Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: FlyQuest vs Division One - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x52b38262be05c831fb9c5747b94aa4b702a99f8cfaf83966c799bf1cf703b63b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Division Oneof FlyQuest, Division One
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Division One | 71c | 23,500$16,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,822.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked FlyQuest | 30c | 5,820$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.85 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FlyQuest | 29c | 4,500$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.96 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked FlyQuest | 29c | 2,429$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.42 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed FlyQuest | 30c | 2,048$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.78 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x568d…87d0backed FlyQuest | 52c | 1,480$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.8 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed FlyQuest | 30c | 1,103$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.02 | 237 | 45.1%107 W · 130 L | -12.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked FlyQuest | 33c | 963.91$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.74 | 509 | 44.6%227 W · 282 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 422.67$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.33 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed FlyQuest | 31c | 411.44$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.42 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6334…6fa3backed FlyQuest | 49c | 399.99$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed FlyQuest | 35c | 370.05$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.16 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 360.22$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.41 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55c…1066backed FlyQuest | 29c | 338.34$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.12 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked FlyQuest | 54c | 320.87$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.62 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed FlyQuest | 36c | 317.37$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.34 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed FlyQuest | 32c | 301.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed FlyQuest | 29c | 300$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked FlyQuest | 41c | 282.32$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.99 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed Division One | 57c | 276.08$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Division One | 47c | 266.93$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.92 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f1c…13f4backed FlyQuest | 57c | 235.77$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed FlyQuest | 29c | 185.07$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.67 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d28…ad7cbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 183.76$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.71 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x189e…5aaebacked FlyQuest | 39c | 164.76$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.73 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FlyQuest | 33c | 151.95$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7886…ec60backed FlyQuest | 47c | 151.06$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FlyQuest | 31c | 148.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.38 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed FlyQuest | 31c | 144.18$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked FlyQuest | 37c | 134.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…a413backed Division One | 73c | 133.68$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ac…e2a8backed FlyQuest | 45c | 132.42$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked FlyQuest | 29c | 129.31$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 158 | 42.4%67 W · 91 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed FlyQuest | 39c | 128.54$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Division One | 55c | 127.58$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.41 | 888 | 44.4%394 W · 494 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FlyQuest | 39c | 110.92$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.64 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd441…87febacked FlyQuest | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Division One | 43c | 95.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 139 | 33.1%46 W · 93 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed FlyQuest | 39c | 90$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed FlyQuest | 29c | 88.93$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.79 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Division One | 66c | 85.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc70b…d2f2backed FlyQuest | 29c | 83.37$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked FlyQuest | 48c | 82.61$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.43 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed FlyQuest | 33c | 81.86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.75 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked FlyQuest | 58c | 81.84$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d8…c931backed Division One | 43c | 66.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aff…aad8backed FlyQuest | 36c | 55.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…ab36backed FlyQuest | 29c | 50.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb09f…6382backed Division One | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9374…3770backed FlyQuest | 33c | 49.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf5…1095backed Division One | 53c | 45.92$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.68 | 117 | 70.9%83 W · 34 L | +8.2wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed FlyQuest | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc78d…e9f0backed FlyQuest | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Division One | 50c | 40.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed FlyQuest | 36c | 40.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 279 | 56.6%158 W · 121 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked FlyQuest | 55c | 37.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…6e9bbacked Division One | 42c | 32.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c60…01febacked Division One | 71c | 28.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +5.7wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…b3debacked Division One | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53b1…8e43backed FlyQuest | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8932…1cc4backed Division One | 45c | 22.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked FlyQuest | 54c | 20.69$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.14 | 183 | 3.3%6 W · 177 L | -73.1wins | -0.40per pick | 43cpaid | -93.1%equal weight | 11-0.35 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Division One | 65c | 18.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.59 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed Division One | 57c | 18.27$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.79 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Division One - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Division One (BO3) - VCL North America: Stage 3 Group StageDivision One won
- Valorant: FlyQuest vs Division One - Map 1 WinnerDivision One won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.