TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$313,406
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$279,607

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,406 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c82,140$58,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,990.074,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7583…4df2backed Over29c47,248$13,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,702.062040%8 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over16c20,059$3,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,224.173,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over33c18,953$6,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,170.92,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over29c14,141$4,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,059.41,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe168…e559backed Under71c7,221$5,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,094.14768.1%32 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+23.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over25c7,101$1,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,801.524,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over24c7,078$1,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,731.182,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over20c6,455$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.071,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over29c6,000$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.9912810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under71c5,062$3,597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,464.243,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45020724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa3…653bbacked Under71c4,104$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,180.7850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Over36c3,924$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,412.622828.6%8 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-40.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93df…7306backed Under62c3,400$2,118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,281.996863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd22a…2a00backed Over36c3,243$1,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,167.382040%8 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e95…1776backed Over29c3,092$896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$895.91567.7%12 W · 144 L-0.4wins0.00per pick8cpaid+5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa0e…2a0ebacked Under72c3,000$2,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84034247.7%163 W · 179 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under71c2,792$1,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.023,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under66c2,675$1,766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$909.5277152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over26c2,549$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.31,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ae3…d88abacked Over7c2,500$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17530%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over25c2,446$608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.728,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under66c2,413$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.174,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dec…80b0backed Over42c2,304$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7bd…2a37backed Over30c2,200$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6605145.1%23 W · 28 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+30%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4931…6f58backed Over33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6605545.5%25 W · 30 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over22c1,945$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.342,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over29c1,662$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.111,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7b…d719backed Under16c1,563$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,312.5650%3 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick17cpaid+185.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f03…fa6dbacked Over30c1,548$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.958530.6%26 W · 59 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over18c1,497$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.242,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa6fa…546bbacked Over27c1,297$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35013754.7%75 W · 62 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under71c1,297$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.2826841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under78c1,267$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.592,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over29c1,267$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.432,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over29c1,257$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.622,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over26c1,234$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.511,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc229…1b74backed Over29c1,180$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.28858%51 W · 37 L+10.4wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+27.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under69c1,000$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3101,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Over29c1,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29035446%163 W · 191 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0943…671bbacked Over32c1,000$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3201816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.4wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-69.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over29c999.97$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.991,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under66c999.97$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.999752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeaa…95d6backed Over27c873.96$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.814932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over27c871.5$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.251,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2c0…b876backed Over31c870.97$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27010532.4%34 W · 71 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under71c870$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.370244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over30c803$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.91,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc220…5012backed Over29c768.07$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.7429636.1%107 W · 189 L-0.7wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1a4…9779backed Under76c765.56$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.561450%7 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under70c755.37$532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.921,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over29c716.33$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.052,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under71c702.08$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.583,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe020…ff13backed Under72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.444667.4%31 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671e…2536backed Under71c679.42$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1810734.6%37 W · 70 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe838…92fbbacked Over38c654.18$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2504634.8%16 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-37.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Over21c645$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.3813850%69 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e02…9136backed Over29c623.1$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.710146.5%47 W · 54 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc9…01e1backed Over28c620.62$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17511020%22 W · 88 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5cd…f463backed Under63c615.03$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.561942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over29c602.03$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.172,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…44bbbacked Under16c600$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5041428.6%4 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick15cpaid+117.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under71c591.58$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1731,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Over39c584.79$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.0713653.7%73 W · 63 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under26c544.33$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.672,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Under70c543.3$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.9970648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc027…836cbacked Over37c532.89$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.17450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over29c517.23$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15067447.6%321 W · 353 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Over34c515.99$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.1321630.1%65 W · 151 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3686…ce81backed Under70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Under72c500$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14017052.9%90 W · 80 L+13.0wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3aa5…784abacked Over37c482.89$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.679917.2%17 W · 82 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid+29.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over24c476.99$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.532,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa631…b53ebacked Over45c444.44$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002941.4%12 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Over29c443.16$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.779149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf92…9e59backed Under70c428.57$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.572259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over29c427$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.831,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe991…48b1backed Under72c416.67$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6733641.7%140 W · 196 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd5…ac33backed Under70c411.97$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.691346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1159…7c71backed Over31c404.23$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.311822.2%4 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.24per pick46cpaid-70%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under71c390.01$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.8497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x792d…7363backed Under70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.143100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under71c352$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.8288852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under71c328.34$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.783,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a51…f305backed Over31c323.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2718827.7%52 W · 136 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Over21c322$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.5916647%78 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a89…a4d6backed Over35c315.79$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1103941%16 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d55…7cbabacked Over4c310$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.8140%0 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x583c…b03bbacked Over31c309.23$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-81.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Under26c307$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.183050%15 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under70c306.47$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.6372247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ea…49e9backed Over29c300$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-26.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over31c300$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9316544.8%74 W · 91 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cec…2144backed Under77c296.74$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a09…d93bbacked Over34c294.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+179.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c31…5380backed Under71c280$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.227744.8%124 W · 153 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Over35c250$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.514949.7%74 W · 75 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+22.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xee60…9c89backed Over40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.