CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f928840cce45a8bb516c5c4d66f0b8e317635e1f70ab3d78d4a1e556898e74b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-RUBYof Infinite, ex-RUBY
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,768
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,525
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,768 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 68 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf268…ecf6backed ex-RUBY | 73c | 2,748$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$747.54 | 78 | 51.3%40 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…0be8backed Infinite | 14c | 1,478$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.22 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Infinite | 34c | 1,058$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.96 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Infinite | 31c | 1,011$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.22 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Infinite | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 574 | 0%0 W · 574 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Infinite | 33c | 996.11$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.55 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Infinite | 4c | 927.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Infinite | 18c | 808.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.54 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed ex-RUBY | 76c | 658.17$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.82 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…2f5ebacked Infinite | 21c | 626.74$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 565.44$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.45 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Infinite | 32c | 548.08$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.36 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Infinite | 33c | 470$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked ex-RUBY | 71c | 440.29$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.3 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa2…6df9backed Infinite | 45c | 436$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.2 | 162 | 45.7%74 W · 88 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Infinite | 8c | 375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Infinite | 34c | 322.96$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.85 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc89…095cbacked Infinite | 5c | 251.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Infinite | 17c | 246.23$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.52 | 402 | 47.8%192 W · 210 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-RUBY | 76c | 244$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 237.68$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.26 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0786…df1dbacked ex-RUBY | 75c | 230.14$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 230.03$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.08 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Infinite | 6c | 210.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…663bbacked ex-RUBY | 37c | 208.51$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.36 | 150 | 44.7%67 W · 83 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd592…9618backed Infinite | 63c | 208.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.74 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Infinite | 44c | 191.03$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.08 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x961a…aa6abacked Infinite | 45c | 190$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.44 | 275 | 48%132 W · 143 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b6…2c93backed Infinite | 32c | 186.48$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.8 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Infinite | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Infinite | 10c | 159.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x57e1…c97fbacked Infinite | 45c | 154.44$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.5 | 116 | 61.2%71 W · 45 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…117ebacked Infinite | 27c | 142.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 174 | 49.4%86 W · 88 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Infinite | 21c | 129.93$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a2e…e1b2backed Infinite | 30c | 115.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4704…515ebacked Infinite | 28c | 114.29$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 371 | 40.7%151 W · 220 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Infinite | 24c | 110.96$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 108.73$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.73 | 116 | 50.9%59 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 1,046 | 45%471 W · 575 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d5…26eabacked Infinite | 30c | 95.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked ex-RUBY | 72c | 93.15$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.7 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Infinite | 35c | 92.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e35…3655backed Infinite | 29c | 92.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 88.55$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.25 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Infinite | 28c | 84.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Infinite | 18c | 82.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Infinite | 42c | 79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 71.36$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.73 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed ex-RUBY | 68c | 64.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked ex-RUBY | 51c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Infinite | 30c | 56.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed ex-RUBY | 66c | 55.08$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Infinite | 30c | 54.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked ex-RUBY | 73c | 53.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.36 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Infinite | 29c | 51.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.93 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9a…73fabacked Infinite | 48c | 50.44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 393 | 53.2%209 W · 184 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Infinite | 27c | 47.34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4e99…2229backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…e6b9backed Infinite | 56c | 34.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c6…0897backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc2…8b9bbacked ex-RUBY | 66c | 30.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed ex-RUBY | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8192…e1b9backed Infinite | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -13%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a00…d958backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 29.58$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 316 | 62.7%198 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-RUBY | 55c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed ex-RUBY | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ex-RUBY | 64c | 16.28$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.86 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x239c…f7c2backed ex-RUBY | 71c | 15.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Playoffsex-RUBY won
- Counter-Strike: Infinite vs ex-RUBY - Map 2 Winnerex-RUBY won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs Infinite (+1.5)ex-RUBY won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.