CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd39d3eb82e146325a9bc0a9e11e1f93d342ed6f7c57bc3b80f1672b6a53ec9ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof Infinite, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,558
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,659
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,558 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 27c | 1,054$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.79 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Infinite | 29c | 1,046$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.89 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Infinite | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 999.99$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 853 | 51.7%441 W · 412 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Infinite | 11c | 895.89$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.43 | 76 | 17.1%13 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked Infinite | 20c | 845.02$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.68 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 726.45$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.46 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f90…e17fbacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 545.53$404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Infinite | 41c | 501.29$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.51 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Infinite | 20c | 482$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.4 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb1…eac3backed Infinite | 6c | 415.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Infinite | 19c | 406.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.18 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Infinite | 22c | 381.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.5 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Infinite | 23c | 307.17$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.89 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 265$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Infinite | 41c | 254.63$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb87…eb45backed Infinite | 41c | 249.35$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked ex-RUBY | 77c | 228.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.34 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Infinite | 32c | 227.89$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Infinite | 20c | 227.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 226.13$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 1,476 | 51.8%765 W · 711 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed ex-RUBY | 59c | 170.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.77 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Infinite | 27c | 160.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.26 | 1,643 | 32.8%539 W · 1,104 L | -48.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Infinite | 15c | 147.3$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.55 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Infinite | 17c | 126$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Infinite | 15c | 109.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.94 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed ex-RUBY | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked Infinite | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Infinite | 45c | 86.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked ex-RUBY | 80c | 85.53$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91c4…9deabacked ex-RUBY | 60c | 81.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.46 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Infinite | 44c | 65.68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…2f5ebacked Infinite | 34c | 65.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.3 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked ex-RUBY | 79c | 57.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.06 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x924b…4aeebacked ex-RUBY | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 48.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.13 | 2,309 | 45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L | -62.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Infinite | 44c | 46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.24 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed Infinite | 42c | 41.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bac…37e9backed ex-RUBY | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb08b…e878backed ex-RUBY | 60c | 33.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadc3…d089backed Infinite | 42c | 31.6$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdb9…2593backed ex-RUBY | 74c | 25.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.57 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.