AI · resolved market
Will Apple's iPhone 17 Pro cost more than $1000 when it launches?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27201d0f722d976de4c41e8f683611d7cce8b95e7fa9f19ff0289f679fddd411
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $286,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x283b…3a9bbacked No | 0c | 33,020$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.02 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -65%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ad…a9f1backed No | 1c | 27,013$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.64 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed32…20d6backed No | 0c | 20,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed No | 3c | 11,576$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 104 | 26.9%28 W · 76 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd579…374ebacked No | 0c | 6,430$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2525…b919backed No | 3c | 6,064$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.2 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 1c | 5,651$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.17 | 1,363 | 6.8%93 W · 1,270 L | -20.2wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked No | 1c | 5,500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 107 | 23.4%25 W · 82 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5358…5243backed Yes | 71c | 2,085$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.55 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb72…aa19backed No | 2c | 2,077$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -81.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…ce8dbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd973…4444backed No | 28c | 1,418$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b8…a3dfbacked No | 22c | 1,378$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…3d4ebacked No | 31c | 1,271$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked No | 47c | 1,099$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.64 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd748…2125backed No | 50c | 1,068$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 56c | 1,054$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.51 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed No | 24c | 1,041$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…d73ebacked No | 37c | 942.17$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1033…6113backed No | 46c | 861.15$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f39…d452backed Yes | 79c | 835.43$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc09…dbfabacked No | 14c | 749$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46b2…14f3backed No | 36c | 724.81$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc9…148ebacked No | 42c | 713.9$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed No | 13c | 694.87$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf01…6865backed No | 45c | 668.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa78f…135cbacked No | 34c | 668.06$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 59c | 664.51$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.45 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6d…9c5cbacked No | 23c | 627.65$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.59 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8149…f490backed No | 30c | 598.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf81…68bbbacked No | 17c | 591.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +900%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7250…5468backed Yes | 77c | 587.47$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.24 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f78…f3a0backed No | 35c | 565.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fd…95eabacked No | 27c | 555.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e20…04e2backed Yes | 79c | 507.07$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 25c | 499.99$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 72 | 22.2%16 W · 56 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1e…bfe7backed No | 6c | 499.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 19.4%14 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -63%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 73c | 490.67$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.82 | 39 | 7.7%3 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 14cpaid | -89.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 15c | 442.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.59 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b7…787bbacked No | 27c | 436.4$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675c…9678backed No | 21c | 429.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfef7…c9f4backed Yes | 51c | 422.43$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.55 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +160%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecd…0787backed Yes | 73c | 417.8$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.34 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01e7…89b4backed Yes | 75c | 404.99$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.35 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 11c | 379.75$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.13 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a84…09a9backed No | 41c | 366.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 78c | 329.04$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f2…63bfbacked No | 11c | 320.61$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 60c | 299.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.99 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa67…13cfbacked Yes | 76c | 295.79$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed Yes | 73c | 281.58$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf184…5b50backed No | 7c | 273.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…8914backed No | 24c | 253.79$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad86…cd10backed Yes | 72c | 252.85$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.62 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…363abacked No | 41c | 245.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b8…b68cbacked No | 13c | 226$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa28b…03f6backed No | 13c | 225.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…3b21backed No | 23c | 214.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…5e33backed No | 47c | 212.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…2aeebacked No | 17c | 205.72$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f1…2287backed Yes | 79c | 202$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b6…f279backed Yes | 64c | 192.47$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 70c | 181.88$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1de2…9e23backed Yes | 53c | 160$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 35cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb3d…bd14backed Yes | 66c | 150.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…8d47backed Yes | 58c | 150.58$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…ce22backed No | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6590…ad78backed No | 25c | 149.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e23…cbc4backed No | 26c | 146.06$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…f015backed Yes | 63c | 145.32$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 18c | 143.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 211 | 25.6%54 W · 157 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 62c | 141.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.28 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…31d3backed No | 21c | 140.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b08…24a6backed No | 22c | 140$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b2…7c84backed Yes | 78c | 139.58$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a96…7f23backed Yes | 77c | 130.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 78c | 124.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…aa87backed No | 21c | 118.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 109$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.51 | 407 | 12.3%50 W · 357 L | -35.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe605…ac5fbacked Yes | 62c | 107.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.2 | 27 | 7.4%2 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -86.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccac…ab7dbacked No | 24c | 106.6$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed No | 47c | 101.88$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.96 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf86c…ba99backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…b3d2backed No | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a69…dbc4backed Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…0b9cbacked Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d0…79d1backed No | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…253bbacked Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…4675backed Yes | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 56c | 94.22$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…5490backed Yes | 75c | 93.33$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…216bbacked No | 16c | 89.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…5551backed Yes | 66c | 88.38$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e5…f261backed No | 14c | 86.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed Yes | 53c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d15…272bbacked No | 46c | 77.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…2fd3backed No | 16c | 75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.