Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7ab06490356e2c292f36cbca36b71cfbd75b1620a655fb3fc2699a9683894a3f

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $723,271
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $726,723

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $723,271 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 198 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over	7c	52,215$3,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,639.68	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Over	14c	40,032$5,454 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,454.09	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+13.4wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+80.2%equal weight	65+0.13 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over	12c	26,674$3,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,263.65	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Over	16c	24,199$3,858 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,858.23	116	42.2%49 W · 67 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	38cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over	15c	19,000$2,910 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,910	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x412f…30fabacked Over	25c	13,947$3,531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,530.7	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+4.1wins	+0.02per pick	36cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over	11c	13,074$1,425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,424.92	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	16c	11,936$1,888 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,887.73	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Over	16c	10,285$1,594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,594.16	102	51%52 W · 50 L	+7.4wins	+0.07per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa80e…6aa1backed Over	25c	10,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.99	273	45.8%125 W · 148 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	+17.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4773…2289backed Under	78c	9,794$7,641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,152.93	13	76.9%10 W · 3 L	+1.4wins	+0.10per pick	66cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over	9c	9,521$822 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$821.75	594	53.4%317 W · 277 L	+43.8wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+17.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Over	15c	8,000$1,230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,230	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Under	74c	7,442$5,478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,964.34	273	27.5%75 W · 198 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Over	13c	7,417$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.91	445	39.6%176 W · 269 L	-5.5wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6796…2617backed Over	22c	6,936$1,546 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,545.67	36	25%9 W · 27 L	-2.4wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2723…8d2dbacked Over	17c	5,803$978 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$977.61	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+3.3wins	+0.11per pick	15cpaid	+58.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over	1c	5,427$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.17	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe337…4ad6backed Over	18c	5,138$925 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$924.86	300	54%162 W · 138 L	+17.1wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	14c	4,109$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.73	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over	15c	4,000$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$609.99	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaea7…974bbacked Over	16c	3,993$629 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$628.9	10	50%5 W · 5 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	17c	3,921$682 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$681.81	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over	11c	3,425$378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377.81	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Under	76c	3,354$2,557 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.58	211	66.4%140 W · 71 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	66cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over	17c	3,057$527 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$527.38	53	20.8%11 W · 42 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	15c	2,995$462 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.77	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over	17c	2,889$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over	21c	2,642$567 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$566.63	396	44.7%177 W · 219 L	+2.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Over	15c	2,564$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$384.64	91	50.5%46 W · 45 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa45a…4fdebacked Over	12c	2,393$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$290	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.1wins	+0.10per pick	17cpaid	-18.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Over	25c	2,366$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.31	1,941	35.5%690 W · 1,251 L	-25.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf83…3385backed Over	15c	2,353$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.32	315	45.4%143 W · 172 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over	17c	2,269$375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$374.9	698	26.1%182 W · 516 L	-21.7wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over	13c	2,200$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.5	48	43.8%21 W · 27 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	7c	2,171$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.29	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	12c	2,025$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.77	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Over	15c	1,863$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$279.63	217	38.7%84 W · 133 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb340…1ad1backed Under	76c	1,705$1,300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.97	31	67.7%21 W · 10 L	+0.7wins	+0.02per pick	65cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Over	15c	1,613$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.05	1,873	48.4%906 W · 967 L	+14.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over	17c	1,516$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.73	379	44.1%167 W · 212 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe76f…e04cbacked Over	12c	1,446$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.68	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over	1c	1,432$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.48	825	37.1%306 W · 519 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29a4…205ebacked Under	74c	1,351$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$351.45	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-3.9wins	-0.14per pick	51cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2fa9…a486backed Over	15c	1,329$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.37	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over	14c	1,302$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.28	2,271	39.5%896 W · 1,375 L	+10.1wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over	16c	1,270$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	315	20.3%64 W · 251 L	-3.7wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982a…2853backed Over	16c	1,129$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.6	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-55%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3b89…fdf9backed Over	16c	1,116$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$174.42	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Over	10c	1,081$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.4	847	38.8%329 W · 518 L	-9.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x368d…d853backed Over	14c	999.97$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	98	21.4%21 W · 77 L	-8.6wins	-0.09per pick	30cpaid	-26%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Over	24c	999.96$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.99	94	50%47 W · 47 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Over	24c	910$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.13	143	44.8%64 W · 79 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over	10c	871.77$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.6	515	14.2%73 W · 442 L	+6.2wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88f2…a6c1backed Over	8c	826.02$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.89	199	44.7%89 W · 110 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed Over	15c	764.52$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.68	211	40.3%85 W · 126 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Over	3c	726.02$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.86	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5f6…73fabacked Under	73c	684.93$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$184.93	94	66%62 W · 32 L	+6.3wins	+0.07per pick	59cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8cf2…5da0backed Over	15c	655.74$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.1wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over	15c	645.16$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	143	23.1%33 W · 110 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1eba…ff9cbacked Over	15c	644$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.6	438	26.3%115 W · 323 L	+12.6wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Over	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	98	39.8%39 W · 59 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under	77c	610$467 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$143.35	117	59.8%70 W · 47 L	+4.2wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Over	5c	609.78$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf16…464ebacked Over	16c	606.16$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.47	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Over	15c	604.09$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.56	527	44.4%234 W · 293 L	-11.8wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	19c	569.93$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.2	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa78d…130bbacked Over	23c	531.91$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	37	51.4%19 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae9c…63b7backed Over	20c	529.99$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.3	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-53.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e0…08eebacked Over	16c	461.19$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.77	262	43.1%113 W · 149 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4544…7db1backed Under	77c	454.21$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.47	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over	25c	435.48$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.87	1,711	35.2%603 W · 1,108 L	-68.3wins	-0.04per pick	39cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over	15c	426.76$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.01	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5544…fe9ebacked Under	76c	423.48$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.72	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over	16c	412.7$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over	27c	399.99$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.41	908	40.9%371 W · 537 L	-64.0wins	-0.07per pick	48cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	15c	395.4$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.6	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under	76c	392.16$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.16	17	82.4%14 W · 3 L	+1.9wins	+0.11per pick	71cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe497…927fbacked Over	24c	388.13$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.15	72	22.2%16 W · 56 L	-6.6wins	-0.09per pick	31cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe855…1139backed Over	11c	378.99$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.8	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+3.7wins	+0.12per pick	14cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over	11c	336.34$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.72	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe801…a0e8backed Over	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	30cpaid	-83.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x26fb…67b8backed Under	78c	327.12$255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.03	295	58.3%172 W · 123 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac3…bf4dbacked Over	16c	320$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	51	41.2%21 W · 30 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9184…7bf8backed Over	16c	320$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Over	16c	317.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c12…62ccbacked Over	16c	317.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	69	26.1%18 W · 51 L	+5.6wins	+0.08per pick	18cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over	16c	314.79$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.58	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	16c	312.98$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40e3…5627backed Under	80c	312.68$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62.68	97	64.9%63 W · 34 L	+4.9wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe08c…e03cbacked Over	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Over	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ec…c5d6backed Over	16c	312.5$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	75	14.7%11 W · 64 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	17cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9e…a24bbacked Over	27c	309.7$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.53	210	50%105 W · 105 L	+1.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over	24c	300$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.48	1,354	38.9%527 W · 827 L	-55.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfaa…05e8backed Over	16c	300$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.5	61	36.1%22 W · 39 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over	26c	300$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.5	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over	25c	300$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.75	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over	23c	300$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.26	1,438	40.1%576 W · 862 L	-40.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5this page
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event