NFL · resolved market

Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcffd644687483e95a7bf79eaf81f17ecb313370dac6ebc0519939abaeeb14ded

Rebuilt 18 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Overof Over, Under
Resolved: Dec 29, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $139,490
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $142,293

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,490 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NFL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Under	47c	53,701$25,172 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,172.24	865	47.9%414 W · 451 L	-6.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over	53c	40,235$21,392 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18,843.41	533	48.4%258 W · 275 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over	53c	24,428$12,952 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,476.02	473	48.4%229 W · 244 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over	54c	19,365$10,369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,996.36	1,196	49.9%597 W · 599 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefc9…b337backed Under	49c	16,344$8,009 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,008.79	97	54.6%53 W · 44 L	+9.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under	47c	15,000$7,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,050	94	42.6%40 W · 54 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked Under	44c	11,231$4,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,992.53	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Under	47c	10,638$4,979 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,978.8	83	50.6%42 W · 41 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	54c	7,417$4,036 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,381.34	502	42.4%213 W · 289 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Over	51c	4,868$2,482 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,385.11	135	60%81 W · 54 L	+14.7wins	+0.11per pick	49cpaid	+21.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Over	54c	4,595$2,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,130.63	146	41.8%61 W · 85 L	-10.9wins	-0.07per pick	49cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Over	55c	3,200$1,744 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,456.02	42	64.3%27 W · 15 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	61cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	46c	2,632$1,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,220.08	394	47.7%188 W · 206 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,175	192	40.1%77 W · 115 L	-16.2wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under	47c	2,500$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.99	358	48.6%174 W · 184 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over	51c	2,000$1,020 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$980	101	56.4%57 W · 44 L	+7.0wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe584…e6e2backed Over	53c	1,887$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$886.79	49	34.7%17 W · 32 L	-8.3wins	-0.17per pick	52cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over	51c	1,862$950 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$912.33	647	47.3%306 W · 341 L	+42.5wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Under	46c	1,500$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690	75	30.7%23 W · 52 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Under	47c	1,362$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.16	650	48.3%314 W · 336 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over	53c	981.72$520 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.5	600	49.3%296 W · 304 L	+21.0wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over	52c	915.42$473 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$441.96	1,065	51.3%546 W · 519 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under	47c	762$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358.14	266	49.6%132 W · 134 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Over	53c	635.07$337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$297.6	346	52.9%183 W · 163 L	+16.0wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over	54c	600$324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$276	86	50%43 W · 43 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over	54c	550$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$253	770	52.7%406 W · 364 L	+24.8wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6911…947cbacked Over	53c	500$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$235	85	40%34 W · 51 L	-3.8wins	-0.05per pick	45cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Over	52c	368$191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176.64	314	50%157 W · 157 L	+9.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61a1…6657backed Over	53c	336.23$178 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.03	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under	47c	300$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	116	40.5%47 W · 69 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over	51c	300$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$147	176	56.3%99 W · 77 L	+16.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over	52c	299.71$156 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.86	187	45.5%85 W · 102 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under	23c	272$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.32	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fb9…1591backed Over	54c	259.8$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$120.42	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	+2.4wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over	51c	258$132 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.42	140	60.7%85 W · 55 L	+14.3wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27ed…57ebbacked Under	48c	258$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.84	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x827a…8a2bbacked Over	52c	242.46$126 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.38	155	55.5%86 W · 69 L	+7.2wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under	45c	240$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	117	58.1%68 W · 49 L	+9.5wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under	45c	240$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108	118	59.3%70 W · 48 L	+11.2wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+19.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Under	45c	215$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.75	194	39.2%76 W · 118 L	-11.5wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Under	48c	194$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.12	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-3.4wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x00fe…eff7backed Under	47c	188$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.36	19	47.4%9 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+8.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over	51c	180$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.2	120	57.5%69 W · 51 L	+9.6wins	+0.08per pick	50cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb6c7…ca6cbacked Under	48c	135.5$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.04	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f0…327cbacked Under	48c	126$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.48	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+29.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7f41…5cb3backed Under	48c	123$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.04	14	78.6%11 W · 3 L	+4.1wins	+0.29per pick	49cpaid	+58.1%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over	51c	120$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.8	123	56.9%70 W · 53 L	+6.8wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over	52c	120$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.6	110	58.2%64 W · 46 L	+11.0wins	+0.10per pick	48cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Under	45c	120$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	110	56.4%62 W · 48 L	+7.9wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Over	65c	118.29$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.7	294	39.5%116 W · 178 L	-6.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…0803backed Under	48c	118.02$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.65	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.9wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd774…82cdbacked Under	47c	114.81$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.96	133	39.8%53 W · 80 L	-10.9wins	-0.08per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4c3…f427backed Under	48c	107.81$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	36	58.3%21 W · 15 L	+3.4wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+17%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4e66…921dbacked Under	48c	104$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.92	14	42.9%6 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcb8f…d7e3backed Under	48c	103.13$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	55c	100$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$45	532	53%282 W · 250 L	+19.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under	46c	84$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.64	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.8wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb0ad…1052backed Under	48c	81.15$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.95	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Under	45c	70$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	107	61.7%66 W · 41 L	+12.0wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32d6…844bbacked Under	48c	65$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.2	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Over	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	104	64.4%67 W · 37 L	+15.3wins	+0.15per pick	50cpaid	+31.2%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Under	45c	60$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	105	65.7%69 W · 36 L	+16.6wins	+0.16per pick	50cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over	57c	60$34 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.8	182	45.6%83 W · 99 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over	51c	60$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.4	115	52.2%60 W · 55 L	+2.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd53e…e70cbacked Over	53c	56.87$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.73	66	47%31 W · 35 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c8c…237dbacked Over	55c	56$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.2	47	68.1%32 W · 15 L	+9.6wins	+0.20per pick	48cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0x320f…b4a3backed Under	48c	55$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.4	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4d0…9b74backed Over	52c	52$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.88	15	80%12 W · 3 L	+4.1wins	+0.28per pick	52cpaid	+58.8%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xaa27…dbdcbacked Over	52c	52$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.96	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+25%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacc…23c6backed Over	52c	50$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba8…bc05backed Over	55c	49.99$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.5	17	70.6%12 W · 5 L	+3.5wins	+0.20per pick	50cpaid	+45.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x06b1…614cbacked Over	52c	49$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.52	6	100%6 W · 0 L	+2.9wins	+0.48per pick	52cpaid	+94.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x678d…ee46backed Over	54c	48.02$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.09	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfacf…e97abacked Over	52c	48$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.04	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.6wins	+0.18per pick	49cpaid	+42.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x859a…1ccebacked Over	53c	43$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.21	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-1.8wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-31%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x581b…0290backed Under	48c	42$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.16	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-55.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73c5…4997backed Over	52c	42$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.16	9	88.9%8 W · 1 L	+3.1wins	+0.34per pick	55cpaid	+69.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4465…baafbacked Under	48c	41.04$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.7	18	50%9 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56d2…e5f5backed Over	52c	41$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.68	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.2wins	+0.29per pick	46cpaid	+56.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Under	45c	40$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	124	59.7%74 W · 50 L	+12.0wins	+0.10per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x07eb…4b4cbacked Over	52c	40$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.2	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.7wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a87…fb21backed Under	48c	39.58$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	203	54.7%111 W · 92 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14cd…1716backed Over	52c	39$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.72	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	56cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Over	54c	38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.36	202	38.6%78 W · 124 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Over	76c	37.98$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.12	320	43.8%140 W · 180 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5935…b8dabacked Over	52c	37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.76	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-2.3wins	-0.25per pick	48cpaid	-55%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6014…5a58backed Over	53c	37$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.39	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-2.6wins	-0.22per pick	55cpaid	-40.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa029…c912backed Over	52c	37$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.76	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8655…0853backed Over	53c	35$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.45	15	53.3%8 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a88…2bffbacked Under	48c	35$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.8	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+3.1wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd84f…0475backed Over	52c	35$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…b91ebacked Under	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	65	47.7%31 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e84…b7f6backed Under	48c	31.37$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.05	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	+2.8wins	+0.13per pick	44cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37e8…441fbacked Over	52c	31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.9wins	-0.13per pick	55cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4292…938dbacked Over	52c	31$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.88	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb08b…e878backed Over	54c	30.83$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.18	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f06…2614backed Over	53c	30$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.1	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	+2.8wins	+0.06per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over	56c	30$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.2	127	56.7%72 W · 55 L	+8.4wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+15.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Over	76c	30$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.35	148	44.6%66 W · 82 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb04a…301dbacked Over	53c	29.25$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.75	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 21 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event