Tennis · resolved market
ITF Palma Del Rio: Amandine Hesse vs Viktoria Morvayova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc559b19d2b222ae9ee82894dcc35923f055d2924d95e78c64a5ae38ba311d4e6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Amandine Hesseof Amandine Hesse, Viktoria Morvayova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,754
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,754 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Amandine Hesse | 24c | 2,089$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.46 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…35b8backed Amandine Hesse | 35c | 1,037$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.03 | 208 | 60.6%126 W · 82 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef0…664ebacked Viktoria Morvayova | 72c | 1,013$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.45 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Amandine Hesse | 43c | 276.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.81 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 73c | 271.08$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Amandine Hesse | 40c | 265.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.14 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Viktoria Morvayova | 39c | 237.57$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.78 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Viktoria Morvayova | 70c | 199$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.3 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Viktoria Morvayova | 23c | 189.29$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Amandine Hesse | 28c | 166.16$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Amandine Hesse | 41c | 138.24$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.77 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Viktoria Morvayova | 35c | 119.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Amandine Hesse | 53c | 117.06$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…794abacked Amandine Hesse | 35c | 111.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.16 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Viktoria Morvayova | 11c | 109$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2688…9197backed Amandine Hesse | 46c | 81.11$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 335 | 58.5%196 W · 139 L | +17.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 54c | 81.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 3,256 | 48.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L | -53.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Amandine Hesse | 25c | 70.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.21 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Viktoria Morvayova | 55c | 67.93$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Amandine Hesse | 49c | 67.52$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 1,234 | 46.3%571 W · 663 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 46c | 66.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.68 | 668 | 34.3%229 W · 439 L | -43.2wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Viktoria Morvayova | 65c | 65.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 54c | 63.93$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…9f8cbacked Amandine Hesse | 25c | 63.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 90 | 13.3%12 W · 78 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Viktoria Morvayova | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 54c | 56.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 202 | 70.8%143 W · 59 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Viktoria Morvayova | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Amandine Hesse | 61c | 50.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 403 | 50.6%204 W · 199 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Viktoria Morvayova | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.69 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Amandine Hesse | 28c | 47.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.77 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Amandine Hesse | 27c | 44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Amandine Hesse | 53c | 43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 727 | 55.6%404 W · 323 L | +27.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Amandine Hesse | 44c | 35.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 753 | 50.5%380 W · 373 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Amandine Hesse | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Viktoria Morvayova | 54c | 30.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Amandine Hesse | 46c | 26.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Viktoria Morvayova | 74c | 25.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.98 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc5b…2a5abacked Amandine Hesse | 42c | 24.07$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4927…deaebacked Viktoria Morvayova | 77c | 20.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…3770backed Viktoria Morvayova | 57c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.