TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$255,760
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$263,244

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,760 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 317 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over67c54,150$36,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,970.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under39c34,322$13,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,405.22,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5dab…22e1backed Under39c21,543$8,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,401.751533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-35.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over61c11,000$6,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,289.991,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x65b5…aa71backed Over61c9,000$5,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,510.1140655.7%226 W · 180 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over62c7,694$4,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,923.5511963.9%76 W · 43 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over61c7,131$4,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,758.851,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over61c6,980$4,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,722.174447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x96a3…d944backed Under39c6,515$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,541.0426445.1%119 W · 145 L+17.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under39c6,000$2,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,34024058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under7c5,902$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403.138,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over61c5,530$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,156.781,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x979f…4032backed Over63c5,205$3,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,925.772882.1%23 W · 5 L+6.5wins+0.23per pick59cpaid+46.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Over61c4,965$3,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.1777152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under38c4,500$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under38c4,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5209752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under1c4,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Under39c4,000$1,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,539.985545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under40c3,487$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,404.392,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over61c3,368$2,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,313.512,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under39c3,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,169.9930626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf29…e395backed Over59c2,963$1,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,214.879830.6%30 W · 68 L-7.2wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x34ec…f538backed Under40c2,947$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1755137.3%19 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3a9…b216backed Under1c2,660$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6641.6%1 W · 63 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-47.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cd6…18e4backed Under39c2,600$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0146016.7%10 W · 50 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick15cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Under39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97523729.1%69 W · 168 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under8c2,222$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.783026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e5…a5c8backed Under7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under41c2,094$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$849.632,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Over62c2,000$1,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$759.998748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x122b…ac59backed Under7c1,919$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.7824533.5%82 W · 163 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under9c1,892$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.8241331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x302b…e4bebacked Under42c1,823$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.838140.7%33 W · 48 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c98…f4f4backed Under39c1,795$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021052.4%110 W · 100 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Under41c1,735$705 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.4825643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under38c1,616$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.292,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over63c1,500$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd6…9efebacked Under7c1,415$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.051323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+72.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1622…d2aebacked Under38c1,400$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53216841.1%69 W · 99 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under20c1,317$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.992,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over62c1,306$810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.4516747.3%79 W · 88 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6adf…4f5bbacked Under39c1,300$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50716139.8%64 W · 97 L-0.4wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over62c1,296$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$492.4813860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005947.5%28 W · 31 L+6.1wins+0.10per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdcdd…73a5backed Under40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50013223.5%31 W · 101 L-9.2wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x435c…8079backed Under42c1,200$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Over62c1,188$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Over61c1,148$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.5428528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over62c1,118$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.541,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under39c1,111$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.0650850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf400…2f56backed Under38c1,100$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4183953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a28…8962backed Under48c1,033$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012139.7%48 W · 73 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Under40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Under39c1,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3906214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d14…e4fabacked Under11c1,000$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010420.2%21 W · 83 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+25.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Under41c999.98$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.9948140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9b5…f95bbacked Over60c999.96$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.986031.7%19 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Over60c936.94$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$374.7730345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over61c929.09$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.012,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over58c895.05$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.983,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.6730465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fda…b819backed Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.673537.1%13 W · 22 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over61c819$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.412,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over61c819$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.412,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over61c819$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.413,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x624d…ff0abacked Over62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.454757.4%27 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under38c800$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30424045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0ebc…6bfdbacked Under38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011357.5%65 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb03b…a5dfbacked Under40c750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007342.5%31 W · 42 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x16da…05c0backed Under48c699.99$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.6821937.9%83 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa2f…c08dbacked Over62c698.4$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.41931.6%6 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under37c682.7$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.834,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a8a…cb94backed Over54c681.73$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.618056.1%101 W · 79 L+14.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5bab…50aabacked Under49c607.9$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30016753.9%90 W · 77 L-7.2wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcfaf…9206backed Under38c600$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2288453.6%45 W · 39 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick42cpaid+32.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over61c584.99$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230.197742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e0…d89bbacked Over61c550$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.53100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Under37c535.12$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.9914839.9%59 W · 89 L-7.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over61c500$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19523429.1%68 W · 166 L-10.4wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5537…f9c8backed Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19519442.3%82 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe81d…16bfbacked Under39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19521133.2%70 W · 141 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+17.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…12ccbacked Under38c499.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19012943.4%56 W · 73 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Under4c499.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2066932.1%215 W · 454 L+16.8wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-14.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce3…bc6cbacked Over61c491.8$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.85448.1%26 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Over61c489.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.1315054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x370c…6929backed Under38c486.1$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18715923.3%37 W · 122 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a5…75bbbacked Over61c485.25$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.254348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under8c463.35$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.152,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xded4…1e6dbacked Over63c436.51$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.513743.2%16 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15bc…4a7ebacked Under40c432.08$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.8317042.4%72 W · 98 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f4…dd7cbacked Over61c422.99$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.973348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76ad…268abacked Over57c403.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.511233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c84…f6fcbacked Under11c400$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446235.5%22 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+119.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Over60c393.35$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.3461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67f6…1651backed Under5c372.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.6525328.1%71 W · 182 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under40c371.13$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4579149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Under41c366.48$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.2610359.2%61 W · 42 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+22.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe79…530bbacked Under39c361.77$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.09214.8%1 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick14cpaid+5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.