NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. 49ers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5543372edec0f4bd2a6d191a495b25dc69ed24f9c9d7018f73349e6683286ac9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof Bears, 49ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,384,268
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,674,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,384,268 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0d3b…c46bbacked 49ers | 65c | 1,065,552$697,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367,950.96 | 111 | 45.9%51 W · 60 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f6…e0debacked Bears | 35c | 594,740$209,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209,949.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Bears | 0c | 396,000$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Bears | 34c | 350,000$119,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119,000 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca8…bf49backed Bears | 34c | 325,833$110,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,000 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…dbbdbacked 49ers | 64c | 210,000$134,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,599.96 | 37 | 67.6%25 W · 12 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Bears | 36c | 200,000$72,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,000 | 103 | 33%34 W · 69 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bears | 39c | 193,971$75,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,707.11 | 169 | 55%93 W · 76 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Bears | 36c | 133,022$47,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,347.36 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Bears | 34c | 115,566$39,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,292.46 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed 49ers | 64c | 112,000$71,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,320 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed 49ers | 65c | 100,000$64,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,500 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed 49ers | 72c | 100,000$72,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,767.61 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…39aebacked Bears | 36c | 93,406$33,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,626.16 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.17per pick | 48cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed 49ers | 63c | 75,334$47,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,889.55 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked 49ers | 63c | 75,000$47,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,399.93 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed 49ers | 64c | 74,088$47,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,693.35 | 165 | 45.5%75 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked 49ers | 63c | 73,253$46,444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,808.64 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…5d08backed Bears | 37c | 67,340$24,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,587 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed 49ers | 64c | 60,000$38,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked 49ers | 66c | 58,932$38,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,299.73 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bears | 39c | 56,007$21,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,815.2 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked 49ers | 64c | 53,209$34,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,998.33 | 115 | 44.3%51 W · 64 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bears | 34c | 50,000$17,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,000 | 246 | 52%128 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Bears | 35c | 50,000$17,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,489.06 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked 49ers | 65c | 50,000$32,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,499.99 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked 49ers | 69c | 44,494$30,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,629.89 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Bears | 34c | 39,732$13,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,616.85 | 232 | 44.4%103 W · 129 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed 49ers | 64c | 39,192$25,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,097.25 | 318 | 54.7%174 W · 144 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 49ers | 61c | 38,673$23,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,067.12 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked 49ers | 69c | 36,131$24,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,263.78 | 300 | 43.7%131 W · 169 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d19…733abacked 49ers | 64c | 34,011$21,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,243.92 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Bears | 26c | 33,998$8,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,919.92 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked 49ers | 62c | 32,883$20,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,345.57 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bears | 34c | 32,018$10,908 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,908.49 | 477 | 38.6%184 W · 293 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed 49ers | 68c | 31,555$21,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,128.68 | 81 | 64.2%52 W · 29 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bears | 38c | 29,583$11,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,135.56 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8f…52f4backed Bears | 49c | 28,000$13,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,623.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +63%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bears | 38c | 26,217$10,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,012.44 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed 49ers | 65c | 25,015$16,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,736 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbec7…5977backed Bears | 38c | 25,000$9,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,500 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed 49ers | 64c | 24,328$15,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,647.15 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5a…bb9bbacked 49ers | 48c | 24,282$11,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,626.7 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed 49ers | 67c | 24,111$16,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,018.19 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Bears | 36c | 23,003$8,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,281 | 131 | 42%55 W · 76 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Bears | 15c | 22,476$3,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,341.4 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…28adbacked Bears | 51c | 22,071$11,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,281.34 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -6.3wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bears | 32c | 20,310$6,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,401 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe258…2330backed 49ers | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…cca9backed Bears | 36c | 20,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Bears | 26c | 20,000$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,199.99 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bears | 36c | 20,000$7,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,299.93 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked 49ers | 59c | 19,031$11,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,807.22 | 127 | 48%61 W · 66 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc31d…4ebebacked 49ers | 64c | 18,326$11,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,597.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Bears | 39c | 18,315$7,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,106.59 | 239 | 37.7%90 W · 149 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92b1…6695backed Bears | 36c | 17,775$6,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,481.85 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked 49ers | 69c | 17,000$11,663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,336.51 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf819…d410backed Bears | 42c | 16,530$6,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,865.17 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked 49ers | 65c | 15,500$10,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,425 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65cd…1e0bbacked 49ers | 69c | 14,429$9,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,445.35 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a3…0848backed 49ers | 70c | 14,387$10,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,337.69 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed 49ers | 46c | 14,000$6,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,519.98 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed 49ers | 60c | 13,666$8,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,489.5 | 276 | 44.2%122 W · 154 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…837dbacked Bears | 36c | 13,617$4,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.1 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Bears | 48c | 13,069$6,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,242.06 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +9.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5677…2ce9backed 49ers | 73c | 12,277$8,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,297.58 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e3…29ebbacked 49ers | 72c | 12,000$8,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Bears | 37c | 11,812$4,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,320.5 | 116 | 43.1%50 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7702…9791backed 49ers | 70c | 11,774$8,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,545.9 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Bears | 28c | 11,534$3,237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,237.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed 49ers | 60c | 11,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,400 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Bears | 39c | 10,901$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.73 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed 49ers | 74c | 10,800$8,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.99 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bears | 37c | 10,476$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.28 | 273 | 48.7%133 W · 140 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Bears | 34c | 10,000$3,355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,355 | 144 | 38.9%56 W · 88 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Bears | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff7a…4c4cbacked Bears | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Bears | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 129 | 44.2%57 W · 72 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf410…ca73backed Bears | 34c | 10,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f82…9b01backed 49ers | 63c | 10,000$6,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,700.19 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a1…7ae9backed Bears | 35c | 9,967$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked 49ers | 74c | 9,674$7,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.21 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed 49ers | 49c | 9,668$4,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,912.7 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed 49ers | 59c | 9,469$5,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,896.23 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Bears | 38c | 9,401$3,619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,619.11 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Bears | 50c | 9,267$4,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,669.76 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Bears | 38c | 9,000$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.01 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked 49ers | 65c | 8,849$5,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,097.06 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019d…2b01backed Bears | 52c | 8,654$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5a…9ecdbacked Bears | 36c | 8,611$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed 49ers | 65c | 8,538$5,529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009.3 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Bears | 36c | 8,408$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,029 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…ced2backed Bears | 36c | 8,333$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2f…3794backed Bears | 33c | 8,311$2,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,717 | 81 | 28.4%23 W · 58 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1a…6dc0backed Bears | 36c | 8,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ba…b77abacked 49ers | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,039.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf00b…517cbacked Bears | 34c | 7,742$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked 49ers | 64c | 7,252$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.29 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked 49ers | 65c | 7,115$4,624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,491.21 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe212…d5f4backed 49ers | 67c | 6,961$4,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,306.43 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bears vs. 49ersthis page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-1.5)49ers won
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- Bears vs. 49ers: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 59.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 61.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 62.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 72.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 74.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 75.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 77.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 78.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 79.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 80.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)Bears won
- Spread: 49ers (-7.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.