Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69e077deba5be0448a1a9a63cef8d119ba0cb4b59be9540c8cd2b4a7822b5644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,784
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,784 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 1c | 49,221$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.09 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab1b…99e1backed Over | 19c | 2,400$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 21c | 973.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -5.1wins | -0.15per pick | 27cpaid | -52.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1eef…83aabacked Over | 27c | 919.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.4 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 19c | 851.28$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.37 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ea…a6babacked Over | 36c | 825.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 352 | 44%155 W · 197 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Over | 3c | 721.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Over | 11c | 466.17$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.28 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d55…7cbabacked Over | 10c | 269.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 15c | 237.75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe562…4fa9backed Over | 17c | 209.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 293 | 38.2%112 W · 181 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Over | 18c | 194.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 79c | 177$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.17 | 320 | 42.2%135 W · 185 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe368…e9edbacked Over | 20c | 138.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 249 | 35.3%88 W · 161 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0874…6277backed Under | 34c | 136.92$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 16cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 18c | 136.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 73c | 136$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed Over | 19c | 132.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.22 | 512 | 28.9%148 W · 364 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked Over | 19c | 130.51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 216 | 30.1%65 W · 151 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 10c | 121.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…1581backed Over | 19c | 86.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Over | 19c | 81.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 1,240 | 43.7%542 W · 698 L | +13.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x214a…408abacked Over | 20c | 68.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 20c | 60.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe96…6c28backed Over | 19c | 56.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe1…af91backed Over | 20c | 50.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Over | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8278…ad93backed Over | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 74c | 39.67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.31 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 80c | 37.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Under | 66c | 33.79$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.61 | 205 | 61%125 W · 80 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc66d…038fbacked Over | 52c | 28.8$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 72c | 23.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 341 | 2.9%10 W · 331 L | -132.4wins | -0.39per pick | 42cpaid | -94%equal weight | 10-0.36 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5this page
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 0.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5Over won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- Spain vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Belgium (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Belgium won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.