NBA · resolved market
Rockets vs. Warriors
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf25abdc6dc0640002dde73d7402d86295c3825d91e3a05ac800d3eaef87518a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Rockets, Warriors
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $706,865
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $708,922
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $706,865 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 740 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e66…0401backed Rockets | 49c | 110,107$54,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,946.18 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Warriors | 50c | 53,681$26,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,969.35 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb00f…db97backed Rockets | 39c | 38,286$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,285.53 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Warriors | 61c | 36,380$22,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,223.31 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Warriors | 52c | 35,253$18,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,394.53 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Rockets | 35c | 33,003$11,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,451.84 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Warriors | 3c | 28,492$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.55 | 464 | 26.1%121 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Warriors | 68c | 25,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,999.99 | 298 | 58.7%175 W · 123 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde3…4a49backed Warriors | 51c | 22,500$11,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,500 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Warriors | 49c | 21,919$10,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,732.13 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1872…ae0fbacked Rockets | 78c | 21,418$16,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,730.65 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Rockets | 35c | 15,086$5,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,867.26 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Rockets | 36c | 14,842$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,549.18 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Warriors | 68c | 14,401$9,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,792.48 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Warriors | 55c | 14,288$7,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,858.44 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Warriors | 0c | 11,501$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Warriors | 54c | 10,290$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588.25 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Warriors | 65c | 10,000$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,499.99 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Rockets | 40c | 8,838$3,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,302.55 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Warriors | 54c | 8,136$4,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,380.05 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Rockets | 39c | 6,799$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,159.1 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Rockets | 43c | 6,029$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.59 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…e019backed Warriors | 31c | 6,026$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.78 | 300 | 61.7%185 W · 115 L | +23.9wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef4…412cbacked Rockets | 36c | 5,571$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,571.06 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Warriors | 45c | 5,356$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Warriors | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Warriors | 44c | 4,936$2,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.23 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Warriors | 57c | 4,316$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.81 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Rockets | 34c | 3,929$1,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,594.06 | 297 | 47.5%141 W · 156 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Warriors | 64c | 3,680$2,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,355.2 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x799c…bcefbacked Warriors | 72c | 3,677$2,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,630.21 | 271 | 63.5%172 W · 99 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Warriors | 24c | 3,580$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875.81 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc36…1fa0backed Warriors | 60c | 3,529$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.14 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Warriors | 65c | 3,212$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,087.58 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Rockets | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Warriors | 52c | 2,860$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.45 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Rockets | 35c | 2,857$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.14 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Warriors | 66c | 2,800$1,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,834 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Rockets | 48c | 2,584$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,336.42 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cb…4bf9backed Rockets | 41c | 2,506$1,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.8 | 266 | 40.2%107 W · 159 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Rockets | 56c | 2,480$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.57 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Warriors | 46c | 2,187$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 248 | 31.9%79 W · 169 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…13ffbacked Rockets | 39c | 2,150$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310 | 200 | 50.5%101 W · 99 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Warriors | 1c | 2,035$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Rockets | 34c | 2,017$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.57 | 1,197 | 46.7%559 W · 638 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Warriors | 18c | 2,000$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Warriors | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.69 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Warriors | 42c | 1,966$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.77 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Warriors | 1c | 1,841$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 679 | 11%75 W · 604 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…2f92backed Rockets | 35c | 1,673$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.37 | 199 | 44.7%89 W · 110 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…2ba7backed Rockets | 68c | 1,663$1,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.21 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Warriors | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Rockets | 36c | 1,550$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Warriors | 42c | 1,540$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650.68 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…1715backed Warriors | 65c | 1,530$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.5 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Warriors | 65c | 1,515$985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$984.74 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…56d0backed Rockets | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Warriors | 65c | 1,494$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.26 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…b6ddbacked Rockets | 35c | 1,429$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.57 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Warriors | 62c | 1,425$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.73 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Warriors | 41c | 1,326$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.76 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…424cbacked Rockets | 35c | 1,224$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.41 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.37per pick | 49cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x83cb…1038backed Warriors | 66c | 1,223$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$807.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Warriors | 65c | 1,204$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.87 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…4caabacked Rockets | 35c | 1,179$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.33 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b92…046ebacked Warriors | 77c | 1,150$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.5 | 161 | 40.4%65 W · 96 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ac…7f5abacked Rockets | 35c | 1,110$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Rockets | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.3 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Rockets | 38c | 1,069$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.54 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…4623backed Warriors | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Warriors | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 277 | 31.4%87 W · 190 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe8…56a3backed Rockets | 34c | 999.95$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.97 | 321 | 30.2%97 W · 224 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rockets | 35c | 992.02$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.81 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa1…591abacked Rockets | 35c | 949.45$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.14 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Warriors | 64c | 931.28$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.23 | 1,451 | 49.7%721 W · 730 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…0ed4backed Warriors | 67c | 899.18$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a4c…0e84backed Rockets | 38c | 890.56$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…510dbacked Rockets | 35c | 835$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.75 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b8…976cbacked Rockets | 36c | 833.33$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Warriors | 65c | 791.75$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.43 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcad…5078backed Rockets | 64c | 785.23$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…76fabacked Warriors | 65c | 717.23$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Rockets | 37c | 675.68$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.68 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…a629backed Warriors | 3c | 614$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Warriors | 66c | 598.94$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.3 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…3c50backed Rockets | 36c | 587.5$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Warriors | 57c | 582.77$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.7 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rockets | 37c | 574.46$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.91 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Warriors | 43c | 569.11$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.4 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Rockets | 35c | 534$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Warriors | 44c | 514.35$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.31 | 367 | 51.8%190 W · 177 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Warriors | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d80…5fd8backed Rockets | 36c | 500$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 302 | 51.7%156 W · 146 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Warriors | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Warriors | 66c | 500$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 286 | 57.3%164 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Rockets | 35c | 500$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Rockets | 55c | 480.92$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.6 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75aa…58f1backed Warriors | 63c | 473.85$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b7…9435backed Rockets | 72c | 473$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.81 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.