Fifa International · resolved market
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8a259d1dff91e01cbc77dc066bc659fcee70a6941afd506f35907de35683301
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $237,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $281,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $237,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 33c | 21,766$7,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,286.29 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.99 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…456cbacked Yes | 66c | 17,192$11,347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,845.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Yes | 67c | 14,794$9,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,907.27 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 34c | 14,172$4,774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,774.47 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed No | 34c | 13,785$4,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,687.04 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 35c | 12,100$4,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,209.94 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 34c | 11,488$3,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,905.94 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 7,275$2,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,296.85 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 34c | 6,979$2,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,372.79 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 65c | 6,180$4,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,162.85 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 29c | 5,577$1,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.97 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed No | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,749.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 66c | 4,924$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.56 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 34c | 4,004$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.54 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 66c | 3,662$2,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,233.33 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 33c | 3,177$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.26 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Yes | 66c | 3,100$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,054 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2c26backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.03 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 66c | 3,000$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.99 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…c075backed Yes | 69c | 2,878$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -32%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 65c | 2,372$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$830.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 65c | 2,308$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$807.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 70cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 29c | 1,894$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.2 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 37c | 1,796$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.63 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc87b…51d4backed No | 35c | 1,718$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.24 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53a8…96d2backed Yes | 63c | 1,625$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…39c0backed No | 33c | 1,600$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 67c | 1,575$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 64c | 1,572$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.81 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1280…6b24backed Yes | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 67c | 1,506$1,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.98 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed No | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 44 | 18.2%8 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…2807backed No | 33c | 1,400$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 32c | 1,382$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.13 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 24c | 1,368$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.42 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xace2…8fe6backed No | 35c | 1,302$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.72 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a3…c2f9backed Yes | 64c | 1,250$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.94 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fa…44e5backed No | 32c | 1,217$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 65c | 1,162$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.54 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 64c | 1,146$739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.86 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 65c | 1,136$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.64 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed No | 35c | 1,132$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.53 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dad…805abacked Yes | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 46cpaid | -74.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3692…baefbacked No | 35c | 996.03$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 65c | 982.01$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.46 | 363 | 49.3%179 W · 184 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed No | 35c | 979.06$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Yes | 64c | 894.69$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.6 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 62c | 801.63$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.63 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc706…faedbacked Yes | 66c | 784.85$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 34c | 740.15$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.65 | 163 | 31.9%52 W · 111 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 66c | 700$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239 | 1,262 | 47.5%600 W · 662 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 65c | 690.75$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.76 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 64c | 685$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.6 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Yes | 66c | 681.82$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 65c | 675.95$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.53 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 34c | 653.31$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.18 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 39c | 617.04$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.06 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Yes | 65c | 599.99$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9659…f19abacked Yes | 68c | 576.28$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.08 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8005…abc0backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff5b…c583backed No | 35c | 499.99$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Yes | 66c | 492.41$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 62c | 481.42$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.42 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b2…b589backed Yes | 62c | 481.2$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8189…fa33backed Yes | 64c | 434.44$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 63c | 399.88$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.96 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 66c | 373.94$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.14 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 26c | 352.25$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.36 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…e630backed Yes | 67c | 343.21$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.26 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 67c | 331.34$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.34 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…928dbacked Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 67c | 320.9$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.9 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc48…e792backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa8…b3e2backed Yes | 66c | 303.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4125…b55dbacked Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed No | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked No | 38c | 294$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1488…409dbacked Yes | 66c | 252.59$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 23c | 232.28$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.37 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed No | 32c | 217.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed Yes | 61c | 204.85$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.85 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.37 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 36c | 190$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.02 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 30c | 185.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.77 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed Yes | 67c | 182.09$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11de…8985backed No | 23c | 172.29$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | -51%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa842…e305backed No | 35c | 171.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked No | 35c | 171.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a40…afaabacked Yes | 64c | 169.91$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.69 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 38c | 162.68$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hungary win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will Armenia vs. Hungary end in a draw?No won
- Will Armenia win on 2025-11-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.