Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xff6b8492f5a6f9ea9853b4699f029f141e357a4b4a0ccd7282af228fc6edb1ea

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $241,574
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $273,222

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $241,574 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	8c	15,755$1,321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,321.21	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Over	1c	10,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	192	18.8%36 W · 156 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	7c	7,476$490 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$489.72	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Over	3c	6,357$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	193	29%56 W · 137 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Over	3c	5,454$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.18	80	32.5%26 W · 54 L	-4.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over	11c	4,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over	12c	3,970$476 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.39	53	30.2%16 W · 37 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	16c	3,853$598 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.57	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe57d…bf4cbacked Over	1c	3,750$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	217	22.1%48 W · 169 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	7c	3,583$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.34	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Over	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.99	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-33%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	14c	2,875$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.61	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Over	1c	2,525$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.25	251	25.1%63 W · 188 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over	12c	2,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	462	23.2%107 W · 355 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Over	6c	1,672$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	365	39.7%145 W · 220 L	+8.4wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over	12c	1,533$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184	329	22.5%74 W · 255 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-13%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over	12c	1,310$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.16	2,439	29%707 W · 1,732 L	-65.3wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-21%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Over	16c	1,173$188 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$187.7	266	47%125 W · 141 L	+14.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa4c3…8bb2backed Over	12c	1,138$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.6	136	10.3%14 W · 122 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-35%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over	9c	1,124$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.96	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Over	18c	1,087$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	216	41.7%90 W · 126 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over	1c	1,059$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.15	272	27.6%75 W · 197 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over	11c	1,000$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	1,945	42.7%831 W · 1,114 L	-11.2wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over	11c	966.19$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.28	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over	2c	948.86$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.98	2,626	41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over	2c	847$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.57	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x800a…0b4dbacked Over	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	111	22.5%25 W · 86 L	-8.0wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd523…032dbacked Over	4c	751.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	121	23.1%28 W · 93 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b1…f07abacked Over	12c	750$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over	12c	708.83$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.06	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	9c	616.65$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.79	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over	9c	602.25$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.17	4,027	38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L	-26.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over	12c	537.32$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.48	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6e2…bd11backed Over	20c	413$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.49	64	39.1%25 W · 39 L	+5.9wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa6db…2839backed Over	19c	412.84$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	38	52.6%20 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4e9…8c3ebacked Over	12c	410.67$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.28	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over	11c	390.01$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.9	977	42%410 W · 567 L	-6.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Over	13c	384.6$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	437	37.8%165 W · 272 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6cfe…c83cbacked Over	13c	344.83$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.83	362	34%123 W · 239 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	32cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8390…09f1backed Over	11c	300$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	142	35.9%51 W · 91 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	0%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over	12c	299.99$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over	13c	295.74$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.24	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over	8c	289.11$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.43	216	30.1%65 W · 151 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over	11c	272$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.92	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	9c	257.61$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.36	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x948e…44d1backed Over	13c	237.14$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	49	20.4%10 W · 39 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	+23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ca1…2f58backed Over	13c	232.27$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.2	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-2.7wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-41.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	9c	211$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.32	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over	9c	211$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.42	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over	12c	210.5$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	360	24.4%88 W · 272 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	+7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb72e…7c3bbacked Over	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x644b…ec38backed Over	12c	208.33$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	42	33.3%14 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	36cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	10c	204.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.49	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over	12c	183.22$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.71	2,576	46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L	+35.9wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	12c	173$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.21	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over	8c	173$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.72	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	8c	171.19$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.94	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x182c…64d3backed Over	9c	170.45$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.89	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+22%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over	10c	169.19$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.67	177	47.5%84 W · 93 L	+11.7wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Over	6c	162.69$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.14	1,313	48.9%642 W · 671 L	+12.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over	13c	153.85$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	1,388	15.1%210 W · 1,178 L	-16.0wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over	11c	152.92$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.82	3,286	49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L	+6.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over	9c	150$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.24	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d7d…5e72backed Over	8c	150$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	58	10.3%6 W · 52 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-55.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa856…43f9backed Over	15c	146.67$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x86fc…2715backed Over	12c	133.33$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	124	19.4%24 W · 100 L	-10.7wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-40.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x957e…3621backed Over	16c	128.45$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	221	47.1%104 W · 117 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Over	20c	115.5$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.1	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over	11c	100$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	128	31.3%40 W · 88 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Over	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.6	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c16…04f7backed Over	11c	99.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	156	21.8%34 W · 122 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over	12c	84$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.05	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c93…592fbacked Over	18c	83.33$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+4.0wins	+0.17per pick	22cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over	13c	82$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.66	52	13.5%7 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	20cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over	20c	75$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.78	238	20.6%49 W · 189 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	54c	23$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.42	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x48ec…8f36backed Under	46c	23$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.42	135	52.6%71 W · 64 L	+25.9wins	+0.19per pick	33cpaid	+129%equal weight	68+0.16 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under	77c	19$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.37	1,601	47.8%765 W · 836 L	+51.5wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5this page
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event