TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8b08…24a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NFL, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2050%10 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+120.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
NFL — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+188.5%+$19.59
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$10.83
Will John Harbaugh be the next Giants Head Coach?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+69.1%+$14.3
Will John Harbaugh join the New York Giants prior to April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+81.8%+$9
Texans vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$12
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+357.4%+$85.94
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$27.05
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+760.8%+$265.15
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.65
Bears vs. 49ersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$28.24
Patriots vs. Ravensbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+204.9%+$83.91
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+75.7%+$17.24
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.2
Chiefs vs. Jaguarsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.18
Chargers vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.65
Buccaneers vs. Texansbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+256.9%+$34.55
Patriots vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.7
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+458.7%+$125.7
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+952.6%+$108.6
Chiefs vs. Chargersbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.58
All 20 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Sep 12, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick76cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angels vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 12, 2025, EDT+36.1%+$10.6
Diamondbacks vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+29%+$4.5
Astros vs. Blue Jaysbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$40.16
Mets vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT+35.7%+$9.2
All 4 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-43.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-51%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid-17.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$8.8
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$69.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Nov 6, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$31.57
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$22.15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+233.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Noche UFC: Lopes vs. Silvabacked Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 13, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$31.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Avalanche vs. Predatorsbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$11.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$58
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.