NFL · resolved market
1H Spread: 49ers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa2bb9ec7a8cb4356e3f79e975ed9cca3252a22a64b995c6ff4a2529e16e5e002
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 49ersof 49ers, Bears
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $64,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 129 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07c8…2696backed 49ers | 59c | 20,328$12,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,267.66 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +7.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bears | 40c | 16,173$6,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,539.08 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Bears | 40c | 1,500$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605 | 194 | 39.2%76 W · 118 L | -11.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Bears | 43c | 1,302$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.86 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bears | 41c | 780$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.6 | 160 | 45%72 W · 88 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f91…20ccbacked Bears | 45c | 224$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…b79ebacked Bears | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Bears | 42c | 210.49$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.41 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a3…a380backed Bears | 44c | 196$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102f…9b6ebacked Bears | 45c | 153$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f7…26f0backed Bears | 45c | 152$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Bears | 45c | 143$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4130…a35bbacked Bears | 45c | 132$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82d…5d1ebacked Bears | 44c | 127$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.88 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Bears | 44c | 124$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6132…7665backed Bears | 45c | 121$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed Bears | 45c | 118$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4dc…d394backed Bears | 45c | 113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…0c60backed 49ers | 55c | 109$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…c992backed 49ers | 56c | 105$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed Bears | 45c | 104$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Bears | 45c | 101$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bears | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed Bears | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Bears | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Bears | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89ad…5e22backed Bears | 45c | 98$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.1 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa49…949ebacked Bears | 45c | 94$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…c4e5backed Bears | 43c | 91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.13 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed Bears | 44c | 86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Bears | 43c | 82$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed Bears | 45c | 81$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 49cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Bears | 41c | 78$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88d0…524cbacked 49ers | 55c | 77$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Bears | 45c | 71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x699c…3600backed Bears | 44c | 69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Bears | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed Bears | 45c | 66$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1a…60e5backed 49ers | 55c | 65$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.25 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67ec…06aabacked 49ers | 55c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.49 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f6…9cdabacked 49ers | 55c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed 49ers | 56c | 63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…5ab9backed Bears | 45c | 59$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.55 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4e66…921dbacked Bears | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe1…e560backed 49ers | 55c | 57$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed 49ers | 55c | 56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x15b7…7fd0backed 49ers | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06b1…614cbacked 49ers | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +94.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3be0…e4e5backed 49ers | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c3…eb62backed 49ers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed 49ers | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Bears | 42c | 49.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.72 | 209 | 44.5%93 W · 116 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa64b…1e4bbacked Bears | 49c | 49.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked Bears | 44c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4e…e3a4backed 49ers | 55c | 49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd43a…f530backed 49ers | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed 49ers | 56c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…6070backed 49ers | 55c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Bears | 46c | 45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked Bears | 44c | 45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…d7b0backed 49ers | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a7…e161backed 49ers | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2877…dc5bbacked 49ers | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Bears | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…8137backed 49ers | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed 49ers | 56c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1f57…6d41backed 49ers | 55c | 41$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.45 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83fc…13ccbacked Bears | 49c | 40.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…92cbbacked 49ers | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Bears | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed3f…0ab8backed Bears | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d49…c438backed 49ers | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e71…8913backed 49ers | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 52cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca65…6746backed 49ers | 56c | 38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5c…1f57backed 49ers | 56c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…1969backed 49ers | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x279b…7d84backed 49ers | 55c | 36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed 49ers | 55c | 35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…854dbacked 49ers | 55c | 34$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed 49ers | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 54cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…ad50backed 49ers | 56c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…a337backed 49ers | 56c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d19…8b58backed 49ers | 55c | 33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97de…15eabacked 49ers | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…866abacked 49ers | 56c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked 49ers | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x152c…3b50backed 49ers | 55c | 32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf2…6640backed 49ers | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e26…c672backed 49ers | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked 49ers | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…1000backed 49ers | 55c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cdb…ae41backed 49ers | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbb…1594backed Bears | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked 49ers | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ae…89d9backed 49ers | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…5bc4backed 49ers | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed 49ers | 55c | 29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…d253backed 49ers | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5931…08cbbacked 49ers | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa46…1559backed 49ers | 55c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-1.5)this page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- Bears vs. 49ers49ers won
- Bears vs. 49ers: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 59.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 61.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 62.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 72.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 74.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 75.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 77.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 78.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 79.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 80.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)Bears won
- Spread: 49ers (-7.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.