Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa5a05b88bc1fdee5aad10da87dd1c8ad3222913c1dfe3592a339c84c4ff3970d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 4ikibamboniof L1ga Team, 4ikibamboni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $356,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $448,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $356,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 277 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed L1ga Team | 57c | 33,000$18,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,809.48 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed L1ga Team | 57c | 30,851$17,646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,646.07 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 4ikibamboni | 64c | 20,858$13,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,512.54 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked L1ga Team | 54c | 20,274$10,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,946.14 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed 4ikibamboni | 41c | 19,217$7,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,320.33 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed 4ikibamboni | 59c | 17,280$10,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,122.12 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed 4ikibamboni | 42c | 14,336$6,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,254.49 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 66c | 11,651$7,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,746 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed 4ikibamboni | 54c | 8,376$4,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,858.14 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed 4ikibamboni | 61c | 7,631$4,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,969.98 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a01…c89ebacked 4ikibamboni | 50c | 7,038$3,545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.63 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed 4ikibamboni | 49c | 6,279$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,229.32 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 4ikibamboni | 46c | 5,653$2,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,047.41 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed L1ga Team | 19c | 5,192$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$996.18 | 691 | 32.6%225 W · 466 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73f4…158ebacked 4ikibamboni | 59c | 4,719$2,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920.51 | 235 | 61.7%145 W · 90 L | +19.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed L1ga Team | 62c | 4,672$2,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,877.23 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 4ikibamboni | 44c | 4,449$1,978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,470.92 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 63c | 4,432$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,793.52 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed 4ikibamboni | 50c | 4,047$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,023.99 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed 4ikibamboni | 37c | 3,823$1,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,392.8 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed 4ikibamboni | 38c | 3,300$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked L1ga Team | 51c | 3,139$1,589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,588.89 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 4ikibamboni | 36c | 3,135$1,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.75 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…fee0backed 4ikibamboni | 45c | 2,965$1,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.86 | 603 | 49.9%301 W · 302 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked 4ikibamboni | 52c | 2,817$1,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,339.05 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked 4ikibamboni | 41c | 2,491$1,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,460.28 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed 4ikibamboni | 37c | 2,475$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.22 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed 4ikibamboni | 36c | 1,987$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,267.89 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked L1ga Team | 29c | 1,966$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.7 | 998 | 44.4%443 W · 555 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20a9…18a3backed L1ga Team | 70c | 1,929$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.35 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked L1ga Team | 55c | 1,886$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.2 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc564…e89dbacked 4ikibamboni | 41c | 1,800$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.99 | 92 | 42.4%39 W · 53 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 1,731$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.09 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed L1ga Team | 63c | 1,658$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.94 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27ea…863dbacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 1,622$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.02 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 58c | 1,571$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.03 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 4ikibamboni | 40c | 1,553$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.76 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 1,331$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.75 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed 4ikibamboni | 42c | 1,315$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.88 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38d1…ac96backed L1ga Team | 69c | 1,259$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.11 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 59cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 4ikibamboni | 41c | 1,257$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.49 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked 4ikibamboni | 45c | 1,250$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.5 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccce…58dabacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked L1ga Team | 24c | 1,137$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.5 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 1,129$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.48 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked L1ga Team | 73c | 1,115$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$817.93 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed 4ikibamboni | 52c | 1,072$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.76 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed 4ikibamboni | 48c | 1,068$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.41 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed L1ga Team | 64c | 1,039$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed L1ga Team | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 324 | 41.7%135 W · 189 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed L1ga Team | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed 4ikibamboni | 44c | 1,000$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed L1ga Team | 70c | 999.99$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 4ikibamboni | 34c | 999.89$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.65 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed L1ga Team | 54c | 999$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.03 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc214…105dbacked 4ikibamboni | 54c | 982.64$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.64 | 488 | 43.6%213 W · 275 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfab…f067backed 4ikibamboni | 65c | 922.18$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.18 | 480 | 57.1%274 W · 206 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed L1ga Team | 59c | 912.97$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.26 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…92fbbacked L1ga Team | 45c | 900$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.85 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked 4ikibamboni | 44c | 895.96$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.68 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 858$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.06 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed L1ga Team | 50c | 852$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeef…92b7backed 4ikibamboni | 54c | 839.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.8 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked 4ikibamboni | 42c | 827.97$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.22 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…d7dbbacked 4ikibamboni | 63c | 826.38$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.75 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed L1ga Team | 8c | 802.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.47 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x070f…ed83backed L1ga Team | 50c | 799.99$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed 4ikibamboni | 41c | 721.19$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.19 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed 4ikibamboni | 31c | 718.71$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.91 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked 4ikibamboni | 52c | 704.79$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.93 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked L1ga Team | 44c | 657.58$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.66 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 643$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.51 | 281 | 45.6%128 W · 153 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed L1ga Team | 62c | 611.24$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.65 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…b845backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 549.98$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.49 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 515.95$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.44 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked 4ikibamboni | 40c | 504.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.57 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948a…d1a4backed L1ga Team | 55c | 502.42$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.86 | 242 | 55%133 W · 109 L | +14.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…6dc8backed L1ga Team | 60c | 500.28$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 480 | 54%259 W · 221 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked L1ga Team | 74c | 500$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked 4ikibamboni | 34c | 500$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed L1ga Team | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked 4ikibamboni | 41c | 497.98$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.61 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 497.41$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.13 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed 4ikibamboni | 41c | 489.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.09 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd19e…d70ebacked L1ga Team | 69c | 483.63$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 208 | 59.6%124 W · 84 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7029…1136backed 4ikibamboni | 40c | 480$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team | 63c | 466.82$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.94 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 443.73$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.99 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed L1ga Team | 68c | 442.38$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked 4ikibamboni | 42c | 429.97$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.78 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…a408backed 4ikibamboni | 47c | 427.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.16 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed 4ikibamboni | 38c | 422.91$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 411.72$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.68 | 146 | 55.5%81 W · 65 L | +8.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 395.35$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.35 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 390.24$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.44 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 390$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked L1ga Team | 42c | 351.96$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.3 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…1b71backed L1ga Team | 63c | 351.22$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.96 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed 4ikibamboni | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 WinnerL1ga Team won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5)4ikibamboni won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.