TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$50,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$52,707

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,997 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 267 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes63c8,347$5,231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,231.0740254.7%220 W · 182 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb826…8d67backed Yes61c3,917$2,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,407.026137.7%23 W · 38 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No37c3,100$1,157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,942.7568026.3%179 W · 501 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No39c3,000$1,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,829.9841437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1638…339bbacked No35c2,348$822 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.176253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No35c2,101$728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.337841.8%158 W · 220 L+8.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7032…7829backed Yes65c2,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58df…76b4backed No37c2,000$733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.48650%3 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No38c1,821$697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.7590751.3%465 W · 442 L-1.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes62c1,555$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.085646.4%26 W · 30 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes64c1,544$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.258750.6%44 W · 43 L+7.7wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x55ea…2ba7backed Yes72c1,543$1,112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,112.47450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-32.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed No37c1,200$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9715337.3%57 W · 96 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63016660.8%101 W · 65 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed No37c1,000$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63014854.1%80 W · 68 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8da9…7120backed Yes64c999.95$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…846cbacked No37c810.81$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$510.811637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed No36c810$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.544939.6%178 W · 271 L+1.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d3…ef20backed No39c755$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$460.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Yes4c752.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.13215.6%5 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-66.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd692…8b9abacked Yes57c727.69$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.44555.6%25 W · 20 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-18.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c1d…c4c8backed No45c658.63$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.315131.4%16 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2a3…1698backed No41c590$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.12450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Yes4c584.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6136954.5%201 W · 168 L+50.1wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+91.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7990…c870backed Yes61c568.85$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3474042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes62c556.06$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.7432736.4%119 W · 208 L-21.2wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed No35c509.52$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.2829751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a4f…042bbacked Yes61c492.95$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.7742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+44.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No39c472.94$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.4940046%184 W · 216 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…9702backed Yes65c461.54$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006838.2%26 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No21c405.54$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5537652.4%197 W · 179 L+27.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5679…d458backed Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f48…6a49backed Yes68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-63.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked No37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.273545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Yes65c269.23$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17539561.3%242 W · 153 L-21.3wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-7.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No13c252.39$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.2679650.8%404 W · 392 L+28.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Yes61c250$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.52050%10 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xedac…e765backed No36c245.31$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick36cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No59c238.23$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6228355.5%157 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes42c200.8$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3837054.9%203 W · 167 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked No37c200$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1263348.5%16 W · 17 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+3.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3aa1…637bbacked No38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1245644.6%25 W · 31 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+13.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x358e…b0ccbacked Yes65c200$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes64c194.13$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.2422050%110 W · 110 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b2c…284cbacked Yes61c168.2$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.61145.5%5 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick68cpaid-34.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No39c166.69$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.6856158.6%329 W · 232 L+29.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f44…6b77backed Yes60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003732.4%12 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf305…4c09backed Yes61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd62b…5250backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+55.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes62c150$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9329653%157 W · 139 L-23.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Yes61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.527752%144 W · 133 L-9.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f3…3c23backed No36c150$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick37cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes61c143.75$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.694949%24 W · 25 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-16.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61ac…f57dbacked Yes27c141.13$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.581747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes42c138.39$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5166031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa64a…21dabacked Yes8c133.33$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113737.8%14 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcf82…4cb5backed No36c125$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801650%8 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4890…0968backed No40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755747.4%27 W · 30 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+18.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x064e…a06abacked Yes64c124.16$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.46633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-48.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e4b…5c4fbacked No41c115.48$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d5…03edbacked No36c111.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa5dc…451ebacked No43c108.49$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-41.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2cc0…a18fbacked No40c107.78$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.664100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+65.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x13d0…e3dcbacked Yes61c103.17$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.23812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick54cpaid-82.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes62c100$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6242755%235 W · 192 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e8…5b74backed Yes64c100$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641040%4 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcd92…9e72backed Yes66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662931%9 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb924…0886backed Yes14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f1…f229backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607949.4%39 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7f…8995backed Yes60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-37.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Yes67c98.51$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663040%12 W · 18 L-7.7wins-0.26per pick66cpaid-41.2%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2f30…1379backed Yes65c98.46$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6430%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ef7…b0debacked No41c97.56$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.568752.9%46 W · 41 L+5.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcca2…54fcbacked No43c96.98$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Yes64c95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.4840135.2%141 W · 260 L-0.7wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2042240.3%170 W · 252 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x438e…9704backed Yes76c90$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.54757.4%27 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42bd…9228backed Yes61c87.79$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.55450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x152f…cc4ebacked Yes62c87.1$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x595a…ad9fbacked Yes61c85.38$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.99650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc0d…79cbbacked Yes61c81.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…f3fbbacked Yes64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef1a…b260backed Yes60c75.57$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.34333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-53.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bb8…7471backed No61c75.22$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0714062.9%88 W · 52 L+16.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+66.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc65c…eb5fbacked Yes60c71.38$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83b8…d1fbbacked Yes65c70.92$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.11040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x53cc…063cbacked Yes66c70.12$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.94425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-60.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b4f…5aa3backed Yes61c69.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.14366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+25.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfffc…bc9ebacked Yes60c68.27$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.96425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x397b…00ecbacked Yes61c68.25$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba4…af31backed Yes60c64.96$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.98450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9855…463ebacked Yes59c60.46$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+42.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8239…ddd7backed Yes20c60$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129027.8%25 W · 65 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22a6…38c0backed No35c59.98$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.992835.7%10 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99f9…004dbacked No42c59.52$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.526051.7%31 W · 29 L+7.1wins+0.12per pick40cpaid+27.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1c2e…f1c7backed No43c58.14$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.144742.6%20 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x56cb…5c1bbacked No35c57.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.141457.1%8 W · 6 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+52.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd75d…6337backed No21c54.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.11154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+58.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9031…eb07backed No39c53.83$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.