TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb08b…e878

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
186
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Weather at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT6055%33 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.18
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group Cbacked Donstu Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Playoffsbacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.38
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Inner Circle Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Counter-Strike: Team Novaq vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.98
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.98
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Acend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs 9INE - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - DraculaN Group Bbacked Esport Academy Copenhagen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.85
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.38
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.8
Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs ENERGYULTRA (BO3) - Svenska CS-Ligan Group Abacked ENERGYULTRA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.36
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.36
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.31
Counter-Strike: WW Team vs CYBERSHOKE Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked CYBERSHOKE Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.85
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winnerbacked 1WIN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.18
Counter-Strike: K27 vs SHISHKA - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.98
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerbacked ex-RUBY · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.44
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT3663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerbacked Galions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$7.07
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.6
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$5.19
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winnerbacked Solary · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Spandau · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.89
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.83
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.48
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids - Game 2 Winnerbacked RED Canids · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.38
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.19
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Forsaken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.31
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Abacked UCAM Esports Club · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.91
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Bbacked Team Heretics Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.34
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.98
LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffsbacked LOUD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.09
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.74
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.6
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.43
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.31
LoL: Conviction vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Conviction · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.91
LoL: Misa Esports vs PCIFIC - Game 2 Winnerbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$2.84
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challengers League Playoffsbacked Winthrop University · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT3464.7%22 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs HULIGANI (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Dota 2: Power Rangers vs Team Bald (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.31
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs MOUZ - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.85
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winnerbacked HULIGANI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.8
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$4.31
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.34
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs MODUS - Game 2 Winnerbacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.15
Dota 2: Execration vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.34
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yellow Submarine · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.22
Dota 2: GLYPH vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.84
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Rune Eaters - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.72
Dota 2: GLYPH vs OG - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.36
Dota 2: Enjoy vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winnerbacked Enjoy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.34
Dota 2: Grind Back vs Carstensz (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Grind Back · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.6
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked Zero Tenacity · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$3.91
Dota 2: OG vs InterActive Philippines - Game 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$5.68
Dota 2: 4ikibamboni vs Power Rangers - Game 2 Winnerbacked Power Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winnerbacked REKONIX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.34
Dota 2: Carstensz vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Yangon Galacticos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.14
Dota 2: Execration vs Carstensz - Game 2 Winnerbacked Execration · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.16
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Amaru Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Nemesis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.82
Dota 2: Amaru Gaming vs Estar Backs (BO3) - The International South America Closed Qualifier Playoffsbacked Amaru Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$4.97
Dota 2: VP.Prodigy vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked 4ikibamboni · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.27
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$5.03
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+39.5%+$4.25
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.04
Max Christie: Assists O/U 2.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$10.14
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$11.52
Nets vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+117.4%+$19.44
Spread: Pelicans (-4.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$13.92
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Spread: Timberwolves (-12.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.43
Spread: Heat (-3.5)backed Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.21
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.22
Jazz vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+78.6%+$15.84
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.23
Celtics vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$14.96
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$12.5
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Spread: Knicks (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+81.8%+$12.15
Spread: Knicks (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+100%+$10.5
Pistons vs. Knicksbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+138.1%+$15.66
Rockets vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.26
Spread: Cavaliers (-15.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+88.7%+$10.34
Hawks vs. 76ers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$54.05
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST911.1%1 W · 8 L-4.0wins-0.44per pick55cpaid-85.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Weather — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 54°F or higher on February 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$85.18
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130.77
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 54-55°F on February 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 56°F or higher on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$118.86
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 3°C on February 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$130.77
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on February 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 35°F or below on February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by January 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+28.9%+$15.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on January 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+60.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Albacete Balompié vs. CD Leganés end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$4.5
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-01-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+78.6%+$19.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$14.18
Bears vs. 49ers: O/U 51.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$15.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+89.4%+$11.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+46.3%+$4.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$7.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Arsenal FC (-2.5)backed Wolverhampton Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will It Was Just an Accident win Best Screenplay – Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+31.3%+$5.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cameroon vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25.6%+$3.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saski Baskonia vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbannebacked Saski Baskonia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+25%+$2.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$23.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.