Spread: Spain (-2.5)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe98cce3f148738d476643334d577d81b7ffd716b73e4d417f6f6935beb7dfdb3

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Belgiumof Spain, Belgium
Resolved: Jul 10, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $306,842
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $294,718

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $306,842 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x325f…4511backed Spain	12c	16,795$2,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,032.74	1,627	32.1%523 W · 1,104 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Spain	16c	13,331$2,104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,103.8	128	10.9%14 W · 114 L	-7.9wins	-0.06per pick	17cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Spain	15c	13,000$2,012 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,012.49	1,536	49.1%754 W · 782 L	+32.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Spain	15c	11,380$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,739.81	3,992	24.9%994 W · 2,998 L	-47.0wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spain	15c	10,000$1,525 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,525	744	47.8%356 W · 388 L	+11.3wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Spain	7c	6,873$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	250	19.6%49 W · 201 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c7d…83edbacked Spain	7c	6,213$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.44	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdac7…6d53backed Spain	15c	5,793$855 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$854.53	91	31.9%29 W · 62 L	-6.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed Spain	16c	5,058$835 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$834.54	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	+4.0wins	+0.12per pick	34cpaid	+94%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Spain	16c	4,100$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640	1,075	45.2%486 W · 589 L	+41.2wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Spain	7c	3,850$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$275	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Spain	16c	3,082$496 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495.82	2,307	37.6%867 W · 1,440 L	-16.7wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b5…7e72backed Spain	15c	3,004$451 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450.56	75	49.3%37 W · 38 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe987…f0e1backed Spain	17c	3,000$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	380	26.6%101 W · 279 L	-10.0wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…1a8dbacked Spain	17c	2,985$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	+1.8wins	+0.05per pick	41cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2053…1eedbacked Spain	16c	2,948$464 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$464.35	93	24.7%23 W · 70 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Spain	11c	2,915$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.87	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f82…b06cbacked Spain	16c	2,915$459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$459.11	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Spain	9c	2,750$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.63	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	39cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Spain	15c	2,694$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$391.06	510	32.5%166 W · 344 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8049…4a42backed Spain	16c	2,114$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.4wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Spain	8c	2,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	69	39.1%27 W · 42 L	+6.4wins	+0.09per pick	30cpaid	+20%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xcf85…71e4backed Spain	16c	1,871$304 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$304	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Belgium	77c	1,865$1,441 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.55	668	46.7%312 W · 356 L	+45.9wins	+0.07per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8112…1e6fbacked Spain	17c	1,803$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	33cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Spain	16c	1,500$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245	99	43.4%43 W · 56 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Spain	7c	1,413$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.76	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e9f…6561backed Spain	25c	1,402$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	96	33.3%32 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Spain	17c	1,400$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.06	2,973	28%831 W · 2,142 L	-132.5wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xff53…f5ecbacked Spain	16c	1,335$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.23	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd325…fd1bbacked Spain	17c	1,199$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	96	30.2%29 W · 67 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Spain	23c	1,077$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.03	142	31.7%45 W · 97 L	-13.4wins	-0.09per pick	41cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21f7…1b34backed Spain	16c	1,022$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	224	36.6%82 W · 142 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Spain	15c	1,017$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	226	43.4%98 W · 128 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed Spain	15c	1,000$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.5	354	46%163 W · 191 L	+7.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb328…4447backed Spain	17c	1,000$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	46	43.5%20 W · 26 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Spain	15c	955.07$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.65	216	30.1%65 W · 151 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-25.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb12…70a7backed Spain	12c	940.36$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+1.2wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0a2…0489backed Spain	16c	937.5$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+5.8wins	+0.16per pick	17cpaid	+170.8%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x76ca…e170backed Spain	29c	907.99$266 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.06	154	55.8%86 W · 68 L	+7.9wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Spain	16c	899.32$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.41	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Spain	17c	719.99$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.6	363	49.3%179 W · 184 L	+15.4wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Spain	16c	699.99$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	179	19%34 W · 145 L	+9.1wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x338b…bf88backed Spain	15c	699.62$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.36	193	32.6%63 W · 130 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ae…9badbacked Spain	18c	683.32$126 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.25	283	26.5%75 W · 208 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-29.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Belgium	78c	644$502 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.12	268	41.8%112 W · 156 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3554…d825backed Spain	16c	615.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	35	8.6%3 W · 32 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb116…7baebacked Spain	16c	600$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.5	29	27.6%8 W · 21 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54da…1facbacked Spain	25c	600$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	153	41.8%64 W · 89 L	-5.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Spain	17c	597.01$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	145	28.3%41 W · 104 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bea…a7e6backed Spain	19c	574$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.7	176	59.7%105 W · 71 L	+25.3wins	+0.14per pick	45cpaid	+36.1%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x7011…c6dabacked Spain	15c	513.03$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.67	49	49%24 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Spain	16c	500$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.5	136	41.9%57 W · 79 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Spain	15c	460.21$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.92	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf916…2763backed Spain	22c	449.16$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.64	87	46%40 W · 47 L	+8.2wins	+0.09per pick	37cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x63af…2d0cbacked Spain	24c	398.67$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.68	18	5.6%1 W · 17 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	13cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa856…43f9backed Spain	17c	382.35$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	+2.5wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	+46.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Spain	15c	322.58$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	109	18.3%20 W · 89 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Spain	16c	317.46$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	332	21.7%72 W · 260 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5c7…5cecbacked Spain	15c	312.2$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.83	35	37.1%13 W · 22 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b45…362bbacked Spain	11c	305.94$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.65	981	34.8%341 W · 640 L	-7.8wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Spain	15c	300$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	879	38.6%339 W · 540 L	+8.3wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x494e…d3dbbacked Spain	16c	300$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.75	389	24.4%95 W · 294 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Spain	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	1,005	44.3%445 W · 560 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Spain	16c	300$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf36e…f91cbacked Spain	17c	298.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	154	18.8%29 W · 125 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd753…6053backed Spain	17c	298.51$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	302	19.9%60 W · 242 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Spain	16c	294.99$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.72	142	38.7%55 W · 87 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a3…6599backed Spain	13c	282.52$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.68	117	51.3%60 W · 57 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe392…c023backed Spain	25c	280.99$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.85	275	43.6%120 W · 155 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8cb…e963backed Spain	7c	275.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	94	14.9%14 W · 80 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4ad4…f77dbacked Spain	16c	262.73$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.38	33	39.4%13 W · 20 L	-1.5wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4536…f41bbacked Spain	17c	229.25$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.38	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Spain	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.5	115	31.3%36 W · 79 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Spain	15c	200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	128	29.7%38 W · 90 L	-5.2wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Spain	16c	196$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.85	1,240	43.7%542 W · 698 L	+13.2wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Spain	25c	195$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.26	2,603	37.8%984 W · 1,619 L	-40.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d4e…4accbacked Spain	15c	193.55$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	81	21%17 W · 64 L	-9.3wins	-0.11per pick	32cpaid	-48.8%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6c0c…9189backed Spain	16c	190.48$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	22	18.2%4 W · 18 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	13cpaid	+81%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63df…c4e1backed Spain	16c	187.5$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a49…651abacked Spain	15c	175$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.37	91	54.9%50 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Spain	15c	166$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.9	285	45.3%129 W · 156 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8890…89bcbacked Spain	17c	160$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.11per pick	14cpaid	+55.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe62f…fca5backed Spain	24c	159.79$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.35	57	49.1%28 W · 29 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5410…1749backed Spain	16c	159.57$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.93	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cfd…3d84backed Spain	16c	158.73$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	373	23.1%86 W · 287 L	-9.1wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d21…92e5backed Spain	16c	157.92$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	110	40%44 W · 66 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3329…2f5cbacked Spain	13c	156.86$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Spain	7c	154.33$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.69	47	51.1%24 W · 23 L	+6.9wins	+0.15per pick	36cpaid	+49%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Spain	28c	150$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.75	650	36.9%240 W · 410 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Spain	27c	150$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.88	175	33.7%59 W · 116 L	-12.8wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Spain	29c	150$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.17	735	36.3%267 W · 468 L	-32.3wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Spain	27c	150$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.48	1,380	40.2%555 W · 825 L	-51.6wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-23%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Spain	25c	150$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.5	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Spain	28c	150$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	872	37.8%330 W · 542 L	-39.9wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeef…4b1fbacked Spain	17c	149.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	423	32.9%139 W · 284 L	-17.3wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Spain	17c	142.09$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x068d…2678backed Spain	15c	135.59$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	47	25.5%12 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e0b…9cb1backed Spain	15c	133.33$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	69	33.3%23 W · 46 L	+4.4wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Spain	14c	129.49$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.49	256	43.4%111 W · 145 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-25.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spread: Spain (-2.5)this page
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spread: Spain (-2.5)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event