Premier League · resolved market
Will Chelsea vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc55547210e4141026d97732c291390d9482fafaa4133d2fee6c3865d541e0283
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,916
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,916 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1608…a990backed Yes | 20c | 1,642$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.7 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 35c | 1,359$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.07 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$850 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 80c | 531$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.8 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 78c | 499.93$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.94 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3025…fccdbacked Yes | 21c | 480$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 79c | 429.24$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.1 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…68acbacked Yes | 21c | 399.97$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.98 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5195…3eadbacked No | 80c | 375$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.6wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe980…75e1backed No | 79c | 303.65$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.88 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 69cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked Yes | 43c | 288.88$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Yes | 40c | 277.5$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.5 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eae…f263backed Yes | 36c | 274.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.31 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2453…28e2backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 256 | 37.9%97 W · 159 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf612…5700backed Yes | 21c | 222$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.38 | 171 | 43.3%74 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 79c | 183.54$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 79c | 183.52$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 69c | 140.74$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.71 | 376 | 52.4%197 W · 179 L | +27.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b97…cfc1backed Yes | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a08…8630backed No | 80c | 101.25$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa918…18c5backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d1e…5512backed Yes | 21c | 100$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0661…a72ebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec89…3286backed Yes | 20c | 99.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.97 | 171 | 46.8%80 W · 91 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked No | 80c | 95$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 401 | 35.2%141 W · 260 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…2acabacked No | 66c | 94.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa004…290ebacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed No | 76c | 89.49$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…717dbacked Yes | 37c | 82.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 79c | 81.54$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.42 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…a97bbacked Yes | 22c | 80.18$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 24c | 76.71$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.47 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65dc…0b11backed Yes | 23c | 69.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x547b…9858backed Yes | 30c | 69.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 22c | 61.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.89 | 280 | 70%196 W · 84 L | +49.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x2936…07f5backed Yes | 21c | 52.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 109 | 32.1%35 W · 74 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 28.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb8…7471backed Yes | 40c | 25.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +16.6wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +66.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…4957backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -5.3wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x51c1…e2eabacked No | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 77c | 17.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 561 | 58.6%329 W · 232 L | +29.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…a897backed No | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea21…920ebacked No | 80c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70e…e316backed No | 80c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chelsea vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?this page
- Will Bournemouth win on 2025-01-14?No won
- Will Chelsea win on 2025-01-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.