TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$372,156
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$404,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $372,156 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224a…a3d5backed Under41c94,740$39,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,190.9977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over60c32,124$19,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,937.022,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa6f…1dfebacked Over57c14,081$8,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,054.818648.8%42 W · 44 L+10.1wins+0.12per pick37cpaid+77.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2b46…684dbacked Over58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2002931%9 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under42c10,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2008458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under30c9,687$2,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,858.643,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over65c9,538$6,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.438,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c9,461$3,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,894.494,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over62c7,824$4,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,990.752,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over58c6,250$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,624.9936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb5a…8445backed Under2c6,114$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.083026.7%8 W · 22 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over57c5,373$3,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,302.422,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under42c5,000$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,099.9620724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under38c4,633$1,741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,741.144,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under42c4,505$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,875.712,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under1c4,378$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.232,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under34c4,088$1,377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,376.972,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x158d…9c64backed Over56c3,999$2,239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,759.4313454.5%73 W · 61 L+6.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Over58c3,890$2,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.515959.3%35 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under38c3,741$1,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,415.142,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa54c…7f3cbacked Over61c3,535$2,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,370.543847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd5d8…e9a1backed Under44c3,500$1,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53611642.2%49 W · 67 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa06a…d284backed Over58c3,448$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,448.271163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under42c3,120$1,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,302.5597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db8…2effbacked Under26c2,904$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.0920731.4%65 W · 142 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick31cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under43c2,866$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.381,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Over71c2,820$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.83751.4%19 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under41c2,633$1,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.31,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over62c2,623$1,639 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984.1743248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c2,570$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,085.663,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under44c2,506$1,103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,102.649440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under42c2,502$1,057 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,056.913,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae3…d88abacked Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under42c2,462$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.651,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2225…8509backed Over46c2,152$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,162.176550.8%33 W · 32 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb172…7862backed Over63c2,048$1,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.6827837.8%105 W · 173 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Over73c2,000$1,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54018644.6%83 W · 103 L+0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8408858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under42c2,000$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under39c1,915$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.959752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Over57c1,900$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8175545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over53c1,873$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.2513754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under41c1,829$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.7826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Over58c1,790$1,038 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751.7923240.5%94 W · 138 L-11.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3cec…d241backed Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.148056.3%45 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7af3…550cbacked Over58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.144131.7%13 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xef84…6872backed Under3c1,695$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.91375.1%7 W · 130 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick2cpaid+94.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9230465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.925145.1%23 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x62e0…32dfbacked Over59c1,695$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.9217345.1%78 W · 95 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+20.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Over65c1,665$1,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.49770.1%68 W · 29 L+12.0wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+23.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over64c1,645$1,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.6782537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4031…92c8backed Over50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75011044.5%49 W · 61 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked Under42c1,466$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.7261750.6%312 W · 305 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over59c1,458$864 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.6725643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over58c1,350$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56722943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6859…fb90backed Over58c1,295$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.7917650%88 W · 88 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under35c1,286$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.883,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec37…3645backed Over58c1,252$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.722119%4 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-49.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under42c1,246$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.1170244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under41c1,197$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.7613860.9%84 W · 54 L+10.7wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over50c1,162$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.925330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over67c1,152$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.784,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf400…2f56backed Over58c1,110$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.23953.8%21 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over70c1,100$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33010753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb29e…d14fbacked Over57c1,100$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.51952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xea16…4bd8backed Over79c1,081$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.012055%11 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under42c1,073$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.513,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66b…494bbacked Over80c1,035$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.963557.1%20 W · 15 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Over55c1,029$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.982867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under43c1,024$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$435.21,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd3b…8558backed Over78c1,019$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.141957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick66cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Over59c1,017$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.9533641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over61c1,014$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.992,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc9a…1757backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4204533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ae5…4f22backed Over75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25018465.8%121 W · 63 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42028337.1%105 W · 178 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d47…64eebacked Over57c1,000$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4303046.7%14 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+17.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over58c1,000$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Over59c1,000$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41033235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0943…671bbacked Over56c999.99$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4401816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under42c999.95$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.9830345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Over57c979$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.9740649.8%202 W · 204 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc97…0cc5backed Over54c925.93$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.932937.9%11 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x333b…62dabacked Over59c854.24$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.245251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over57c854$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.992,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1159…7c71backed Over70c838.98$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.661822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-70%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa678…bc50backed Over59c838.98$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.986749.3%33 W · 34 L+4.7wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+52.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under21c834.89$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.331,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7fc6…80a5backed Under23c813.04$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under41c799.98$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.9924045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x077c…98abbacked Over78c760.78$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2519553.3%104 W · 91 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x81f3…1f2abacked Over58c751.03$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.436950.7%35 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick46cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Under42c721.89$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.191,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under28c717$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.7658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6560…a77cbacked Over33c716.48$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.04425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over65c704.41$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.7821630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2700…0da1backed Over72c666.58$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.64742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489c…376bbacked Over58c622.99$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.99450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1530…6aaabacked Over72c619.03$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1316163.4%102 W · 59 L+25.7wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+44.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.