CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4d9092f042eac3cb705ee4f579e9ea4a756fa6de37815bb93899351ced868db
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $77,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $77,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 48c | 7,152$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,739.9 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Keyd | 77c | 6,332$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,478.46 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x729b…1b33backed Keyd | 52c | 3,043$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.15 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…5c91backed Yawara Esports | 22c | 2,825$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.72 | 126 | 27%34 W · 92 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Keyd | 65c | 2,660$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$941.05 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 2,208$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081.92 | 1,007 | 52.4%528 W · 479 L | +27.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Keyd | 58c | 1,600$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.46 | 1,083 | 54.2%587 W · 496 L | +39.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 1,530$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.96 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Keyd | 48c | 1,330$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.47 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…2497backed Keyd | 48c | 1,249$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yawara Esports | 55c | 1,249$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.89 | 805 | 42.2%340 W · 465 L | -16.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Keyd | 46c | 1,100$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.02 | 665 | 51.9%345 W · 320 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 1,032$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.74 | 193 | 40.4%78 W · 115 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Yawara Esports | 24c | 1,029$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.77 | 1,062 | 42.2%448 W · 614 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 1,012$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.38 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 1,000$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.08 | 2,429 | 44.6%1,083 W · 1,346 L | -63.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Keyd | 47c | 915.98$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.98 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed Yawara Esports | 57c | 861.16$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.73 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Yawara Esports | 24c | 838.41$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.83 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d3a…9683backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 776.63$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.61 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Keyd | 49c | 733.36$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.65 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yawara Esports | 50c | 700$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…df49backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 692.29$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.79 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…13dabacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 672.75$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.04 | 97 | 32%31 W · 66 L | -11.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -36%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe8…bb28backed Yawara Esports | 54c | 657.69$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.85 | 220 | 44.5%98 W · 122 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 654.81$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.42 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 646.95$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.48 | 944 | 45.7%431 W · 513 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Keyd | 52c | 623.02$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.55 | 312 | 61.2%191 W · 121 L | +21.8wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Keyd | 69c | 595.8$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 584$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.41 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yawara Esports | 32c | 577.57$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.19 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Keyd | 72c | 538$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.94 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6310…c0b1backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 534.25$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc754…4b1dbacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 524.56$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.25 | 337 | 40.9%138 W · 199 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x710c…78eabacked Yawara Esports | 53c | 510$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.3 | 137 | 60.6%83 W · 54 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 506.72$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yawara Esports | 38c | 504.42$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.94 | 2,603 | 52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L | +97.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 500.44$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.81 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Yawara Esports | 58c | 500$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb983…20e6backed Keyd | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +75.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 487.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.79 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Keyd | 48c | 485.76$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.92 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed Keyd | 49c | 448.73$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.63 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Keyd | 46c | 448.07$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.39 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Keyd | 76c | 445$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.87 | 2,770 | 37.4%1,036 W · 1,734 L | -139.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yawara Esports | 30c | 418.51$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.41 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Keyd | 60c | 416$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.74 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yawara Esports | 48c | 415.37$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.14 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Keyd | 47c | 388.59$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.95 | 117 | 42.7%50 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed Keyd | 50c | 371.64$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.82 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Keyd | 63c | 368.32$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 2,599 | 47.8%1,242 W · 1,357 L | -30.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yawara Esports | 27c | 357.49$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.84 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68da…37b5backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 347.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f3d…95b1backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 341.19$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 53c | 334.78$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.54 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…d0a7backed Keyd | 61c | 328.68$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.68 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf66…e823backed Yawara Esports | 47c | 320.9$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.82 | 179 | 41.3%74 W · 105 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 317.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.77 | 873 | 30.9%270 W · 603 L | -62.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 317.43$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.08 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 310$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.9 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5006…48cabacked Keyd | 44c | 308.29$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Yawara Esports | 23c | 307.2$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…d590backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87fe…3cbebacked Keyd | 47c | 304.21$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.23 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Yawara Esports | 20c | 299.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Keyd | 51c | 295.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Yawara Esports | 54c | 290$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.78 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Keyd | 80c | 274.04$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.2 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked Keyd | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yawara Esports | 54c | 265.13$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.17 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yawara Esports | 6c | 258.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 159 | 23.3%37 W · 122 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Keyd | 43c | 257.53$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.79 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…5dcebacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 256.64$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.32 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Yawara Esports | 44c | 245$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 238.8$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.79 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0e…bd73backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 228.3$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc36…d35dbacked Yawara Esports | 57c | 227.39$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.61 | 67 | 40.3%27 W · 40 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 62c | 225$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.25 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8c8…7c4cbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 224.62$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.1 | 324 | 47.2%153 W · 171 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 217.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 217.33$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 212.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…a45dbacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 212.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.19 | 304 | 50.7%154 W · 150 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb98a…914bbacked Yawara Esports | 51c | 208.03$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.49 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Yawara Esports | 49c | 208$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.72 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 201.65$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.48 | 462 | 47.8%221 W · 241 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Keyd | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 258 | 51.9%134 W · 124 L | +13.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 53c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.5 | 2,205 | 47.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Keyd | 48c | 195.43$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.62 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 190$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.4 | 2,608 | 30.9%807 W · 1,801 L | -103.7wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a25…8055backed Yawara Esports | 57c | 187.05$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.62 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Yawara Esports | 45c | 185.41$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.43 | 405 | 42%170 W · 235 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yawara Esports | 55c | 182.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 31c | 181.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.55 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd | 55c | 180$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.25 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…77abbacked Keyd | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.47 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…fd7fbacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 170.78$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 128 | 46.1%59 W · 69 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Keyd | 43c | 170.47$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.17 | 1,605 | 52.6%845 W · 760 L | +57.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1a…d790backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 167.96$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.66 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 WinnerKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Keyd won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.