Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf937fe333e62eec3f73851d4dbb3051b08bf58c796cd3a02879ea7043dae701d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $203,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,408
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $203,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 121 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed No | 70c | 71,929$50,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,743.2 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 37,166$11,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,018.43 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 31c | 36,753$11,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,343.72 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 30c | 30,138$8,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,967.75 | 626 | 48.6%304 W · 322 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed No | 69c | 25,000$17,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,750 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 30c | 16,831$5,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,088.14 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 29c | 16,799$4,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,903.84 | 711 | 40.2%286 W · 425 L | -26.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed No | 70c | 10,500$7,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,150 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 29c | 9,322$2,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,738.65 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed No | 70c | 9,166$6,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,723.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 29c | 7,500$2,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,175 | 133 | 48.9%65 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 70c | 7,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.92 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed No | 69c | 5,773$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.62 | 18 | 88.9%16 W · 2 L | +7.1wins | +0.40per pick | 49cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 69c | 4,000$2,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 30c | 3,027$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.78 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Yes | 30c | 2,822$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.64 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 30c | 1,988$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.27 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 29c | 1,750$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.5 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 173 | 29.5%51 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 75c | 1,410$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 266 | 60.5%161 W · 105 L | +25.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…cfc9backed Yes | 30c | 1,350$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 69c | 1,258$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.91 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35b9…1d44backed Yes | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +5.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +78.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Yes | 14c | 900$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 28c | 828.8$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.73 | 350 | 37.7%132 W · 218 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 798.93$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.44 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…40febacked Yes | 30c | 701.03$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Yes | 30c | 700$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 15c | 700$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51d9…cb1abacked Yes | 30c | 660$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5113…f0babacked Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfde1…925dbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x43a1…2425backed Yes | 32c | 457.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.56 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…76afbacked No | 69c | 435$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.85 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Yes | 31c | 400$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 69c | 380.69$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.16 | 299 | 49.8%149 W · 150 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…06e8backed No | 70c | 338.83$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 31c | 323$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.13 | 268 | 45.9%123 W · 145 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked Yes | 31c | 300.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.72 | 140 | 45%63 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 31c | 300$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 108 | 38%41 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 30c | 275$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.75 | 270 | 49.6%134 W · 136 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 30c | 273.15$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.12 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 202 | 32.7%66 W · 136 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 32c | 234.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 13c | 218.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 30c | 192$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 170 | 43.5%74 W · 96 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c9f…b8cebacked Yes | 32c | 176$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.32 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…754cbacked No | 70c | 171.43$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 61cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 13c | 163.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.23per pick | 38cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked No | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4984…7aaabacked Yes | 30c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 30c | 150$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked No | 69c | 144.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked No | 70c | 135.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.44 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 30c | 134$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.86 | 464 | 50.4%234 W · 230 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed No | 70c | 133$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 32c | 125$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 70c | 119.62$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +10.7wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…2e45backed No | 71c | 113.28$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 13c | 110.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 28cpaid | -82.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 71c | 108.2$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed No | 70c | 104.99$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Yes | 30c | 103.41$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 140 | 57.1%80 W · 60 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 15c | 102.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 20%9 W · 36 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29d…3352backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 69c | 100$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 32.9%25 W · 51 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Yes | 30c | 98.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.84 | 142 | 47.9%68 W · 74 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…3851backed No | 69c | 94.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 71c | 91.79$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04c0…0927backed No | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 69c | 72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.32 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 31c | 70.76$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 138 | 44.2%61 W · 77 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 30c | 67.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.36 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fa…222bbacked No | 70c | 64.39$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed No | 70c | 64.31$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.16 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 31c | 64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfe…1a87backed No | 70c | 61.3$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1a…26c0backed No | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed No | 70c | 53.8$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.02 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Yes | 31c | 51.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 182 | 45.6%83 W · 99 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7bd…616cbacked Yes | 31c | 50.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51e5…da69backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddd7…1596backed Yes | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 204 | 54.4%111 W · 93 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…d031backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd258…9dfdbacked Yes | 30c | 49.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Yes | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Yes | 30c | 47.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 71c | 47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +26%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb196…33d5backed Yes | 31c | 45.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 96 | 61.5%59 W · 37 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…0c6cbacked Yes | 33c | 42.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Metz win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
- Will FC Metz vs. AJ Auxerre end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.