TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
OGof Betclic Apogee Esports, OG
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,128
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$173,374

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,128 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked OG63c10,417$6,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,888.992456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked OG56c9,416$5,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,105.393,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed OG61c8,938$5,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.084,23849.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L+60.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Betclic Apogee Esports42c7,872$3,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,295.15,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked OG60c7,021$4,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,779.63,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Betclic Apogee Esports32c6,800$2,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,177.922,66430.8%820 W · 1,844 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked OG65c5,903$3,829 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.592,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24f5…98d2backed Betclic Apogee Esports31c4,548$1,406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,405.9610844.4%48 W · 60 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports30c3,599$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.643,94936.5%1,443 W · 2,506 L-201.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Betclic Apogee Esports45c2,459$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,107.9775438.9%293 W · 461 L-38.9wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed Betclic Apogee Esports32c2,418$779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.3537845.5%172 W · 206 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports44c2,267$1,004 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,004.112,39742.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L-73.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports35c2,143$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75053545%241 W · 294 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9374…3770backed Betclic Apogee Esports2c2,041$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.151040%4 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…8cc0backed Betclic Apogee Esports1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36f9…4df8backed OG54c1,811$978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$832.8918356.3%103 W · 80 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports45c1,683$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.291,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports33c1,581$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.528440.5%115 W · 169 L-17.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed OG68c1,418$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.956,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9572…efffbacked OG46c1,400$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.9922641.2%93 W · 133 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x27f5…c45dbacked Betclic Apogee Esports48c1,300$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.947742.9%33 W · 44 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports28c1,275$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.792,53034.6%876 W · 1,654 L-193.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed OG61c1,219$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.22,52743.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L+42.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports20c1,200$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.333,54429.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L-289.1wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x54ac…47e6backed OG59c886.08$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.7168172.2%492 W · 189 L+120.9wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+24.7%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x41f4…ee16backed Betclic Apogee Esports37c862.79$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.4959044.9%265 W · 325 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Betclic Apogee Esports37c831$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.791,30526.4%345 W · 960 L-89.7wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7786…c005backed Betclic Apogee Esports36c800.55$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.3822541.8%94 W · 131 L-14.0wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Betclic Apogee Esports39c750$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.52,39346.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L-53.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Betclic Apogee Esports42c744.31$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.891743.7%401 W · 516 L-35.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2e…e1b2backed OG68c731.19$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.1920156.7%114 W · 87 L-0.9wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c638.26$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.3264046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…a9b3backed Betclic Apogee Esports32c625$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001,17854.5%642 W · 536 L-36.7wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Betclic Apogee Esports43c514.12$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.587,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb209…b744backed Betclic Apogee Esports9c446.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2729440.5%119 W · 175 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports6c416.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257617.1%13 W · 63 L-4.8wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-54.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed OG70c415.29$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.3357358.8%337 W · 236 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb378…e4c0backed Betclic Apogee Esports5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2038312.8%49 W · 334 L-12.7wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Betclic Apogee Esports33c396.39$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.723,26745.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L-85.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec69…cbe5backed Betclic Apogee Esports75c373$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2804459.1%26 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd241…6c35backed Betclic Apogee Esports39c364.13$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.097742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Betclic Apogee Esports45c331.2$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed OG61c314.02$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.764,09951%2,091 W · 2,008 L+74.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb55b…c5b4backed OG51c280$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.8535153.8%189 W · 162 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked OG72c277.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9944675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked OG60c240$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8719954.8%109 W · 90 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed OG61c238.07$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.982,64551.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L+21.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Betclic Apogee Esports35c232.94$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.245,03437.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L-260.4wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x186b…8567backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c219.51$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906333.3%21 W · 42 L-6.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-22.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked Betclic Apogee Esports32c217.19$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.532542.2%137 W · 188 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Betclic Apogee Esports46c205$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9845754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Betclic Apogee Esports46c199.26$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.4789046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6385…2afabacked Betclic Apogee Esports15c190$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.741516.6%69 W · 346 L-36.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-41.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked OG73c190$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.431647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac5d…7235backed OG48c184.44$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.914165.9%27 W · 14 L+6.8wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+25.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x1cdf…6498backed OG43c182.08$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.792962.1%18 W · 11 L+5.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+29.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83ba…2404backed Betclic Apogee Esports33c172.73$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5721856%122 W · 96 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6be…f6a3backed Betclic Apogee Esports29c172.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.978637.2%32 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x026b…8804backed Betclic Apogee Esports21c169.71$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.418154.7%99 W · 82 L+14.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c52…9eaebacked Betclic Apogee Esports39c169$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.618332.5%27 W · 56 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked OG60c168.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.742,60552.6%1,371 W · 1,234 L+97.5wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5a8…bf60backed OG67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2598856.1%554 W · 434 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Betclic Apogee Esports28c137.79$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5570242.2%296 W · 406 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9307…9da3backed OG59c137.44$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.991,00869.3%699 W · 309 L+152.8wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+18.3%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x56b3…2c42backed OG60c127$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.836749.3%181 W · 186 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72a…5685backed OG60c123.51$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.431741.3%131 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c6c…5e36backed OG61c120.8$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.1323956.5%135 W · 104 L+15.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Betclic Apogee Esports41c110.05$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.121,37766.4%914 W · 463 L+77.0wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Betclic Apogee Esports47c106.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5043155.9%241 W · 190 L+14.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe30…9ea9backed Betclic Apogee Esports46c105.87$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed OG57c105$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.251,48958%863 W · 626 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd11…67b1backed OG78c102.56$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.5622557.3%129 W · 96 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffca…0b64backed OG67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3352150.3%262 W · 259 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3265…cf6bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014331.5%45 W · 98 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-13.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa4e…5973backed OG73c99$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277648.7%37 W · 39 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e1b…e910backed OG68c95.58$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.593672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0ab…4be1backed OG53c94.09$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.223161.3%19 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Betclic Apogee Esports46c92.13$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.3774653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x189e…5aaebacked Betclic Apogee Esports47c92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.3418753.5%100 W · 87 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked OG68c85.22$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.372,14347.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L-61.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…67f7backed OG63c79.36$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.364774.5%35 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.11per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Betclic Apogee Esports57c76.17$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1420242.1%85 W · 117 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4e0b…4e72backed OG57c67.98$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.1420059%118 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Betclic Apogee Esports36c67.68$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.234,75443.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L-85.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked OG63c66.62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.653759.5%22 W · 15 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x55e9…bf34backed OG40c63.05$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.7723644.1%104 W · 132 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked OG37c60$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.911831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0844…bf81backed OG44c50.14$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1435848%172 W · 186 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf529…755fbacked Betclic Apogee Esports44c50$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227044.3%31 W · 39 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+1.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdad2…fe1abacked Betclic Apogee Esports26c45.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.574447.7%21 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5df0…95b3backed OG58c44.86$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8414169.5%98 W · 43 L+13.8wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2e47…bdbfbacked OG60c43.45$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.3839469.3%273 W · 121 L+31.6wins+0.08per pick61cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Betclic Apogee Esports47c41.26$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4540857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d8…c931backed OG52c40$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.26248.4%30 W · 32 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked OG50c37.84$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.011,59146.6%741 W · 850 L+30.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed OG60c34.26$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.71,89547.8%906 W · 989 L-50.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…3d33backed OG70c34.09$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2343174%319 W · 112 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked OG61c32.95$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9550251%256 W · 246 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc315…a989backed OG51c32.39$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7514322.4%32 W · 111 L-10.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-33.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8811…627cbacked OG75c32.11$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0140972.4%296 W · 113 L+38.0wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+10%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.