TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfa67…13cf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
38
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: AI, grading 51 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category AI at 51 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2119%4 W · 17 L-4.7wins-0.23per pick42cpaid-61.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.95
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.67
Spain to score first vs. Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.61
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$15.36
Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$233.33
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$38.65
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Germany vs. Paraguay: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Germany · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.23
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$151.85
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Ukraine win on 2025-09-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 21 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-13.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$265
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Trump meet with Putin by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$710Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$710.17
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.79
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$78.97
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+25.9%+$94.56
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
Will Russia capture territory in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$20.75
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+86.1%+$86.04
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-13.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$70.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2backed Dubois · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.