Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa36429dad7a9583996b314c36d44e35a31f97afcb14e91b512df1ee9a4c532bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- L1ga Teamof L1ga Team, 4ikibamboni
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $362,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $400,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $362,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 274 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d20…a165backed 4ikibamboni | 38c | 71,006$27,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,180.39 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed L1ga Team | 59c | 37,308$22,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,110.89 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team | 75c | 17,144$12,791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,352.52 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed 4ikibamboni | 27c | 14,118$3,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,760.06 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked 4ikibamboni | 38c | 13,583$5,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,158.01 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55a1…db28backed L1ga Team | 60c | 10,840$6,466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,373.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked L1ga Team | 65c | 9,622$6,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,350.76 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed L1ga Team | 69c | 6,769$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.23 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed L1ga Team | 64c | 6,752$4,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,463.3 | 965 | 57.4%554 W · 411 L | +49.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked 4ikibamboni | 6c | 6,729$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.77 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed 4ikibamboni | 33c | 6,137$2,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,017.01 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aec…4ce9backed 4ikibamboni | 39c | 6,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 306 | 67.3%206 W · 100 L | +18.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa27c…ab67backed L1ga Team | 65c | 5,188$3,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,815.68 | 799 | 59.4%475 W · 324 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed 4ikibamboni | 34c | 5,109$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.57 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed L1ga Team | 64c | 5,083$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.68 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed 4ikibamboni | 40c | 4,900$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed L1ga Team | 58c | 4,633$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.8 | 568 | 52.5%298 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540d…c8f9backed L1ga Team | 69c | 4,527$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.62 | 388 | 55.2%214 W · 174 L | +29.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…c372backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 4,511$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.45 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked 4ikibamboni | 29c | 4,419$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.68 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed L1ga Team | 70c | 4,259$2,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.62 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked 4ikibamboni | 32c | 4,102$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.45 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3a…fbfdbacked L1ga Team | 58c | 3,040$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,290.33 | 508 | 50.8%258 W · 250 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca78…b3a8backed 4ikibamboni | 40c | 2,943$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf991…3965backed L1ga Team | 58c | 2,925$1,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.83 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9901backed 4ikibamboni | 4c | 2,688$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.31 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed 4ikibamboni | 35c | 2,324$807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806.58 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x703e…9828backed 4ikibamboni | 10c | 2,119$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed 4ikibamboni | 11c | 1,900$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed L1ga Team | 72c | 1,873$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.49 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…cc01backed 4ikibamboni | 37c | 1,844$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$687.74 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed 4ikibamboni | 39c | 1,738$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.18 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked L1ga Team | 60c | 1,730$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.13 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed L1ga Team | 61c | 1,634$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.65 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed44…4f76backed 4ikibamboni | 19c | 1,616$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.38 | 200 | 30.5%61 W · 139 L | -14.6wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdf3…1bb5backed 4ikibamboni | 25c | 1,577$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.65 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked L1ga Team | 58c | 1,568$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.18 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed 4ikibamboni | 40c | 1,540$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed 4ikibamboni | 40c | 1,530$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.99 | 357 | 37%132 W · 225 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked 4ikibamboni | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 370 | 47%174 W · 196 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed 4ikibamboni | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.99 | 344 | 42.2%145 W · 199 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f9…1fb2backed 4ikibamboni | 44c | 1,471$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60d0…e05fbacked 4ikibamboni | 29c | 1,458$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.82 | 412 | 42.2%174 W · 238 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…40e5backed 4ikibamboni | 38c | 1,447$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.29 | 334 | 53%177 W · 157 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked 4ikibamboni | 34c | 1,444$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.87 | 538 | 44.4%239 W · 299 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked L1ga Team | 67c | 1,371$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.48 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910e…29bcbacked 4ikibamboni | 39c | 1,339$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.92 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb69…cfd1backed 4ikibamboni | 47c | 1,280$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed 4ikibamboni | 28c | 1,272$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.75 | 176 | 51.1%90 W · 86 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87e6…9c8abacked L1ga Team | 61c | 1,098$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.14 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…0336backed 4ikibamboni | 3c | 1,096$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed 4ikibamboni | 47c | 1,074$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed L1ga Team | 65c | 1,027$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.15 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f0…26edbacked L1ga Team | 75c | 1,025$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.71 | 338 | 67.8%229 W · 109 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf913…c2f5backed 4ikibamboni | 12c | 1,010$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.6 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +8.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed 4ikibamboni | 34c | 1,000$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.07 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed 4ikibamboni | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb726…4d2bbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…1e8abacked L1ga Team | 77c | 1,000$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.73 | 150 | 50%75 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed 4ikibamboni | 17c | 999.98$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed L1ga Team | 61c | 950.47$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.53 | 508 | 32.9%167 W · 341 L | -14.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked 4ikibamboni | 37c | 940.02$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.67 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9679…9315backed L1ga Team | 64c | 939.15$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.15 | 160 | 58.8%94 W · 66 L | +9.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed L1ga Team | 64c | 931.78$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.94 | 211 | 58.3%123 W · 88 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked L1ga Team | 75c | 875.86$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.86 | 141 | 57.4%81 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed L1ga Team | 60c | 821.43$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.57 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed 4ikibamboni | 38c | 807.2$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.74 | 265 | 40.8%108 W · 157 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed 4ikibamboni | 31c | 774.63$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked 4ikibamboni | 26c | 756.1$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed 4ikibamboni | 43c | 749.99$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.49 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed L1ga Team | 58c | 749.01$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.72 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed L1ga Team | 67c | 724.64$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.15 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0273…f081backed 4ikibamboni | 35c | 700$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.7 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked L1ga Team | 67c | 685.43$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.48 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b5…205abacked 4ikibamboni | 44c | 684.13$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 319 | 53.9%172 W · 147 L | +16.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed L1ga Team | 66c | 681.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.82 | 177 | 57.6%102 W · 75 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed L1ga Team | 66c | 664.41$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.22 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked 4ikibamboni | 40c | 662.06$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.54 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed 4ikibamboni | 32c | 634$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.88 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked 4ikibamboni | 29c | 626.67$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked 4ikibamboni | 43c | 622.03$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.12 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed 4ikibamboni | 18c | 600$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked 4ikibamboni | 33c | 546.82$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.68 | 163 | 28.8%47 W · 116 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed L1ga Team | 71c | 545$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.37 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91a9…f793backed 4ikibamboni | 37c | 536.16$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 30cpaid | -80.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…e7dabacked L1ga Team | 68c | 520$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.4 | 310 | 55.2%171 W · 139 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51be…12c2backed L1ga Team | 65c | 512.31$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 192 | 51%98 W · 94 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked L1ga Team | 60c | 505$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…184abacked 4ikibamboni | 33c | 500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked L1ga Team | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…bedfbacked 4ikibamboni | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked L1ga Team | 54c | 499.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…5efcbacked 4ikibamboni | 14c | 497.78$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x824b…8386backed L1ga Team | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.8 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -13.8wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…e409backed L1ga Team | 58c | 484.36$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.41 | 109 | 61.5%67 W · 42 L | +11.6wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked 4ikibamboni | 40c | 477.5$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked 4ikibamboni | 35c | 470$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 793 | 41.7%331 W · 462 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…9892backed L1ga Team | 66c | 454.55$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.55 | 500 | 53%265 W · 235 L | +14.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed L1ga Team | 66c | 446.74$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.89 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked 4ikibamboni | 40c | 439.5$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.61 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsL1ga Team won
- Dota 2: L1ga Team vs 4ikibamboni - Game 1 Winner4ikibamboni won
- Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5)4ikibamboni won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.