NHL · resolved market
Kraken vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5007626f5ef6062f9fcc97da9757e946f17235b7de6116bce5b7caeccfeaedda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krakenof Kraken, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $204,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $207,561
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $204,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Kraken | 48c | 49,579$23,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,780.9 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Blackhawks | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Blackhawks | 52c | 32,931$17,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,124.3 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Blackhawks | 52c | 17,000$8,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,840 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Kraken | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,799.94 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Kraken | 48c | 14,000$6,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,280 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Kraken | 48c | 10,300$4,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,356 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Kraken | 48c | 10,222$4,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,315.81 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Blackhawks | 55c | 9,803$5,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,381.55 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kraken | 36c | 5,947$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,826.95 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blackhawks | 44c | 5,009$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.42 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Kraken | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked Kraken | 45c | 4,766$2,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,621.09 | 105 | 65.7%69 W · 36 L | +15.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Kraken | 38c | 4,752$1,794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.02 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Blackhawks | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a61…b560backed Kraken | 39c | 3,960$1,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,401.2 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e8…c41fbacked Kraken | 10c | 3,900$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.89per pick | 12cpaid | +784.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ab…f2c3backed Blackhawks | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Blackhawks | 52c | 3,645$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.56 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Blackhawks | 53c | 3,500$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Kraken | 48c | 3,500$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Blackhawks | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Blackhawks | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Kraken | 33c | 2,796$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.56 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Blackhawks | 52c | 2,450$1,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,274 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blackhawks | 50c | 2,152$1,076 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,075.85 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Blackhawks | 51c | 2,113$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.46 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Kraken | 48c | 2,031$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.04 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Blackhawks | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Kraken | 48c | 1,670$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.4 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Kraken | 47c | 1,595$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$845.35 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 48c | 1,504$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.06 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Blackhawks | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Kraken | 47c | 1,384$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.38 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Kraken | 48c | 1,118$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.98 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95bb…f28bbacked Kraken | 49c | 1,050$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.5 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Kraken | 50c | 1,006$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.39 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Blackhawks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Kraken | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 149 | 45%67 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Kraken | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Kraken | 48c | 999.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.33 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x128f…c388backed Blackhawks | 52c | 940$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a7…9676backed Blackhawks | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.26per pick | 45cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x663c…1fe9backed Blackhawks | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28e0…d720backed Blackhawks | 52c | 811.54$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…1760backed Kraken | 50c | 810.36$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.18 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…5f44backed Kraken | 12c | 800$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kraken | 48c | 795.06$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.43 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb9…41ecbacked Kraken | 49c | 790$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.9 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Kraken | 48c | 772$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.44 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 47c | 750$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Kraken | 49c | 735.35$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.03 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8be…c8d1backed Blackhawks | 52c | 699.96$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 673.08$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 412 | 48.3%199 W · 213 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Kraken | 48c | 638.29$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.04 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Blackhawks | 53c | 628.3$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Kraken | 49c | 615$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.65 | 470 | 51.5%242 W · 228 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Blackhawks | 52c | 614$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.28 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Kraken | 49c | 603.11$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.94 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Kraken | 48c | 566.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.46 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Kraken | 51c | 551.89$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.27 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -8.8wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Blackhawks | 49c | 545.35$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.76 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…6cedbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 532$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.64 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7990…53d0backed Kraken | 49c | 532$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Kraken | 47c | 520.24$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.73 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Kraken | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Kraken | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…450fbacked Kraken | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Blackhawks | 17c | 452.3$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.27 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 13c | 431$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.66 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Blackhawks | 52c | 416.67$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.67 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73d1…5b68backed Kraken | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Blackhawks | 37c | 391.3$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.54 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Blackhawks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.4wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 384.62$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 485 | 52.2%253 W · 232 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Blackhawks | 37c | 365.32$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Kraken | 46c | 337.14$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…b1b1backed Blackhawks | 53c | 331.2$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 268 | 48.5%130 W · 138 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Blackhawks | 52c | 308$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.16 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb75e…1737backed Kraken | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…e9e5backed Kraken | 22c | 303.57$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.16 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Kraken | 46c | 300.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.23 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0535…75ccbacked Kraken | 48c | 300$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c09…a69fbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Kraken | 49c | 286.84$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.57 | 439 | 44.6%196 W · 243 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blackhawks | 38c | 250$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.3 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…af20backed Blackhawks | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 240.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.45 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Kraken | 47c | 240$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 749 | 51.8%388 W · 361 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Blackhawks | 52c | 218.69$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.72 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51e6…80d2backed Blackhawks | 53c | 210$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.3 | 287 | 45.3%130 W · 157 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Blackhawks | 52c | 209.62$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Kraken | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked Blackhawks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Blackhawks | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 366 | 52.7%193 W · 173 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Blackhawks | 51c | 199.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.98 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Kraken | 48c | 199.91$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.95 | 212 | 45.8%97 W · 115 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ed…3363backed Blackhawks | 52c | 194.23$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kraken vs. Blackhawksthis page
- Kraken vs. Blackhawks: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Blackhawks (-1.5)Kraken won
- Spread: Kraken (-1.5)Blackhawks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.