Premier League · resolved market
Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x274495fbbf1f286418c2fac311c7f41600777aac25ec20ab6aecd6df534289bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,459
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 17c | 5,005$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.92 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 34c | 3,969$1,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,625.37 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 38c | 1,556$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$966.71 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Yes | 49c | 817.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Yes | 9c | 610.2$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 48c | 456.63$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 60c | 370.33$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x438e…9704backed Yes | 79c | 300$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 6c | 283.42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.38 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 18c | 277.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.67 | 283 | 55.5%157 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 18c | 222$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.96 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 78c | 192.82$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 10c | 156$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b35…a749backed Yes | 21c | 148.33$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.15 | 126 | 23%29 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 36c | 135$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.83 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…7301backed Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71e9…1248backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…853bbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Yes | 16c | 94.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3947…b31ebacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba99…8f26backed Yes | 19c | 78.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…00f3backed Yes | 19c | 78.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked No | 79c | 77$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 43c | 75.22$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.69 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9415…cb92backed Yes | 17c | 74.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6956…c37fbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4782…6435backed Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3585…1595backed No | 34c | 69.78$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Yes | 22c | 69.64$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.32 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ca…bfddbacked Yes | 20c | 67.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 50 | 34%17 W · 33 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd0…f582backed Yes | 16c | 63.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 16c | 62.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…717dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked Yes | 74c | 29.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3c5…1156backed Yes | 69c | 27.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Yes | 78c | 25.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05a3…d8debacked Yes | 68c | 16.11$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-14?this page
- Will Chelsea vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.