Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfd931259412c5c2446551c56a3f89bfcb3c54e51d514232526d2e65a5d578c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof Yellow Submarine, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $324,628
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $367,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $324,628 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 70,359$38,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,359.24 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yellow Submarine | 42c | 16,568$6,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,958.57 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -6.9wins | -0.20per pick | 46cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 281 | 59.8%168 W · 113 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 11,989$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,226.75 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Virtus.pro | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,599.97 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Virtus.pro | 51c | 9,999$5,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,899.44 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed Yellow Submarine | 31c | 9,018$2,790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,790.49 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Virtus.pro | 55c | 8,522$4,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,833.42 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Virtus.pro | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,200 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Yellow Submarine | 28c | 4,854$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 4,801$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Yellow Submarine | 41c | 4,548$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,847.23 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 4,436$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,905.05 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…bbc5backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 4,325$2,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,596.18 | 537 | 64.4%346 W · 191 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3de…6fe8backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 4,120$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,235.96 | 100 | 75%75 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 4,093$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.53 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Yellow Submarine | 39c | 3,597$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.21 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 3,225$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.29 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Yellow Submarine | 23c | 3,122$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.22 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Yellow Submarine | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed Yellow Submarine | 34c | 2,540$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.4 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 2,311$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.76 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 2,257$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.12 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Yellow Submarine | 14c | 2,123$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.88 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f6…38e8backed Yellow Submarine | 3c | 2,085$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 332 | 3%10 W · 322 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 43c | 2,077$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.04 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yellow Submarine | 26c | 2,015$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.95 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba06…8024backed Virtus.pro | 51c | 2,010$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$985.03 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Virtus.pro | 71c | 2,007$1,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.13 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…d6a4backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 2,006$983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$983.02 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked Yellow Submarine | 34c | 1,921$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.48 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 1,914$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880.23 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91a9…f793backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,873$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.9 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,808$853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.53 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,782$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.25 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…8b0bbacked Yellow Submarine | 4c | 1,756$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Virtus.pro | 58c | 1,726$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.32 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,700$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 1,666$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.23 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,600$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b94…b660backed Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,568$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 1,492$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.48 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35f0…971ebacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 1,467$699 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 1,450$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.49 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked Yellow Submarine | 18c | 1,377$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.36 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Yellow Submarine | 44c | 1,348$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 1,312$596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$596.05 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…6b17backed Virtus.pro | 56c | 1,300$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.7 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,290$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.01 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba01…1a89backed Virtus.pro | 57c | 1,255$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.41 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,252$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.44 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 1,252$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.45 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,235$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.84 | 251 | 50.2%126 W · 125 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…32a2backed Yellow Submarine | 40c | 1,228$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.18 | 121 | 51.2%62 W · 59 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked Virtus.pro | 57c | 1,181$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.78 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb35…b62abacked Virtus.pro | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 393 | 43.3%170 W · 223 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 1,116$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Yellow Submarine | 27c | 1,107$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 1,101$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.5 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Yellow Submarine | 25c | 1,059$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed Virtus.pro | 60c | 1,055$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.7 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Virtus.pro | 53c | 1,040$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.11 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 1,023$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.16 | 390 | 42.1%164 W · 226 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…9cc3backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 1,019$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.93 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…d1f4backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 1,001$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed Virtus.pro | 71c | 1,000$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.44 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e01…b0b5backed Yellow Submarine | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Yellow Submarine | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked Yellow Submarine | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 942$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.66 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Virtus.pro | 47c | 910.59$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.61 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 905.82$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.31 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 902.53$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.69 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked Virtus.pro | 70c | 869.71$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.15 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Virtus.pro | 50c | 852$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 844$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.8 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Yellow Submarine | 32c | 838.49$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.02 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x039e…624fbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 816$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed Yellow Submarine | 13c | 800$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c75…de96backed Yellow Submarine | 49c | 792.77$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.46 | 224 | 61.2%137 W · 87 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed Virtus.pro | 53c | 776.98$412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.18 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5733…4c87backed Yellow Submarine | 48c | 760.01$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.3 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2b…d422backed Yellow Submarine | 46c | 749.99$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 148 | 45.9%68 W · 80 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 731.97$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed Virtus.pro | 70c | 704.53$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.89 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f41…547cbacked Yellow Submarine | 45c | 699.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 131 | 42.7%56 W · 75 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Yellow Submarine | 42c | 670.22$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.92 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 666.09$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.11 | 464 | 51.5%239 W · 225 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Yellow Submarine | 25c | 637.65$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…71a1backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 634.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e28…2ef4backed Yellow Submarine | 19c | 626.8$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.86 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x885a…8bfdbacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 623.73$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03e…da65backed Yellow Submarine | 43c | 622.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Yellow Submarine | 46c | 620.17$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.57 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd7…a01fbacked Yellow Submarine | 48c | 610$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc646…e394backed Yellow Submarine | 45c | 600$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 376 | 55.1%207 W · 169 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b5…54c4backed Yellow Submarine | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 589.3$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 288 | 46.5%134 W · 154 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fbc…f944backed Yellow Submarine | 47c | 582.31$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.63 | 207 | 67.1%139 W · 68 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked Yellow Submarine | 49c | 581.29$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.87 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro - Game 1 WinnerYellow Submarine won
- Game Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs Yellow Submarine (+1.5)Yellow Submarine won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.