TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Angels vs. Mariners

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marinersof Angels, Mariners
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$594,826
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$606,027

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $594,826 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 213 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa983…46a3backed Angels44c76,651$33,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,802.0811345.1%51 W · 62 L-16.4wins-0.14per pick60cpaid-28.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Mariners59c54,555$32,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,371.821,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Mariners65c35,388$22,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,502.6448254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Angels41c26,075$10,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,722.8434245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Mariners61c25,992$15,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,121.91,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea64…f2a2backed Mariners66c25,066$16,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,512.438751.9%201 W · 186 L-1.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabf4…43f7backed Mariners60c24,530$14,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,918.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Angels27c23,022$6,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,246.2469249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf29b…dd4cbacked Angels40c21,841$8,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,736.3438043.4%165 W · 215 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Angels16c20,260$3,265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,264.8728646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Mariners57c20,217$11,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,600.9821847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Angels17c17,838$3,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,055.8760249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Angels36c13,799$5,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,008.751,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa408…e305backed Angels48c10,714$5,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,177.294531.1%14 W · 31 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-42.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Angels41c9,296$3,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,811.3616347.9%78 W · 85 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Mariners58c8,687$5,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,640.5178445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2873…ad0abacked Angels42c8,667$3,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,663.2110041%41 W · 59 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mariners58c7,469$4,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,140.391,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Angels30c7,283$2,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,160.792,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Mariners60c7,216$4,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,900.1363152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Angels20c7,119$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.1315353.6%82 W · 71 L+9.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Mariners59c6,200$3,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5429666.7%64 W · 32 L+16.4wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+36.4%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Mariners48c5,991$2,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,097.866,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8e2…322bbacked Angels42c5,009$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.782133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Mariners59c4,424$2,592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,831.622,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b0…be26backed Mariners78c3,929$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Angels53c3,509$1,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,842.7447745.7%218 W · 259 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Mariners72c3,436$2,469 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$967.4412,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Angels42c3,281$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36911554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8086…22b7backed Mariners58c3,222$1,869 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,353.242556%14 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Angels43c3,160$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,345.271,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f2…5495backed Angels27c3,136$854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8549759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Angels38c2,984$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,125.054,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Mariners59c2,954$1,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,217.6556451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d5e…7004backed Mariners77c2,887$2,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650.4921767.7%147 W · 70 L+36.1wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Angels38c2,426$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923.9483248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Mariners58c2,265$1,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.31,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Angels23c2,200$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50857744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8868…ec0dbacked Angels35c2,151$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7537443.2%32 W · 42 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Mariners62c1,977$1,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.4224154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x45c2…0f74backed Angels32c1,898$604 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$604.182751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Mariners55c1,650$914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Mariners66c1,648$1,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.8815749.7%78 W · 79 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a33…2534backed Mariners59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.978156.8%46 W · 35 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x39cb…46e8backed Mariners60c1,433$860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.334060%24 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Mariners38c1,373$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$850.95250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Angels33c1,344$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.259,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Mariners60c1,256$753 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.7220747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Angels40c1,044$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.6143949.4%217 W · 222 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Mariners50c1,005$503 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.513553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0364…f19bbacked Angels34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3401942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Angels8c922$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.5427213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Mariners58c915$531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.320748.8%101 W · 106 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Mariners58c895$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.476,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Angels34c872.42$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30095930%288 W · 671 L-24.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Mariners59c863.18$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.911,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf235…366dbacked Angels41c862.29$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.541,07846.3%499 W · 579 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Mariners65c795.67$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.2576456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Mariners58c777$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.571,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5308…3221backed Mariners53c740.06$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.0740352.4%211 W · 192 L+15.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdefe…5432backed Mariners58c705$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.113065.4%85 W · 45 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Mariners66c699$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.6651953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Angels33c686.94$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.0833137.5%124 W · 207 L-17.5wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Angels61c685$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.740629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0466…d601backed Angels23c650$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mariners59c636.36$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.451,21252.1%631 W · 581 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Angels32c617.14$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.522634.6%9 W · 17 L-3.3wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-33.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Mariners60c600$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24042452.1%221 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Angels37c575.39$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.222313%3 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc17…289abacked Angels42c524$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0817946.4%83 W · 96 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xacad…bceabacked Mariners59c501.08$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.251947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-17.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Mariners59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20573149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Angels41c499.98$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.991,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e2…c7fdbacked Angels41c499$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.5915033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7db7…d372backed Angels30c497.3$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.1913149.6%65 W · 66 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Angels41c489.99$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.81,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Angels41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026055%143 W · 117 L+21.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Angels41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbde…a050backed Angels41c482$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+24.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4afd…4d18backed Mariners80c469.99$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e9c…95a1backed Mariners38c459.68$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.6840144.1%177 W · 224 L-17.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8520…2a3cbacked Mariners50c444$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2225356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84b8…8590backed Mariners44c408.61$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.613743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Angels40c399.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc684…2228backed Angels60c399.45$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.9338741.1%159 W · 228 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Angels26c380.31$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.2631145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Angels11c376.85$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431,1807.2%85 W · 1,095 L-13.6wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-37.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Mariners54c344.82$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.9235854.5%195 W · 163 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked Angels34c340.38$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2470841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1126…4e82backed Mariners66c329.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.0860052.2%313 W · 287 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Angels40c320$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1273855.3%21 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Angels41c317.07$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbdb3…2d43backed Angels22c307.74$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.783040%12 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed Angels41c300$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.533140.2%133 W · 198 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa52c…ef80backed Angels39c291.11$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.532737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Angels41c287.37$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.421,35549.8%675 W · 680 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Angels30c256.15$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.62,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b18…be5abacked Angels59c256.01$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ed…f7b2backed Mariners70c252.01$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.63100%3 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90b6…ba49backed Mariners56c250$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1109158.2%53 W · 38 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.