TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9374…3770

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Dota2, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Dota2 at 60 out of 100; worst Weather at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-11%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.76
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.78
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.88
France vs. Morocco: France O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.76
France vs. Morocco: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.73
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+290.2%+$48.61
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$11.76
Paraguay vs. Australia: O/U 8.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.72
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Game Hunters vs ALKA (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked ALKA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Guara Esports (BO3) - CCT South America Series 3 Group Stagebacked Guara Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+138.4%+$14.91
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs ECHO - Map 2 Winnerbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.4%+$8.98
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Abacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.02
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Map 2 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.72
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Bbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 2 Winnerbacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.89
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9INE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+300%+$62.32
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs Yawara Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Keyd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$5.97
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winnerbacked Betclic Apogee Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 2, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set 2 Winner: Jacquet vs Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$24.47
Wimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Fariabacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Plovdiv: Inaki Montes vs Sandro Koppbacked Sandro Kopp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.65
Bad Homburg Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Karolina Muchovabacked Gabriela Ruse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
ITF Palma Del Rio: Amandine Hesse vs Viktoria Morvayovabacked Viktoria Morvayova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.54
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Caty McNally vs Petra Marcinkobacked Caty McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.69
Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Tomas Barriosbacked Tomas Barrios · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.24
ITF Taipei: Anchisa Chanta vs Hikaru Satobacked Anchisa Chanta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.62
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Rebecca Sramkova vs Teodora Kostovicbacked Teodora Kostovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$13.31
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Jil Teichmannbacked Bianca Andreescu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$20.17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$35.4
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.52
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.79
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on July 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.33
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.66
All 8 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 26, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.40per pick46cpaid+68.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL Cross Regional: DK vs LOSbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.77
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Cloud9 (BO1) - Cross Regional Group Stagebacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.72
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.