NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Heat
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf7ed54bcb95aa0a51f7d989bfdbc4aa395804ff1994e4e151b883e1b2ba822b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Heat
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $289,378
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $311,302
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $289,378 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 316 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Heat | 34c | 45,917$15,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,611.85 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Grizzlies | 66c | 18,501$12,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,367 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35aa…94bcbacked Heat | 36c | 16,475$5,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,994 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Grizzlies | 60c | 11,792$7,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,670.09 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 10,548$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,937.62 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…6591backed Heat | 41c | 8,529$3,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,496.9 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Grizzlies | 60c | 8,241$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,296.94 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 60c | 8,134$4,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,268.84 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Grizzlies | 66c | 7,600$4,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,608.26 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2863…0e3ebacked Heat | 40c | 7,575$3,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029.92 | 157 | 41.4%65 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x205b…dd3cbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 6,508$4,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.64 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Heat | 40c | 6,244$2,512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,511.56 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Grizzlies | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Grizzlies | 79c | 5,913$4,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.49 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Heat | 33c | 5,360$1,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,768.64 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 5,303$3,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,187.01 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Heat | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Grizzlies | 66c | 4,785$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.9 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 4,358$2,808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.4 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 3,900$2,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.68 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Grizzlies | 64c | 3,893$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.1 | 347 | 47%163 W · 184 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8377…4198backed Heat | 25c | 3,486$862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.89 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Heat | 44c | 3,433$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.71 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Heat | 36c | 3,326$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.49 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Heat | 40c | 3,137$1,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,268.9 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Heat | 33c | 3,045$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,000$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae00…f7b0backed Grizzlies | 74c | 2,697$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$697.4 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Heat | 38c | 2,500$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Heat | 38c | 2,481$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.43 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Heat | 36c | 2,198$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.26 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Grizzlies | 63c | 2,130$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.67 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Grizzlies | 65c | 2,000$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$700 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a93…ecf9backed Grizzlies | 64c | 1,879$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$676.44 | 112 | 50.9%57 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Grizzlies | 62c | 1,700$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99cf…a86abacked Grizzlies | 57c | 1,654$939 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$715.65 | 140 | 34.3%48 W · 92 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Heat | 37c | 1,622$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Grizzlies | 63c | 1,574$996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$578.77 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Heat | 1c | 1,500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Heat | 40c | 1,500$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.44 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…4e55backed Heat | 35c | 1,475$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.11 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +42%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Grizzlies | 64c | 1,400$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.35 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Heat | 47c | 1,205$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.7 | 250 | 16.8%42 W · 208 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Heat | 38c | 1,164$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.53 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Heat | 35c | 1,161$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.35 | 104 | 28.8%30 W · 74 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Grizzlies | 66c | 1,017$671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.78 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Heat | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Grizzlies | 77c | 1,000$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.58 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Heat | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Grizzlies | 66c | 966.81$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.72 | 191 | 49.7%95 W · 96 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Grizzlies | 56c | 896.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.25 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…824ebacked Heat | 34c | 894.26$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.74 | 68 | 29.4%20 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 846.58$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Heat | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Heat | 39c | 816.4$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.42 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Grizzlies | 66c | 805.53$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.4 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3396…759fbacked Heat | 60c | 800$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.88 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -4.9wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Grizzlies | 68c | 797.06$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.06 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf730…3de2backed Grizzlies | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.58 | 89 | 62.9%56 W · 33 L | +6.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Heat | 35c | 714.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938c…d5e5backed Heat | 33c | 703.94$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.3 | 152 | 37.5%57 W · 95 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Grizzlies | 66c | 695.84$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.84 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Heat | 36c | 695$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.2 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb004…51b4backed Heat | 32c | 634.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Grizzlies | 64c | 629.99$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Grizzlies | 58c | 600$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Grizzlies | 67c | 562.84$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.74 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0397…0657backed Grizzlies | 65c | 538.46$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.46 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c37…4e9bbacked Grizzlies | 63c | 530$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.2 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…bec9backed Grizzlies | 63c | 515$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.55 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Grizzlies | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Grizzlies | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Heat | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e0…1e8abacked Grizzlies | 61c | 469.86$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.79 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Heat | 35c | 457.4$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.09 | 81 | 42%34 W · 47 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf524…5b3abacked Heat | 45c | 444.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.11 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Heat | 24c | 442.66$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.17 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Grizzlies | 57c | 439.09$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.42 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Grizzlies | 70c | 401.14$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.34 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Grizzlies | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Grizzlies | 63c | 400$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd50…c17bbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 400$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80c4…fe7bbacked Heat | 37c | 400$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe634…7a95backed Grizzlies | 66c | 378.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.79 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 350$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Heat | 34c | 349.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…6b5fbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 348.44$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.44 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Grizzlies | 62c | 342.55$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.71 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Grizzlies | 62c | 340$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.2 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49b2…ffd0backed Heat | 28c | 339.99$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 156 | 13.5%21 W · 135 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Grizzlies | 56c | 335.17$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.47 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Heat | 45c | 324.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6984…1b67backed Grizzlies | 64c | 309.89$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.56 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a0…f8aabacked Heat | 36c | 303.61$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6710…00c9backed Grizzlies | 66c | 301.52$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafd1…639bbacked Grizzlies | 64c | 300.78$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.28 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Grizzlies | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadbe…bc55backed Grizzlies | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 504 | 53.8%271 W · 233 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Grizzlies | 67c | 300$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.