NFL · resolved market
Chargers vs. Raiders
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x269c676c69555c6f9609178c0c1b2c7469d413e7e22cd0f340c87390a4f6e766
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chargersof Chargers, Raiders
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,286,153
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,512,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,286,153 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 559 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2d54…3a09backed Chargers | 64c | 1,476,820$942,351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534,469.24 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Raiders | 36c | 400,000$144,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144,000 | 127 | 44.9%57 W · 70 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Raiders | 35c | 387,465$134,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134,112.2 | 418 | 51.9%217 W · 201 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Raiders | 36c | 282,141$101,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101,570.76 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…936fbacked Chargers | 64c | 237,940$152,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,658.4 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Raiders | 23c | 163,824$37,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,119.16 | 225 | 48.4%109 W · 116 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Raiders | 36c | 153,488$55,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,255.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Raiders | 36c | 127,500$45,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,975 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5a…00f2backed Raiders | 37c | 108,108$40,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Chargers | 69c | 96,717$66,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,019.49 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Chargers | 64c | 95,416$60,699 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,717.3 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Chargers | 63c | 95,044$59,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,166.28 | 181 | 56.9%103 W · 78 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Raiders | 36c | 95,000$34,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,200 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Chargers | 64c | 92,107$58,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,158.52 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Raiders | 36c | 88,000$31,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,859.95 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c3…a26cbacked Chargers | 63c | 81,998$51,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,019.14 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Raiders | 36c | 80,000$28,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,800 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Raiders | 37c | 67,263$24,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,570.02 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +12.6wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Raiders | 37c | 66,292$24,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,369.2 | 446 | 52.9%236 W · 210 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Chargers | 62c | 66,207$41,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,158.81 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Chargers | 76c | 57,626$44,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,626.47 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Chargers | 75c | 53,216$39,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,521.09 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Raiders | 21c | 48,747$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,299.63 | 206 | 34.5%71 W · 135 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Raiders | 25c | 45,808$11,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,411.26 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Raiders | 17c | 44,172$7,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,302.64 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Raiders | 36c | 42,748$15,269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,269.28 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Raiders | 6c | 41,797$2,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,613.93 | 149 | 26.2%39 W · 110 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…dce5backed Raiders | 36c | 41,737$15,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,097.7 | 273 | 39.2%107 W · 166 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Raiders | 36c | 39,917$14,370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,370 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raiders | 36c | 36,517$13,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,146.19 | 224 | 50%112 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Raiders | 15c | 34,153$5,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,134.68 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Raiders | 36c | 30,000$10,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,800 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Raiders | 26c | 29,929$7,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,657.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Raiders | 37c | 28,519$10,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,551.97 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Chargers | 75c | 26,405$19,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,683.46 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Raiders | 32c | 26,122$8,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,320.1 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Raiders | 40c | 25,019$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Chargers | 63c | 20,943$13,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,748.82 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Chargers | 79c | 20,481$16,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,237.13 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Raiders | 38c | 20,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,600 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Raiders | 36c | 19,719$7,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,097.74 | 245 | 51%125 W · 120 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb412…3026backed Raiders | 36c | 19,000$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Raiders | 36c | 17,338$6,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,241.85 | 318 | 48.1%153 W · 165 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked Raiders | 6c | 16,330$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.19 | 333 | 28.5%95 W · 238 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Raiders | 24c | 15,216$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.87 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Raiders | 36c | 14,987$5,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,395.34 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…7c83backed Raiders | 7c | 14,286$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +6.8wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Raiders | 9c | 14,121$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.21 | 611 | 48.6%297 W · 314 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Chargers | 65c | 12,768$8,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,468.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Raiders | 35c | 12,685$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.59 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…0d03backed Raiders | 30c | 12,589$3,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,823 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -8.5wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Raiders | 36c | 11,111$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 251 | 37.5%94 W · 157 L | -18.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Raiders | 36c | 10,000$3,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,566.67 | 89 | 59.6%53 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Chargers | 63c | 9,990$6,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,696.3 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb7…6e92backed Chargers | 63c | 9,113$5,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.37 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Chargers | 78c | 8,874$6,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,936.29 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Raiders | 37c | 8,108$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Chargers | 63c | 8,016$5,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.13 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3d…5d4cbacked Raiders | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Raiders | 10c | 7,577$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.94 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4992…6f5cbacked Chargers | 69c | 7,500$5,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Raiders | 36c | 7,145$2,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,557.23 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Chargers | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Raiders | 37c | 6,316$2,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,336.99 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Raiders | 36c | 5,673$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.39 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Raiders | 36c | 5,606$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.81 | 834 | 47.1%393 W · 441 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Raiders | 36c | 5,556$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 257 | 44.4%114 W · 143 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Chargers | 73c | 5,515$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.07 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Chargers | 71c | 5,224$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,524.04 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Raiders | 37c | 5,169$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.35 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…0d2abacked Chargers | 64c | 5,057$3,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.68 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raiders | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…e0d3backed Chargers | 63c | 5,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,850 | 198 | 64.6%128 W · 70 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Raiders | 33c | 4,985$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.99 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Raiders | 37c | 4,355$1,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,611.35 | 58 | 37.9%22 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Chargers | 65c | 3,500$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…59e4backed Raiders | 8c | 3,454$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…d82cbacked Raiders | 38c | 3,396$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.58 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7308…c177backed Raiders | 37c | 3,371$1,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.1 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Raiders | 37c | 3,256$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.16 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +7.7wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xea3e…b956backed Chargers | 63c | 2,978$1,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,115.33 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Chargers | 79c | 2,856$2,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f2…702cbacked Chargers | 64c | 2,781$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,001.01 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…b233backed Raiders | 36c | 2,778$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Raiders | 37c | 2,529$937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.58 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Raiders | 36c | 2,484$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.25 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Raiders | 26c | 2,458$642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$641.73 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Chargers | 63c | 2,358$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.88 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…59e7backed Raiders | 8c | 2,270$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.83 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…36a7backed Chargers | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 193 | 61.7%119 W · 74 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe686…13cbbacked Raiders | 2c | 2,229$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.94 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Raiders | 9c | 2,211$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.12 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Raiders | 39c | 2,162$842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.84 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdc…9da2backed Raiders | 19c | 2,130$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.54 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Raiders | 15c | 2,103$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.15 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ac…b899backed Raiders | 36c | 2,083$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e25…043ebacked Raiders | 33c | 2,018$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.08 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea5…10a8backed Raiders | 32c | 1,988$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed Raiders | 26c | 1,887$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.98 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f8d…6790backed Chargers | 64c | 1,853$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.4 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Chargers vs. Raidersthis page
- Chargers vs. Raiders: O/U 44.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Raiders: O/U 45.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Raiders: O/U 46.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Raiders: O/U 47.5Under won
- Chargers vs. Raiders: O/U 48.5Under won
- Spread: Chargers (-2.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chargers (-3.5)Chargers won
- Spread: Chargers (-4.5)Chargers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.