Ukraine · resolved market
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by September 15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b0c2a1dd8df4eeca402b02f290f6559de02030613d83792c21c7908e8756ec1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ukraineevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $181,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,346
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 237 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ukraine is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ukraine | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked No | 40c | 16,910$6,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,750.9 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036e…9276backed Yes | 51c | 9,635$4,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,721.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf639…d967backed No | 9c | 7,926$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c12…7a2fbacked No | 2c | 6,118$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7df4…3dc7backed Yes | 44c | 6,038$2,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd5…ac33backed Yes | 77c | 4,800$3,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.61 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | -4.3wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 76c | 3,340$2,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.05 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eac…3600backed No | 42c | 3,295$1,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,382.02 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 23c | 3,223$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.05 | 38 | 63.2%24 W · 14 L | +5.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x712f…b93bbacked No | 23c | 3,000$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 57c | 2,941$1,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,689.36 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 5c | 2,600$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 90 | 5.6%5 W · 85 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -82.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0103…067bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,395$1,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.78 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…b243backed Yes | 51c | 2,279$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,120.36 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629b…995abacked No | 49c | 2,232$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…552fbacked No | 31c | 2,181$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.73 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 1c | 2,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 149 | 20.8%31 W · 118 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0141…fe13backed No | 1c | 2,080$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8365…e9a6backed No | 46c | 2,000$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917.74 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee6…4050backed No | 30c | 1,956$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.92 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f309backed No | 1c | 1,947$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 14cpaid | -91.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 74c | 1,900$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.07 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -59%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf08…b700backed No | 1c | 1,773$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 15cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11e0…7cd5backed No | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed No | 7c | 1,478$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.09 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72e7…3a9bbacked Yes | 74c | 1,428$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 28c | 1,231$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.8 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed No | 28c | 1,207$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.37 | 90 | 37.8%34 W · 56 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…e446backed Yes | 62c | 1,189$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x069f…b749backed Yes | 47c | 1,145$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$603.18 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…1bf4backed No | 26c | 1,100$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.94 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Yes | 76c | 1,088$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.33 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed No | 26c | 1,051$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.33 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1fcb…c875backed No | 29c | 1,050$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,013$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.66 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60d6…af98backed No | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b8…c770backed No | 18c | 984.99$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.31 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff1…72ebbacked Yes | 63c | 964.89$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.91 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed No | 20c | 922.73$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.28 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed Yes | 77c | 894.81$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.26 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…b73ebacked Yes | 66c | 873.36$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.09 | 353 | 41.9%148 W · 205 L | +24.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 3c | 853.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x825e…904fbacked Yes | 70c | 822.35$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.23 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…a828backed Yes | 61c | 814.1$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.2 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ae…2631backed No | 23c | 800$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a97…24dabacked Yes | 69c | 722.82$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x415a…d1e2backed Yes | 77c | 702.37$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.05 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -67.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…e8c9backed No | 38c | 701.28$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…b2d3backed No | 24c | 700$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d8…0a63backed Yes | 75c | 689.23$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.16 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 31c | 641.23$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.43 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…6697backed Yes | 71c | 622.77$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.37 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca7…6149backed Yes | 73c | 600$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.55 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 48c | 548.06$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.42 | 103 | 57.3%59 W · 44 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…c901backed Yes | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2027…6d60backed No | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b87…e76dbacked No | 21c | 500$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa6f…7e67backed Yes | 79c | 452.57$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.93 | 54 | 79.6%43 W · 11 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61c7…82cebacked No | 8c | 425.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…4cb7backed No | 25c | 412.4$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 51c | 412.23$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.42 | 268 | 35.1%94 W · 174 L | -38.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 14c | 404.03$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.67 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d8…747cbacked No | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…b2e3backed Yes | 56c | 399.98$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf652…56afbacked No | 59c | 399.98$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.99 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.4wins | -0.24per pick | 54cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 35c | 399.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 24c | 387.34$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.96 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 71c | 351.57$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 25cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef71…704fbacked No | 60c | 350$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc550…272dbacked No | 35c | 350$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaefb…11afbacked No | 51c | 347.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 32c | 345.71$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 255 | 28.2%72 W · 183 L | -17.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdacb…af2bbacked No | 32c | 344.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa244…8e63backed No | 24c | 333.01$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c8…1da2backed No | 44c | 333$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ef…5289backed No | 41c | 330.06$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…9657backed Yes | 76c | 329$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 73cpaid | -47%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…4a0bbacked No | 40c | 326.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a1…dd72backed Yes | 70c | 326.46$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.94 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +14.4wins | +0.20per pick | 36cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 44c | 326.19$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.63 | 417 | 36.2%151 W · 266 L | -25.2wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…03b1backed No | 10c | 304.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0815…d0ddbacked Yes | 79c | 303$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…d809backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa70…8f17backed No | 42c | 300$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5f…9d60backed Yes | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked Yes | 52c | 277.41$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.16 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 22c | 271.41$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.03 | 171 | 22.2%38 W · 133 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed Yes | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -77.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4141…8b6cbacked No | 34c | 265.23$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed No | 32c | 264$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.28 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 21c | 263$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x736b…3b87backed No | 28c | 250.36$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92d0…269ebacked No | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b24…01abbacked Yes | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…f82ebacked Yes | 66c | 248.35$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.38 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x741d…e35cbacked Yes | 54c | 242.31$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.31 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe809…039bbacked Yes | 62c | 241.41$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.85 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +6.9wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ukraine and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.