TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$130,466
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$131,410

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $130,466 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes38c31,188$11,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,336.359159.3%54 W · 37 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No40c19,879$7,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,895.876942%29 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No62c18,542$11,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,506.3652550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No62c12,780$7,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,923.64447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No61c7,000$4,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2705354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No51c6,372$3,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,229.1371140.2%286 W · 425 L-26.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes62c4,905$3,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.2962648.6%304 W · 322 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No63c3,103$1,964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,963.783240.6%13 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+19.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No36c2,800$1,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.21,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes58c2,650$1,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,11318847.9%90 W · 98 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+15%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No37c2,568$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.737638.8%146 W · 230 L-13.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed No61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5259355.9%52 W · 41 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed No61c2,500$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52517043.5%74 W · 96 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No59c2,224$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.1621143.1%91 W · 120 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2403036.7%11 W · 19 L-4.7wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-31.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No62c1,643$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.187344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed No10c1,385$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.13826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.0wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No40c1,260$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.531,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No61c1,235$753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.3450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+39.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes61c1,080$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416.2620232.7%66 W · 136 L-10.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes41c1,035$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.659863.3%62 W · 36 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes41c1,000$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59035157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a67…ef6bbacked No40c819.93$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.411942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-22.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes38c818.42$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.4223250.9%118 W · 114 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No62c687.96$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.8129949.8%149 W · 150 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb693…cfc9backed No41c611.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-48.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b4…d3aabacked No62c599.99$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.9920%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No63c500$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3155745.6%26 W · 31 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No41c469.84$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.313040%12 W · 18 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-17.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24833148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda9b…b2a9backed No40c397.77$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.09616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-67.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa106…5abbbacked No41c392.89$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.37837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-43.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes37c368$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231.944841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5de4…ca53backed Yes38c350$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick31cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No64c330.99$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick63cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes38c300$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18614045%63 W · 77 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x054b…afd5backed Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.27683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.32per pick52cpaid+70.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No41c252.26$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.295832.8%19 W · 39 L-8.0wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x56b1…9121backed Yes38c250$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1551100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed No32c218.8$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.115129.4%15 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-33.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes36c209.92$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3520150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No11c202.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes41c200$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1181566.7%10 W · 5 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+68.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Yes57c200$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0e6…84a8backed Yes63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1242867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes72c194$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.423644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No62c161.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026550.6%134 W · 131 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed No62c159.98$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.192962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+30.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Yes39c153.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.854254.8%23 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.144332.6%14 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes37c132.43$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.439846.9%46 W · 52 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Yes38c131$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.223636.1%13 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.211850%9 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No65c120.64$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.023860.5%23 W · 15 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74be…d9dbbacked No41c117.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.8742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-28.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cd3…772abacked No40c110.85$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes64c110.37$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.979535.8%34 W · 61 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-44.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes58c103.82$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.626346.4%122 W · 141 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d83…8eb4backed Yes71c101.65$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.637100%7 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x754f…ee9ebacked Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1aa…16cfbacked No63c100$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed No63c92.31$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6920454.4%111 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78d2…7a2bbacked No44c91.08$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.012240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Yes39c78.46$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.86757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed No64c78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9db…d934backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes65c76.92$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.92955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No62c75$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No62c74.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.499752.6%51 W · 46 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes38c73.98$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8710838%41 W · 67 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No36c69.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2335037.7%132 W · 218 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed No35c66.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.951450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No61c65$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9735650.6%180 W · 176 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc53e…fbedbacked No64c62.5$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+27.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x71ba…07a1backed Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e6…8623backed Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41b3…df8bbacked Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf184…067bbacked Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9434…ef42backed Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x49d5…c5b6backed Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9714…d4aabacked Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf8f…950bbacked Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e10…7247backed Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3005…cd7ebacked Yes38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick43cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes37c59.99$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5413844.2%61 W · 77 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes38c57.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.897145.1%32 W · 39 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd3a…9993backed No62c57.86$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.874751.1%24 W · 23 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed No36c55.56$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+64.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xadd4…51dabacked Yes38c52.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.63366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.24per pick42cpaid+55.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked No38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc461…ce65backed Yes65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.55933.9%20 W · 39 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed No63c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3318245.6%83 W · 99 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ab0…f2d7backed Yes39c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed No63c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.3810855.6%60 W · 48 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3526…8b74backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302650%13 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7bd…616cbacked No63c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.334537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.8wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9720…798abacked No24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+19.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.