Token Launches · resolved market
Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6ef492ad10749c886fe4c7dee9fee98373c9003ccf63c1ada785d3d33cef3a88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,200,931
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,017,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,200,931 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 358 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2daf…87f0backed Yes | 24c | 59,559$14,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,578.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 40,694$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.38 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce35…ab3cbacked Yes | 6c | 34,524$1,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,943.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3969…6e2cbacked Yes | 0c | 31,633$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.32 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -86.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f3…6316backed Yes | 0c | 26,642$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8af…1c8cbacked Yes | 12c | 24,135$2,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,964.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7a…3de0backed Yes | 19c | 22,378$4,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,323.52 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe714…d510backed Yes | 13c | 21,875$2,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,748.03 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed Yes | 0c | 20,886$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 5c | 19,025$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,033.27 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…1935backed Yes | 6c | 17,994$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.36 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7474…4ebabacked Yes | 16c | 16,754$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,667 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49aa…917abacked Yes | 5c | 16,551$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 6c | 14,545$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.68 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd762…1e56backed Yes | 4c | 12,602$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.17 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7900…66bebacked Yes | 4c | 12,355$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…097bbacked Yes | 7c | 12,189$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 10c | 12,146$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,224.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…b4b9backed Yes | 8c | 11,714$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.76 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b3…40d4backed Yes | 7c | 11,116$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes | 4c | 11,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19a3…06e9backed Yes | 18c | 10,736$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,958.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29ac…c710backed Yes | 7c | 10,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6359…de88backed Yes | 5c | 9,729$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9436…029dbacked Yes | 5c | 9,102$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10c0…21b5backed Yes | 8c | 9,001$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b6…1a80backed Yes | 22c | 8,959$1,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,993.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…d693backed Yes | 5c | 8,717$474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b83…e4c7backed Yes | 9c | 8,641$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d23…1895backed Yes | 37c | 8,606$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 1c | 8,171$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.02 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 5c | 8,024$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.36 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec6…d8c1backed Yes | 23c | 7,806$1,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,822.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 7,288$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.96 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 7,280$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.76 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 0c | 6,969$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…80cfbacked Yes | 12c | 6,821$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…77ecbacked Yes | 6c | 6,794$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb7f…ab13backed Yes | 5c | 6,666$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07a0…03f6backed No | 64c | 6,124$3,949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,174.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d93…b19cbacked Yes | 7c | 6,112$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 7c | 6,074$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…4f22backed Yes | 8c | 5,962$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 4c | 5,937$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.87 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aae…d563backed Yes | 9c | 5,712$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e2…3868backed Yes | 18c | 5,608$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4495…429fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,486$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x513c…259bbacked Yes | 44c | 5,445$2,378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe20…c8fabacked Yes | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…eea1backed Yes | 22c | 4,921$1,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,058.27 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…512bbacked Yes | 11c | 4,826$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd5…c8f1backed Yes | 39c | 4,456$1,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa511…18a3backed Yes | 4c | 4,263$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf17d…2ebebacked Yes | 10c | 4,102$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4911…b065backed Yes | 5c | 4,095$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…ba86backed Yes | 25c | 4,013$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,013.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2655…0c39backed Yes | 18c | 3,993$717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf17…d849backed Yes | 9c | 3,988$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9cf…a08abacked Yes | 16c | 3,794$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…a900backed Yes | 7c | 3,709$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…5a25backed Yes | 5c | 3,707$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -73%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992a…5242backed Yes | 17c | 3,685$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 4c | 3,625$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | +39%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a8…2752backed Yes | 3c | 3,583$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d55…1503backed No | 63c | 3,453$2,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.71 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x990b…1fd7backed Yes | 7c | 3,452$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…feb5backed Yes | 36c | 3,352$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf222…49f5backed Yes | 10c | 3,349$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…a5b0backed Yes | 6c | 3,326$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.67 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 3,224$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.27 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa09b…db3dbacked Yes | 9c | 3,106$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.54 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fa…5a5abacked Yes | 42c | 3,052$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75da…ab0dbacked Yes | 10c | 3,030$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3134…1b18backed Yes | 21c | 3,000$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ab7…387ebacked Yes | 9c | 3,000$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…e830backed Yes | 5c | 2,963$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d1…12b4backed Yes | 18c | 2,937$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…6c41backed Yes | 21c | 2,884$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$593.01 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b42…80e5backed Yes | 22c | 2,830$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…f7b7backed Yes | 4c | 2,826$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.73 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8f2dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,772$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1256…fc6cbacked Yes | 9c | 2,743$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ba…3cd0backed Yes | 37c | 2,735$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…0788backed Yes | 3c | 2,731$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed Yes | 4c | 2,659$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 8c | 2,655$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.47 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafe5…6d1dbacked No | 65c | 2,540$1,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$884.63 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a3…423ebacked Yes | 20c | 2,538$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Yes | 9c | 2,515$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ed…90b2backed Yes | 2c | 2,510$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a92…f451backed Yes | 8c | 2,490$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 7c | 2,449$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.14 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…3b6cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,320$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe67c…299abacked Yes | 19c | 2,304$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf14…a90ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,299$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…9348backed Yes | 14c | 2,273$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02e8…f8c5backed Yes | 9c | 2,256$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb206…f717backed Yes | 19c | 2,206$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a79…df10backed Yes | 6c | 2,201$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 2c | 2,100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?this page
- Will Agora win the USDH ticker?No won
- Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?No won
- Will Frax win the USDH ticker?No won
- Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes won
- Will Sky win the USDH ticker?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.