MLB · resolved market
Mets vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b9764f91718aedb631990cb81d87dd4423f63fed7ab500693ea877562bb73c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philliesof Mets, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $670,005
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $690,668
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $670,005 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 561 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Mets | 53c | 124,959$66,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,228.27 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Phillies | 47c | 95,756$45,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,750.51 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mets | 21c | 80,338$17,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,073.09 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 47c | 25,000$11,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,249.99 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Mets | 40c | 22,245$8,833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,833.24 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Phillies | 46c | 22,049$10,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,906.21 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 47c | 19,753$9,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,469.14 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 72c | 19,315$13,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,420.92 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Phillies | 65c | 13,839$9,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,824.6 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Mets | 53c | 10,700$5,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,671 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Mets | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Phillies | 46c | 6,915$3,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,734.21 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Mets | 39c | 6,038$2,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,332.78 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mets | 53c | 5,851$3,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,095.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mets | 53c | 5,500$2,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,915 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Mets | 54c | 5,228$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820.17 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 63c | 5,207$3,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.25 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Phillies | 77c | 4,451$3,439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Phillies | 49c | 4,295$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,169.49 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mets | 41c | 3,293$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +9.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Mets | 54c | 3,008$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.15 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Mets | 52c | 2,614$1,367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,366.75 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Phillies | 50c | 2,496$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.88 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Mets | 54c | 2,406$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,297.15 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Mets | 54c | 2,169$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170.03 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Mets | 54c | 2,130$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Phillies | 80c | 2,000$1,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.74 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Phillies | 45c | 1,733$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.98 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Phillies | 54c | 1,587$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.62 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Mets | 52c | 1,476$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.45 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Phillies | 46c | 1,450$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.9 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Mets | 53c | 1,368$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.04 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Mets | 25c | 1,331$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.02 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc2…4bd3backed Phillies | 71c | 1,268$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.61 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 67cpaid | +17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Phillies | 68c | 1,200$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Mets | 18c | 1,176$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.66 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…bf8bbacked Phillies | 47c | 1,162$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.86 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…84d8backed Mets | 53c | 1,128$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…9076backed Mets | 53c | 1,122$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594.66 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.33per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9375…1dbdbacked Mets | 54c | 1,094$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.61 | 112 | 57.1%64 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc87c…667abacked Phillies | 47c | 1,088$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd8…4bf1backed Mets | 40c | 1,025$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 56cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Mets | 53c | 1,004$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.12 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Phillies | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Mets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Phillies | 69c | 970.46$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.65 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Phillies | 47c | 957.45$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.45 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9598…1fd2backed Phillies | 46c | 935$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Mets | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Mets | 32c | 842.12$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.8 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Mets | 54c | 814.81$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Phillies | 65c | 803.14$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.37 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Mets | 29c | 801.54$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.29 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Phillies | 47c | 800$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Mets | 51c | 800$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Mets | 29c | 784.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.3 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Mets | 54c | 754.38$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.3 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Phillies | 78c | 708.86$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.19 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72ad…2b6bbacked Mets | 51c | 700.22$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.11 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Mets | 40c | 646$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.4 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Phillies | 58c | 627.62$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.28 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e3…5e25backed Phillies | 48c | 625$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +30%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5184…df62backed Mets | 54c | 624.85$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.42 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Mets | 36c | 568.79$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.02 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 46c | 559.59$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.18 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mets | 54c | 526$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.04 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Phillies | 47c | 494.59$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.13 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Phillies | 47c | 479.04$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.89 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Mets | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Phillies | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Phillies | 78c | 355.49$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.66 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12f0…6a90backed Mets | 52c | 355$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.6 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Phillies | 47c | 337.23$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.73 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Phillies | 70c | 332.08$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.88 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Mets | 54c | 324.07$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Phillies | 68c | 324$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.68 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Mets | 53c | 322$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.33 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.11 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b48…58a6backed Phillies | 73c | 300$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Phillies | 77c | 256.86$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f77…fdb8backed Mets | 33c | 255$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.95 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f06…5fc9backed Phillies | 48c | 250$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Mets | 29c | 236.13$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.48 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…107abacked Phillies | 66c | 230.12$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.24 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 64c | 221.43$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4591…d19ebacked Phillies | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 141 | 46.1%65 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…606cbacked Phillies | 50c | 200.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.52 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Mets | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 457 | 32.2%147 W · 310 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Phillies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked Phillies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Phillies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Phillies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Mets | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked Phillies | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mets vs. Philliesthis page
- Mets vs. Phillies: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Mets (-1.5)Phillies won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.