Token Launches · resolved market
Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x56c3197e9b3a47eaecf064eac3c7b6736dc39c4d7a8bd3fe7ff5392bd652dcf9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,151,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $592,758
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,151,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 157 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf786…f8c0backed Yes | 2c | 107,975$2,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39ec…6504backed Yes | 3c | 62,163$1,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,908.38 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 56,100$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.6 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…5df4backed Yes | 1c | 42,383$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd39f…d494backed Yes | 5c | 41,429$2,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,042.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9188…5a25backed Yes | 0c | 37,664$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -73%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…d596backed Yes | 5c | 36,332$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07e0…1db9backed Yes | 0c | 36,260$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 0c | 23,299$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.56 | 57 | 1.8%1 W · 56 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23be…da4fbacked Yes | 0c | 21,934$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591f…5610backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…5b0fbacked Yes | 3c | 15,675$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…18abbacked Yes | 3c | 15,362$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…59fabacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41a…1935backed Yes | 9c | 13,896$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.92 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 24cpaid | -91.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9c…e333backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 12,547$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 62 | 27.4%17 W · 45 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88f7…fe6ebacked Yes | 3c | 12,263$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…8a96backed Yes | 6c | 12,000$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6243…2f80backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…2725backed Yes | 1c | 11,978$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.58 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a1…6877backed Yes | 1c | 10,867$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.07 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 10,598$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.32 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x175b…93aebacked Yes | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf646…ec54backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb4…4961backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a2…372abacked Yes | 12c | 8,950$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a7…a879backed Yes | 0c | 8,311$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 2c | 8,116$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.12 | 57 | 3.5%2 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed Yes | 53c | 8,108$4,334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,333.89 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bec…f7b7backed Yes | 1c | 6,861$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd4…701dbacked Yes | 0c | 6,691$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d09…ce9ebacked Yes | 1c | 6,538$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.79 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe04…0ecfbacked Yes | 8c | 6,209$467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d33…f5d3backed Yes | 0c | 6,072$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1295…640dbacked No | 63c | 5,897$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,163.39 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd863…3a7fbacked Yes | 5c | 5,000$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…7090backed Yes | 1c | 4,944$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7102…1a1abacked Yes | 4c | 4,702$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…0ff3backed Yes | 7c | 4,555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc812…bbdcbacked Yes | 5c | 4,370$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x992a…5242backed Yes | 5c | 4,353$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86e…e898backed Yes | 15c | 4,295$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1f…97debacked Yes | 6c | 4,110$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0199…da86backed Yes | 7c | 3,788$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6561…c074backed Yes | 7c | 3,500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…8a19backed Yes | 8c | 3,498$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5c…b1f0backed Yes | 1c | 3,431$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed Yes | 18c | 3,380$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.05 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…a900backed Yes | 2c | 3,300$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…084ebacked Yes | 14c | 3,252$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.03 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +6.0wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +565.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…8030backed Yes | 25c | 3,230$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd352…4ad6backed Yes | 33c | 3,190$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.5 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8212backed Yes | 1c | 3,187$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +288.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da6…59fabacked Yes | 11c | 3,089$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Yes | 7c | 3,050$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe659…f7e9backed Yes | 7c | 2,953$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.86 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb494…b7b5backed Yes | 54c | 2,823$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0600…bf98backed Yes | 11c | 2,819$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…217abacked Yes | 8c | 2,783$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0194…6a4abacked Yes | 5c | 2,777$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.85 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…06f1backed Yes | 7c | 2,645$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6f…1a0cbacked Yes | 57c | 2,518$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…87f8backed Yes | 43c | 2,511$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 6c | 2,460$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.06 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb74b…f6b7backed Yes | 4c | 2,200$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 2c | 2,170$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6694…9c46backed Yes | 49c | 2,114$1,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03d2…70b6backed Yes | 5c | 2,041$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0f…2052backed Yes | 5c | 2,030$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed Yes | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.55 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc239…899dbacked Yes | 11c | 1,927$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b0…76f4backed Yes | 3c | 1,900$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked No | 62c | 1,788$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.26 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf522…82d2backed Yes | 4c | 1,693$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd5…c087backed Yes | 36c | 1,529$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4dd…3046backed Yes | 42c | 1,371$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.8 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 4c | 1,337$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.76 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…62efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,300$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d36…c4dbbacked Yes | 39c | 1,278$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.33 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 2c | 1,216$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 40 | 7.5%3 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e6…5d2bbacked Yes | 4c | 1,166$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…a9efbacked Yes | 37c | 1,141$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9b…2556backed Yes | 5c | 1,077$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0181…c1c5backed Yes | 5c | 1,020$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x293a…2554backed Yes | 2c | 1,005$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x873e…689bbacked Yes | 4c | 987.25$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff03…3a38backed Yes | 36c | 948.47$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 3c | 902$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 110 | 7.3%8 W · 102 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…d55ebacked Yes | 34c | 887.7$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce40…cdcabacked Yes | 58c | 862.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a09…09f9backed Yes | 9c | 855.48$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac4…0418backed Yes | 4c | 843.23$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8934…8745backed Yes | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928f…6e55backed Yes | 4c | 749$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed Yes | 41c | 739.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc81c…e454backed Yes | 7c | 719.46$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c67…29dbbacked Yes | 48c | 700$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 4c | 683.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 67 | 13.4%9 W · 58 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -74.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b1…8f2dbacked Yes | 3c | 606.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ethena win the USDH ticker?this page
- Will Agora win the USDH ticker?No won
- Will Frax win the USDH ticker?No won
- Will Native Markets win the USDH ticker?Yes won
- Will Paxos win the USDH ticker?No won
- Will Sky win the USDH ticker?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.