Euroleague · resolved market
Saski Baskonia vs. ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6eb807895c8aadf5cc11132fc6917ea6abb9666fd740cd9c91293acc70683b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Saski Baskoniaof Saski Baskonia, ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,852
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb85…8464backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 3,414$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 40 | 37.5%15 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Saski Baskonia | 59c | 3,193$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.35 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ac…fd51backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 45c | 2,232$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 31c | 2,219$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.82 | 135 | 48.9%66 W · 69 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…28d7backed Saski Baskonia | 59c | 2,076$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.67 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 1,400$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.13 | 222 | 31.5%70 W · 152 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Saski Baskonia | 70c | 1,132$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.19 | 148 | 47.3%70 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 41c | 899.5$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.6 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Saski Baskonia | 67c | 885.98$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.37 | 145 | 42.1%61 W · 84 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 38c | 696.1$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.36 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Saski Baskonia | 67c | 496.42$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.26 | 124 | 54%67 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 487.67$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.55 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Saski Baskonia | 69c | 432.6$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.11 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 430.41$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.59 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a78…1e03backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 417.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.19 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Saski Baskonia | 78c | 385$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.78 | 181 | 44.2%80 W · 101 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x234d…a48dbacked Saski Baskonia | 70c | 277.64$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Saski Baskonia | 66c | 228.29$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.72 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 30c | 200.15$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.09 | 122 | 68.9%84 W · 38 L | +15.5wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…d430backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 13c | 195$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…c054backed Saski Baskonia | 63c | 187.25$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.88 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28b4…a506backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 34c | 150.35$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9773…67e8backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 137$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.36 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 35c | 123.51$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Saski Baskonia | 70c | 109.72$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 275 | 57.5%158 W · 117 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Saski Baskonia | 68c | 102.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Saski Baskonia | 57c | 100.61$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.61 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 37c | 94$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 28c | 76.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 435 | 43.7%190 W · 245 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1225…33bfbacked Saski Baskonia | 69c | 76.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c13…99b7backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 29c | 75.86$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d8…c8c0backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 63$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Saski Baskonia | 64c | 58.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81d…c6c0backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 51$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.25per pick | 48cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne | 32c | 48.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf693…584dbacked Saski Baskonia | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Saski Baskonia | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +60%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28a2…91a4backed Saski Baskonia | 70c | 44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce0…2b8abacked Saski Baskonia | 73c | 34.25$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 82 | 56.1%46 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeff8…1bcfbacked Saski Baskonia | 67c | 33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x138a…8197backed Saski Baskonia | 79c | 24.81$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Saski Baskonia | 72c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.78 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked Saski Baskonia | 72c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a23…97a7backed Saski Baskonia | 68c | 16.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 40cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21e6…cbd8backed Saski Baskonia | 70c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Saski Baskonia | 67c | 15.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Saski Baskonia | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.84 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed Saski Baskonia | 80c | 12.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.