NFL · resolved market
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb29fcceb5755958909617fe9f58a31e17ede19dec31bb491068bdac71fd0ad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,381
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 52c | 115,654$59,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,662.89 | 312 | 40.7%127 W · 185 L | -22.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 48c | 93,780$45,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,393.31 | 274 | 54.7%150 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 87,265$44,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,450.03 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Over | 49c | 75,000$36,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,249.98 | 160 | 51.9%83 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 35,791$17,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,068.43 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801e…ad90backed Under | 51c | 26,301$13,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,413.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Under | 51c | 21,335$10,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,877.99 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 20,040$9,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,220.4 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked Under | 48c | 14,498$7,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,022.44 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 51c | 11,000$5,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440 | 176 | 48.9%86 W · 90 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 52c | 10,221$5,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,315.11 | 358 | 48.6%174 W · 184 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e68…d99bbacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 135 | 60%81 W · 54 L | +14.7wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Under | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,160 | 111 | 39.6%44 W · 67 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 8,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Under | 54c | 5,500$2,963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,962.8 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Under | 52c | 5,000$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590 | 362 | 46.7%169 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 46c | 4,755$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,567.85 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.99 | 265 | 47.2%125 W · 140 L | +10.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked Over | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.8 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Over | 48c | 4,248$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.92 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 49c | 4,190$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,136.9 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 49c | 3,921$1,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.52 | 373 | 50.9%190 W · 183 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 51c | 3,494$1,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,722.17 | 394 | 47.7%188 W · 206 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.99 | 154 | 46.8%72 W · 82 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…bc5ebacked Over | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Over | 50c | 2,948$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.53 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | -16.2wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 266 | 49.6%132 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…f5b6backed Over | 49c | 2,449$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,248.98 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Over | 49c | 2,286$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.86 | 397 | 54.4%216 W · 181 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Over | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Over | 48c | 2,100$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.92 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 343 | 49.3%169 W · 174 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,941$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.19 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 50c | 1,631$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$814.42 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 224 | 46.4%104 W · 120 L | +11.7wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 48c | 1,055$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.09 | 346 | 52.9%183 W · 163 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 155 | 55.5%86 W · 69 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 266 | 48.9%130 W · 136 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…2af1backed Over | 49c | 987.64$484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.7 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ac…c62dbacked Under | 51c | 969.63$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.51 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51b…9606backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0775…eca8backed Over | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 36c | 875$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.75 | 315 | 40.6%128 W · 187 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Over | 49c | 814.29$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.29 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbde…a758backed Over | 50c | 760.81$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.42 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 720.83$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Under | 51c | 677.25$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.4 | 97 | 54.6%53 W · 44 L | +9.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Under | 51c | 639.22$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326 | 172 | 51.7%89 W · 83 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Over | 51c | 627.34$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.34 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Over | 49c | 613$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe544…3cfcbacked Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb871…9f15backed Over | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.2wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8052…1124backed Under | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 49c | 493$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.43 | 770 | 52.7%406 W · 364 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21a…88edbacked Under | 52c | 432.69$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -10.0wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…5e8dbacked Over | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed Under | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 205 | 55.6%114 W · 91 L | +15.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Over | 49c | 389.8$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.8 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Under | 52c | 326.92$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 49c | 305$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7e17backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.8wins | -0.19per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 140 | 60.7%85 W · 55 L | +14.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +16.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…5d26backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb1…0812backed Under | 51c | 299.99$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.2 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -5.4wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Over | 49c | 289.16$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.55 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +10.7wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 79c | 269.13$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.09 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 49c | 240$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.4 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Under | 51c | 205$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.55 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8021…0da8backed Over | 49c | 201.02$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…007bbacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Under | 47c | 195$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 51c | 193$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.43 | 553 | 45%249 W · 304 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 49c | 180$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.8 | 163 | 60.1%98 W · 65 L | +16.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Over | 48c | 172.75$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.59 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +6.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Over | 49c | 150$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.5 | 104 | 61.5%64 W · 40 L | +12.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd6…6202backed Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 123 | 56.9%70 W · 53 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | +11.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 49c | 120$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.2 | 109 | 58.7%64 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5this page
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-1.5)49ers won
- 1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- Bears vs. 49ers49ers won
- Bears vs. 49ers: 1H Moneyline49ers won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 52.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 59.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 61.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 62.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 72.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 74.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 75.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 77.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 78.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 79.5Over won
- Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 80.5Under won
- Spread: 49ers (-2.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-3.5)49ers won
- Spread: 49ers (-6.5)Bears won
- Spread: 49ers (-7.5)Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.