Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd69680d1e75d254dac8a5ef090ade57a3424ab0129a1e6975b64ed98d08dbb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yellow Submarineof Yellow Submarine, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $630,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $857,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $630,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 177,345$91,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,200 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 162,959$81,112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,847.16 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x18f0…3d5ebacked Virtus.pro | 23c | 26,264$6,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,072.49 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,999.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 12,000$5,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,620 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 40c | 11,500$4,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 5,791$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,191.5 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 4,956$2,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,707.6 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 4,898$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.1 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine | 50c | 4,684$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,342.07 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 4,476$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.36 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Virtus.pro | 27c | 4,402$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 4,368$2,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.26 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Virtus.pro | 12c | 3,123$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.73 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 72c | 3,027$2,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.39 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 2,918$2,335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.66 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 2,719$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.89 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 2,661$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,473.86 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 2,526$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.71 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Yellow Submarine | 68c | 2,506$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.16 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked Virtus.pro | 46c | 2,447$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.5 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 2,235$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 2,220$989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.74 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 2,000$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.99 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 1,940$948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.52 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,820$783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.4 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 1,801$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.37 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 1,667$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.12 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Virtus.pro | 8c | 1,600$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Virtus.pro | 42c | 1,532$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.02 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 1,475$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.25 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 1,465$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.63 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Virtus.pro | 19c | 1,450$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.1 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,291$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.13 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Yellow Submarine | 73c | 1,191$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.33 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,095$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.5 | 340 | 51.5%175 W · 165 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,060$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 1,009$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 988.76$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.75 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 945.35$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.55 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 928.16$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.77 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed Yellow Submarine | 55c | 905.79$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.79 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 900$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08cf…22b9backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 900$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 537 | 58.8%316 W · 221 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 875$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.5 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb6…98fabacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 872.46$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 813.33$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.33 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33b0…a413backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 811.34$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked Yellow Submarine | 59c | 811$478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.67 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a9…f793backed Virtus.pro | 35c | 797.57$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 769.17$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.75 | 119 | 53.8%64 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 716$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.96 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 712.15$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.77 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e3…de14backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 706.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Virtus.pro | 49c | 677.09$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.54 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Virtus.pro | 9c | 637.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 1,120 | 36.1%404 W · 716 L | -39.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Yellow Submarine | 77c | 614.92$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.43 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Virtus.pro | 28c | 558.05$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.91 | 569 | 45.2%257 W · 312 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Virtus.pro | 55c | 554.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.23 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 515$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.55 | 292 | 43.2%126 W · 166 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Virtus.pro | 19c | 510.03$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Virtus.pro | 20c | 502$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 500$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b5…941abacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f5…2035backed Virtus.pro | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 332 | 65.4%217 W · 115 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…624fbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 500$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 75c | 500$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.5 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb695…f967backed Virtus.pro | 18c | 487.61$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.77 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Virtus.pro | 45c | 481.17$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.1 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 460.75$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.02 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Virtus.pro | 37c | 451.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.3 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa851…4dedbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 435.48$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 53c | 422.39$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.07 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Virtus.pro | 5c | 412.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yellow Submarine | 73c | 410.96$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.96 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8154…7d37backed Yellow Submarine | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 202 | 33.2%67 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 397.09$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.13 | 520 | 46.5%242 W · 278 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Virtus.pro | 15c | 396.78$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.65 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Virtus.pro | 14c | 373$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.4 | 192 | 49%94 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 372.09$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 371.58$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.37 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Virtus.pro | 10c | 367.47$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.36 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 350$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.43 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yellow Submarine | 55c | 350$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.28 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Yellow Submarine | 59c | 332.83$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.46 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Virtus.pro | 15c | 320$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe99e…0084backed Yellow Submarine | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.77 | 876 | 45.7%400 W · 476 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yellow Submarine | 41c | 295.05$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.79 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6707…d4d8backed Yellow Submarine | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 137 | 64.2%88 W · 49 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a4…8427backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 290.41$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.41 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 288.89$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.89 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 286.45$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.69 | 196 | 43.9%86 W · 110 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.