000$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.919149.7%95 W · 96 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Pistons48c2,500$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,204.172,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Pistons50c2,500$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25085147.5%404 W · 447 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8198…e96ebacked Pistons51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,27516446.3%76 W · 88 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Pistons49c2,500$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,22548347.2%228 W · 255 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Hawks51c2,500$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.9622053.6%118 W · 102 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe403…3d50backed Pistons49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.0954747.5%260 W · 287 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pistons49c1,900$931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$930.991,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Pistons47c1,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70044654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Pistons47c1,191$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$559.771,45149.7%721 W · 730 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Pistons49c1,143$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.312,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Pistons45c1,136$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$516.341,91145.4%868 W · 1,043 L+22.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Pistons22c1,087$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.7328842.7%123 W · 165 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Pistons49c1,052$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.4835651.1%182 W · 174 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ff…62ccbacked Pistons48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006442.2%27 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x253d…aa62backed Pistons49c1,010$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494.958347%274 W · 309 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Pistons49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Hawks52c799.96$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.9856348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Pistons47c739.62$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.623256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01a1…88f3backed Pistons50c700$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3505858.6%34 W · 24 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4103…9b9ebacked Pistons49c700$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34341742%175 W · 242 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x82b5…1d1dbacked Hawks52c646.92$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.521844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Pistons46c625.17$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.23,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pistons47c600$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2822,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed Pistons49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29425642.6%109 W · 147 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Pistons50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Hawks52c489$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.6289853.1%477 W · 421 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…1b96backed Hawks50c474$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23724051.3%123 W · 117 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks49c431.19$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.913,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4403…4252backed Hawks50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2004163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4d5…79f9backed Hawks60c331.71$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.715046%23 W · 27 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb428…13bfbacked Pistons49c320.41$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1575541.8%23 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x045d…d649backed Pistons49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012238.5%47 W · 75 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb13d…2f38backed Pistons48c219.23$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.23728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick54cpaid-46.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Pistons48c209$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.166,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Pistons49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Hawks51c200.08$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.0460834.4%209 W · 399 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Hawks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10065649.2%323 W · 333 L+9.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…9aa6backed Hawks52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9611951.3%61 W · 58 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8889…a9d1backed Hawks50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10023248.7%113 W · 119 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1009…9ad0backed Hawks52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$962540%10 W · 15 L+0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0765…1b9ebacked Pistons51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda21…8646backed Pistons48c199$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.5262541.9%262 W · 363 L-32.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Pistons47c198$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.972,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b4b…14e2backed Hawks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3123547.7%112 W · 123 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Hawks52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3115752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c79…a21cbacked Pistons6c176.37$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0468…a6afbacked Hawks52c163.23$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.56933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Hawks53c160.27$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.3349938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d6…34e3backed Pistons50c150.75$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.3820542.9%88 W · 117 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c94…a43bbacked Pistons49c148$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.5751146.6%238 W · 273 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x75f3…0e78backed Hawks55c140.57$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.5763142%265 W · 366 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8c…ad4bbacked Pistons48c132$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.455125.5%13 W · 38 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-43.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Hawks53c126.84$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.8481845.7%374 W · 444 L+9.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Pistons50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6066046.8%309 W · 351 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Pistons49c119.73$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.679336.6%34 W · 59 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-17.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a1c…c03abacked Pistons50c110.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08b5…5a6ebacked Pistons50c110.16$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512048.3%58 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7795…1db8backed Hawks55c108.66$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.6619957.8%115 W · 84 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe160…018abacked Hawks50c106$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Pistons46c102.06$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.88,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd207…c366backed Pistons49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019150.3%96 W · 95 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…4970backed Pistons49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012646.8%59 W · 67 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ec4…defabacked Hawks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5082440.4%333 W · 491 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x04e5…b8ffbacked Pistons49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493956.4%22 W · 17 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pistons45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x15e3…009fbacked Hawks50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5037357.4%214 W · 159 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Hawks51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0419951.8%103 W · 96 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x48f8…9166backed Hawks51c96.39$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.4517145.6%78 W · 93 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b20…7c67backed Hawks52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1519552.8%103 W · 92 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5da9…582ebacked Hawks52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156048.3%29 W · 31 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef44…86a5backed Hawks53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.343351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Pistons51c94.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4813644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75aa…026dbacked Hawks50c94$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8aaf…c132backed Hawks53c91.02$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.787454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+15.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e47…a7abbacked Hawks52c88.38$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.4249852.4%261 W · 237 L-0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Hawks47c86.08$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.622,16940.8%885 W · 1,284 L-8.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…3017backed Pistons48c79.98$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.392634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-32.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Pistons38c74.23$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0918554.1%100 W · 85 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.