CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3caf834cf1b8061b96dd68bbbd5a8347b09d15ea7190c329150d01d72d0124e9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keydof Keyd, Yawara Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yawara Esports | 38c | 4,189$1,582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,582.09 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Keyd | 58c | 3,965$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.17 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Keyd | 46c | 1,436$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.62 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Yawara Esports | 41c | 1,364$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.09 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Keyd | 73c | 993.72$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.3 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 861.01$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.54 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yawara Esports | 41c | 603.26$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.34 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yawara Esports | 44c | 571.07$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.37 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yawara Esports | 37c | 444.79$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.12 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yawara Esports | 38c | 441.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.57 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 430.18$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Keyd | 72c | 418.6$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.62 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yawara Esports | 52c | 400$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.33 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Yawara Esports | 51c | 341.44$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 335.28$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.79 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed Keyd | 75c | 332.84$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.77 | 281 | 73%205 W · 76 L | +21.6wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 328.5$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Keyd | 67c | 307.22$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.02 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yawara Esports | 42c | 303.46$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Yawara Esports | 47c | 270$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.9 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 248$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.11 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Keyd | 52c | 247$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 235$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.92 | 457 | 54.5%249 W · 208 L | +18.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked Keyd | 60c | 229.7$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.62 | 397 | 72.5%288 W · 109 L | +38.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Keyd | 62c | 225$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Keyd | 64c | 214.22$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 209.82$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.67 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Keyd | 62c | 204.93$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Keyd | 49c | 203.96$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.96 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Keyd | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed Keyd | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Yawara Esports | 49c | 192.57$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Keyd | 51c | 180.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.29 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Keyd | 54c | 155.92$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5f…31d1backed Yawara Esports | 20c | 150$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 20.6%14 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yawara Esports | 32c | 147.19$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 124.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed Yawara Esports | 26c | 114.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yawara Esports | 29c | 107.28$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.28 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked Yawara Esports | 42c | 104.48$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x57b2…9da2backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 100.49$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 328 | 44.8%147 W · 181 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yawara Esports | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ae…84d8backed Yawara Esports | 19c | 90$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.48 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b22…377ebacked Yawara Esports | 62c | 88.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 361 | 74.8%270 W · 91 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yawara Esports | 46c | 85.78$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.18 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yawara Esports | 42c | 84.35$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.63 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…fe1abacked Yawara Esports | 16c | 83.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca2…1798backed Keyd | 74c | 82$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 152 | 77.6%118 W · 34 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 73cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Keyd | 44c | 79.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.55 | 309 | 39.2%121 W · 188 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Keyd | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.14 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Keyd | 49c | 76.14$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yawara Esports | 36c | 75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 306 | 38.9%119 W · 187 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Yawara Esports | 45c | 75$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 746 | 53.5%399 W · 347 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa670…55d2backed Yawara Esports | 32c | 75$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Keyd | 50c | 70.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Keyd | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…5e36backed Yawara Esports | 60c | 68.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 239 | 56.5%135 W · 104 L | +15.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Keyd | 64c | 65.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.29 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Yawara Esports | 54c | 63.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Yawara Esports | 43c | 59.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.75 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Yawara Esports | 52c | 54.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.14 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Keyd | 46c | 53.24$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b3…4a99backed Yawara Esports | 43c | 52.69$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 297 | 31%92 W · 205 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 51.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 408 | 57.1%233 W · 175 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Keyd | 47c | 47.57$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Keyd | 47c | 46.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.9 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Keyd | 64c | 45.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Keyd | 66c | 44.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Keyd | 60c | 42.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Yawara Esports | 44c | 41.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Yawara Esports | 40c | 40.8$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d5…54d5backed Keyd | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yawara Esports | 39c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Yawara Esports | 50c | 33.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…2497backed Keyd | 50c | 33.68$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.84 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbc42…b12cbacked Yawara Esports | 46c | 31.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f53…d5abbacked Yawara Esports | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Yawara Esports | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked Keyd | 55c | 29.98$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Keyd | 47c | 29.79$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0adc…9563backed Yawara Esports | 44c | 26.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…af91backed Keyd | 60c | 24.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…3770backed Keyd | 64c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group BKeyd won
- Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 2 WinnerKeyd won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Yawara Esports (+1.5)Keyd won
- Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5)Keyd won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.