TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Senators vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rangersof Senators, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,745

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 247 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1b5e…83f8backed Senators47c29,269$13,718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,717.687758.4%45 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Rangers53c17,791$9,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,361.6935545.4%161 W · 194 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb39…ed7abacked Senators8c10,331$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.362657.7%15 W · 11 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+42.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Senators12c6,147$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7371,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0360…7be1backed Rangers53c4,283$2,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,013.018139.5%32 W · 49 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Senators12c3,484$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.8631334.8%109 W · 204 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Rangers54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15031849.4%157 W · 161 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76aa…ba27backed Rangers57c2,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8601855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Rangers62c1,887$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.1485464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1299…356ebacked Senators44c1,851$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$814.511060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+41.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x786a…74d1backed Rangers56c1,851$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.51944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Senators4c1,639$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.821,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e4d…07cbbacked Rangers56c1,418$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.761471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x20a5…c8d4backed Senators44c1,415$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$622.44742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Senators1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101031%1 W · 102 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick4cpaid-97.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd3e…c572backed Rangers55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Rangers54c999.99$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$459.9954349.5%269 W · 274 L+2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c93…8f21backed Senators46c999.89$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.95944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Senators36c992.98$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.4519347.2%91 W · 102 L-14.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15c9…e725backed Senators18c969.16$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.365322.6%12 W · 41 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Rangers53c915.63$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.359459.6%56 W · 38 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+20.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd0ad…5176backed Rangers54c702$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.9229847%140 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Senators46c665.19$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.861,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71bc…28f4backed Rangers53c657.35$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.95616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick46cpaid-68.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d5f…1aecbacked Senators44c621.28$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.36650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a72…3c27backed Rangers56c621.28$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Senators44c599.11$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.611,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Rangers54c584.93$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.0775155.8%419 W · 332 L+12.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rangers54c578.69$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.9379251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x868b…03c5backed Rangers54c542.8$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.691060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14fc…0dc6backed Senators46c542.8$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.691258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Rangers56c500$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.051,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Senators46c434.79$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019438.1%74 W · 120 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf00f…711abacked Rangers54c416.97$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.913756.2%77 W · 60 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6d87backed Rangers55c411.33$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.1450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Senators45c406.97$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.6972444.6%323 W · 401 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb34…59eabacked Rangers54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1842466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdde2…f115backed Rangers56c380.9$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.6450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc573…e1d4backed Rangers55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.64450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Rangers54c338.03$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.6941851.4%215 W · 203 L+14.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97c1…5369backed Rangers55c330.49$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.721080%8 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1738…5456backed Senators45c330.49$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.72850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2821…72d6backed Rangers55c312.97$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.571070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+43.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0b…f9d6backed Rangers54c299.95$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.983145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed09…de44backed Senators44c270$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8ff…150dbacked Rangers56c270$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.8450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb9c…d01bbacked Rangers57c263.53$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.534951%25 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Rangers56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,03755%570 W · 467 L-0.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Senators42c236.21$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.213,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39eb…7240backed Senators45c235$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf33…3773backed Senators45c235$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.75966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b68…4c35backed Senators46c231.06$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcefa…bef8backed Rangers54c222.23$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.236953.6%37 W · 32 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6650…d38ebacked Senators45c221.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.891752.9%9 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa50b…bfc7backed Rangers54c219.73$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd087…9530backed Senators44c207.39$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x163e…d18cbacked Senators46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2720…2765backed Rangers55c198.08$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb65d…9c29backed Rangers56c196.43$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.431154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x114a…9a8ebacked Senators47c190.52$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7364…de04backed Rangers55c186.79$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb95d…1815backed Senators47c179.94$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42d4…0cbebacked Rangers56c179.46$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.962100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26fc…14efbacked Senators45c177.78$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca1b…f3adbacked Senators44c173.51$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfae…00e4backed Rangers55c154.33$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.45650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xacbf…8a2fbacked Senators46c151.59$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.73250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2920…80bebacked Senators45c144.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6524945.8%114 W · 135 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85bc…5c35backed Senators46c139$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.941457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2453…a614backed Senators45c133.11$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.381947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0227…750bbacked Senators47c131.05$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.591225%3 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-47.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf755…a720backed Rangers54c127.02$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+83.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d4…f19ebacked Senators47c121.28$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05a8…92aabacked Senators47c120.92$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.832240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b6b…bfecbacked Rangers54c120.63$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.232161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb590…36babacked Senators47c120.56$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.661154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d3f…bf4dbacked Rangers56c119.18$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.842755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17c1…97dfbacked Rangers55c118.93$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24d2…309abacked Rangers54c118.24$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.39540%2 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x732d…0619backed Rangers54c118.07$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.31650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5656…855fbacked Rangers54c116.69$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.681637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbec3…29b1backed Senators46c116.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.38333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x850c…672ebacked Rangers56c114.73$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.81258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bb1…2573backed Rangers54c114.54$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.691457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52fd…481fbacked Senators46c114.04$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.46450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+12.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ffc…c79dbacked Senators47c113.55$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+64.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x32a2…0033backed Senators47c113.3$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.2540%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc1e1…cc42backed Rangers55c112.31$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.541650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02c…5ef2backed Senators46c112.1$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb13…fde8backed Rangers54c111.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9ec…56f4backed Rangers56c110.3$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.532263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6c4a…65d6backed Rangers56c108.95$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb278…d6a7backed Senators46c108.7$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf489…d482backed Rangers54c108.67$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.992166.7%14 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+25.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd8ac…f39abacked Senators47c107.24$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5889…f416backed Senators45c106.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481060%6 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…d471backed Senators47c105.53$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.61838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x706d…0f3cbacked Senators47c104.81$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.261942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-25.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0ff6…d298backed Rangers54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.85666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick39cpaid+49.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf852…38a8backed Senators46c100.42$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.19850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.