Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x12703b1e1aa0b1970174f9b24d131cf52b656611eea2cf76b8442dc4ef1399fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,785
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,896
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,785 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Under | 20c | 1,758$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.62 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 80c | 1,319$1,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d3…804bbacked Over | 67c | 999.98$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.99 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 18c | 787.64$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.84 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over | 55c | 779.47$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.48 | 256 | 43.4%111 W · 145 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 43c | 591.56$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.02 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Under | 22c | 516.05$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 825 | 37.1%306 W · 519 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 80c | 437.28$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.46 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2540…6becbacked Under | 3c | 395$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 245 | 40.4%99 W · 146 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Over | 71c | 391.92$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.52 | 753 | 35.6%268 W · 485 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 21c | 364.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Over | 77c | 345.97$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.57 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +13.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 43c | 342.61$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.48 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 43c | 318$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.65 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc54…db0ebacked Under | 18c | 271.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 42c | 249$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.93 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Over | 80c | 244$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.8 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 56c | 227$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.11 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 46c | 209$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 60c | 159.33$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.98 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 30c | 155.48$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 68c | 151$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.64 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 15c | 140$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 40c | 137$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.83 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 80c | 124.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 24c | 121.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbe2…004dbacked Under | 14c | 119.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 111 | 14.4%16 W · 95 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x223b…971cbacked Under | 34c | 118.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 160 | 40%64 W · 96 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 16c | 107.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe39a…da0bbacked Under | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…e535backed Under | 35c | 78.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.27 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f5f…b8efbacked Over | 65c | 78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 83 | 55.4%46 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 53c | 72.69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…ca63backed Under | 32c | 65.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccbb…3bedbacked Under | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ce…8153backed Over | 61c | 41.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.26 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04ab…c326backed Over | 54c | 36.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…5147backed Under | 43c | 34.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Over | 71c | 32.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3a…b386backed Over | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 41c | 26.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.38 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Over | 77c | 22.36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 451 | 45%203 W · 248 L | +22.3wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x324f…15b1backed Over | 66c | 19.74$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Over | 76c | 15.9$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 855 | 50.6%433 W · 422 L | +54.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bf…78f3backed Over | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.