Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84762466eb6aba19b7e08569410c5b3e25d6411959f618c707f2bce98098cc6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $139,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $155,602
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 28c | 27,439$7,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,726.73 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 72c | 18,439$13,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,275.75 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbb…05a8backed Yes | 67c | 14,912$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed No | 33c | 14,500$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,714.99 | 76 | 30.3%23 W · 53 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…4ce3backed No | 33c | 10,000$3,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,719.39 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Yes | 67c | 8,011$5,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,367.29 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x572e…ac69backed Yes | 72c | 8,000$5,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,760 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 33c | 6,865$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,632.88 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 69c | 6,632$4,605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.3 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 33c | 5,524$1,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,684.93 | 281 | 33.1%93 W · 188 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf80b…fa00backed No | 28c | 4,114$1,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,976.15 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Yes | 74c | 4,052$2,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,998.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 32c | 4,000$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,719.97 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,679.95 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f91…907fbacked Yes | 66c | 3,927$2,592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,592.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Yes | 71c | 3,521$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 142 | 46.5%66 W · 76 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 33c | 3,503$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.66 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 8c | 3,361$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.21 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +291.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Yes | 67c | 2,688$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.99 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 28c | 2,598$737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,860.38 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed No | 32c | 2,145$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.19 | 96 | 18.8%18 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…93c2backed No | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked No | 37c | 1,551$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.03 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…d4debacked Yes | 70c | 1,429$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 39cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa645…0be6backed Yes | 70c | 1,425$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.5 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9259…52dcbacked Yes | 69c | 1,304$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes | 63c | 1,132$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…b5ccbacked Yes | 65c | 1,120$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…f450backed No | 53c | 1,099$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.69 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked No | 30c | 999.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.99 | 65 | 40%26 W · 39 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Yes | 63c | 997.29$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.29 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 42cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 38c | 979.01$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608.89 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 31c | 918.49$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.03 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 29c | 908.48$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.02 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 65c | 890.41$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.32 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 24c | 864.87$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.44 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +6.4wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Yes | 66c | 757.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…7e27backed Yes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -84%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6955…867abacked Yes | 69c | 717.33$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.96 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked No | 32c | 695.13$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.69 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa0…a3d2backed Yes | 76c | 652.23$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 35c | 602.83$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.91 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 35c | 568$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.2 | 423 | 52%220 W · 203 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb22a…77c9backed Yes | 68c | 562.85$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.74 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09ed…0cedbacked Yes | 67c | 500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c39…9f30backed No | 33c | 500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Yes | 35c | 500$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 34c | 499.92$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.95 | 162 | 44.4%72 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 67c | 473.1$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Yes | 56c | 461.97$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x967d…ef6abacked Yes | 76c | 460.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.74 | 64 | 73.4%47 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…2d7ebacked Yes | 69c | 420.32$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd81…d892backed Yes | 74c | 405.19$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 69c | 400.34$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.71 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…de50backed No | 30c | 399.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fbe…d7e1backed Yes | 75c | 351.79$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.15 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 47cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…0ef5backed Yes | 68c | 347.66$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.52 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 67c | 344.6$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.88 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…c1e6backed Yes | 77c | 323.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.06 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8b…63b2backed Yes | 71c | 312.68$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 131 | 59.5%78 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a43…9b60backed Yes | 40c | 310$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 66c | 300$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.38 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x50f7…7272backed Yes | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6d…ece3backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe860…cdaabacked Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 60cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a3…9230backed Yes | 74c | 266.51$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9470…7790backed Yes | 66c | 250$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed No | 33c | 250$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.5 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb470…aa7bbacked Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee1d…7a12backed Yes | 69c | 243.48$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 75c | 236.32$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa59a…dd69backed Yes | 65c | 212.3$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed No | 32c | 200$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136 | 100 | 33%33 W · 67 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad87…6a86backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf2…3a76backed Yes | 69c | 184.14$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 35c | 172$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.38 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 71c | 159.15$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 66c | 151.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f15…3a7dbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…b219backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x937b…07ddbacked Yes | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994f…2f7dbacked Yes | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.5 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked Yes | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 74c | 149.31$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.49 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 71cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…378cbacked Yes | 67c | 148.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…13cfbacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…6439backed Yes | 74c | 133.96$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 24cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 66c | 121.21$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed Yes | 70c | 120.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x116a…ed51backed Yes | 54c | 119.68$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 67c | 119.4$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742d…83f1backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Yes | 72c | 110.07$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 60 | 18.3%11 W · 49 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Yes | 69c | 107.81$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.39 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?this page
- Will Azerbaijan vs. Ukraine end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Azerbaijan win on 2025-09-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.