TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: FlyQuest vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Division Oneof FlyQuest, Division One
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$53,186
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$64,120

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,186 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcf60…a6f5backed FlyQuest64c15,000$9,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,60052155.5%289 W · 232 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Division One36c13,385$4,819 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,566.46643.9%29 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0159…db47backed Division One76c5,099$3,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,198.384729.8%14 W · 33 L-7.1wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-42.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FlyQuest26c2,401$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.5946326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d20…a165backed Division One79c2,153$1,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.05666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed FlyQuest51c2,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02039042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest12c1,717$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.751,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Division One67c1,659$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.1949255.3%272 W · 220 L+23.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Division One36c1,386$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.011,27632.1%409 W · 867 L-67.5wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9841…61c8backed Division One38c994.56$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.042100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+132%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed FlyQuest22c939.91$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.348145.7%37 W · 44 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed FlyQuest61c799.98$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.9914158.2%82 W · 59 L+6.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Division One78c769.22$599 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.42352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick65cpaid-26.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed FlyQuest60c636.94$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.943966.7%26 W · 13 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked FlyQuest27c593.69$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.2668949.5%341 W · 348 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Division One37c553.68$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.822729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed FlyQuest34c546.59$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.9674642.8%319 W · 427 L-27.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked FlyQuest30c517.56$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6684838.2%324 W · 524 L-50.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed FlyQuest15c515$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3210349.5%51 W · 52 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FlyQuest60c499.98$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.9986747.5%412 W · 455 L-2.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Division One37c461.44$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.0944342%186 W · 257 L-22.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x685f…c586backed FlyQuest39c414.45$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1612653.8%14 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Division One41c404.11$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6115038%57 W · 93 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked FlyQuest63c310.78$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.795655.4%31 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked FlyQuest30c300.4$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7170043.7%306 W · 394 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed FlyQuest41c292.12$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.951,49046.6%695 W · 795 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6376…0d2abacked FlyQuest60c282.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6531046.5%144 W · 166 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Division One75c267.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.410975.2%82 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Division One77c260.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.231866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked FlyQuest12c257.05$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.0614552.4%76 W · 69 L+10.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Division One73c246.6$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.7393049.4%459 W · 471 L-0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5747…7fdfbacked FlyQuest62c241.94$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15062856.4%354 W · 274 L-10.6wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed FlyQuest29c239.53$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.333838.5%130 W · 208 L-21.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-25.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed FlyQuest21c238$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.985032%16 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76bb…4548backed Division One58c213.43$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.436762.7%42 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed FlyQuest19c205.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.0623745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked FlyQuest37c197.3$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.6177744%342 W · 435 L-21.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x257e…ca61backed FlyQuest35c186.34$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.922344.4%99 W · 124 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69dc…0cf5backed Division One71c184.99$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.251770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed FlyQuest23c178.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4113933.1%46 W · 93 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked FlyQuest23c178.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4115535.5%55 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed FlyQuest33c166.56$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1923732.9%78 W · 159 L-20.7wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6707…d4d8backed FlyQuest59c165.13$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9711564.3%74 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked FlyQuest43c161.24$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7015232.9%50 W · 102 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d9…c3cabacked FlyQuest55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889441.5%39 W · 55 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed FlyQuest55c160$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888839.8%35 W · 53 L-4.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9cb…f7dbbacked FlyQuest62c160$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.216241.4%67 W · 95 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Division One49c158.4$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.3396245.1%434 W · 528 L-18.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked FlyQuest33c148.27$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.971020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x31e7…fe2abacked FlyQuest23c143.48$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3310633%35 W · 71 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a14…d748backed Division One61c140.99$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.627456.8%42 W · 32 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fe0…fb5bbacked FlyQuest47c139.36$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6534954.7%191 W · 158 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Division One58c138$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1850944.6%227 W · 282 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x589a…8dc5backed FlyQuest37c133.51$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8818647.8%89 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Division One38c124$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.889046.7%42 W · 48 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4572…47e7backed FlyQuest60c120$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7225245.2%114 W · 138 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc17d…2134backed FlyQuest62c119.65$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.181457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Division One58c104.98$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.396055%33 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked FlyQuest58c103.59$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0828743.2%124 W · 163 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FlyQuest40c102.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.6388844.4%394 W · 494 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked Division One56c97.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.7440254.7%220 W · 182 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked FlyQuest21c97.04$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.551,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed FlyQuest33c93.04$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.4577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked FlyQuest28c89.51$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0215833.5%53 W · 105 L-14.5wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-38%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked FlyQuest61c76.72$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8820553.2%109 W · 96 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked FlyQuest17c75.1$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.915334.6%53 W · 100 L-14.4wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-36%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ae4…8c4dbacked FlyQuest34c72.52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.86250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-30%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed FlyQuest63c66.08$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.639942.4%42 W · 57 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed FlyQuest42c66.01$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4154342.4%230 W · 313 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Division One60c65.72$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2923447%110 W · 124 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x098d…6cc2backed Division One74c60.81$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.811275%9 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Division One40c60$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3611754.7%64 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d33…28f8backed FlyQuest31c58.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+29.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked FlyQuest44c55.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3642140.4%170 W · 251 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Division One72c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,37647.1%648 W · 728 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f39…28dabacked Division One55c54.15$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick67cpaid-39.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c60…01febacked Division One61c52.69$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.445464.8%35 W · 19 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+17.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc666…8d00backed FlyQuest29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.086338.1%24 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x00d2…fe64backed Division One36c51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6420248.5%98 W · 104 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc33d…0d40backed FlyQuest23c45.67$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4741835.6%149 W · 269 L-19.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x56d5…2c23backed Division One66c45.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.4511367.3%76 W · 37 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-6.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe2da…fdd7backed Division One40c42.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.241346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ddf…7510backed Division One56c35.71$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.715356.6%30 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.11per pick68cpaid-22.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed FlyQuest35c34.89$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.078454.8%46 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed FlyQuest60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015646.2%72 W · 84 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2975…0aafbacked Division One64c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.082040%8 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x76f1…f655backed Division One55c28$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5237545.6%171 W · 204 L-1.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed FlyQuest63c25.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1618465.2%120 W · 64 L-0.6wins0.00per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed Division One40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1530544.3%135 W · 170 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed FlyQuest63c23.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3404…10d2backed FlyQuest60c23.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1111637.9%44 W · 72 L-15.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-31.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Division One74c23.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.0210846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed FlyQuest46c22.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3827947.7%133 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd93e…7434backed FlyQuest62c21.38$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.263663.9%23 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2c…d0dfbacked FlyQuest62c20.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.981963.2%12 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3489…1dc8backed Division One73c20.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.541100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked Division One77c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.634571%245 W · 100 L-1.5wins0.00per pick71cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9374…3770backed FlyQuest62c16.83$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd729…14fbbacked Division One77c15.7$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.